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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Man I'd love to come out of this posting period with both Kim and Sugano. Sugano's NPB numbers are excellent, they're like a carbon copy of Tanaka's, with the caveat of course that the latter was significantly younger. If you're thinking the downside is he could be another Kikuchi, that's true, but it should be noted that Sugano's performance has been quite a bit better. If you're thinking his age could be a negative, also a valid concern, but Hisashi Iwakuma anyone?
  2. Biggio has a .272/.398/.481 career slash line against the Rays lol. He crushed them to a (small smaple) 208 wRC+ this season after an 84 wRC+ (also small sample) the last, so much for Tampa having his number and Biggio being unable to adjust. Keith Law is talking out of his ass.
  3. Source?
  4. I've been sitting on him for like 4 rounds. The Lakers hype train is in full force right now so I'll hope to sell high on him to one of you dummies during the season.
  5. Yeah that's why I argued it from an offensive point of view. Utley being a more modern player has more accurate defensive stats so we know how excellent he was at the position. Robbie by all accounts was a sight to behold at the keystone so I'm not gonna debate 20-30 year old defensive metrics that didn't think he was all that. Like I said, for Biggio to become anywhere near as good as those guys he'd actually have to elevate his defense to near elite levels, as his baserunning and offense have been quite good already and the latter IMO has room for growth.
  6. Don't take this the wrong way, but what? Alomar was obviously a phenomenal player, but he ended up with the same career wRC+ as Chase Utley, another phenomenal player. Peak Utley might even have been a better player than peak Alomar, or at least just as good. For Biggio to become as good of a hitter as those guys at their best he doesn't have to become a "batting title level hitter" at all, merely exceed his power output - not impossible given his swing path - or lower his K rate a fair bit more without sacrificing the rest of his toolset, he's not exactly Joey Gallo at the plate. For Biggio to become either of those guys he'd actually have to significantly improve his defense, not his offense.
  7. The Braves project for less team WAR than the Blue Jays lol.
  8. They'd have a decent advantage in pitching but that's pretty much it. The Dodgers are ridiculously stacked. Pos: Mets - Dodgers C: McCann < Will Smith/Barnes/Ruiz 1B: Alonso/Dom Smith ~ Muncy 2B: McNeil > Lux/Chris Taylor (if Lux is half as good as he's expected to be this also will flip to the Dodgers' side) SS: Gimenez/Rosario << Seager 3B: J.D. Davis > Edwin Rios/Chris Taylor (flips to Dodgers if Justin Turner re-signs) OF: Nimmo/Springer/Conforto << Pollock/Chris Taylor/Bellinger/Betts SP: deGrom/Bauer/Syndergaard/Stroman/Peterson/Lugo/Matz? > Buehler/Kershaw/Urias/Price/Dustin May/Gonsolin - Mets have far better front-end, Dodgers may have better depth RP: Diaz/Trevor May/Seth Lugo/Miguel Castro... > Kenley Jansen/Graterol/Victor Gonzalez/Knebel/... - they're relievers, both could be elite, both could be terrible. Is Edwin Diaz the best reliever in baseball? Is Jansen done? Who knows. Current projections have the following: Hitter WAR Mets - 19.0 + ~3 wins with Springer replacing their worst OF Dodgers - 27.0 WAR + ~a win or so if Justin Turner comes back Pitching WAR: Mets - 18.5 WAR + ~2-3 wins if Bauer signs Dodgers - 17.6 WAR
  9. Went with Patrick Williams. Dinger's bro up.
  10. The silver lining is the later the season starts (hopefully not later than May) the more likely it is the Jays play in Toronto.
  11. Why would we sign Kim to be a CF when he's never played an inning outside the infield professionally? Why would he sign us when other teams are offering him starting SS or 3B roles and we're the ones that want him to learn a new position as he also gets adjusted to MLB pitching? Btw Biggio was an 80th percentile runner last season and 72nd percentile this season, he's much faster than a 45 FV which would be below average lol. I'm pretty sure that's basically a 60 FV. I guess because he runs in long strides the scouts thought he didn't actually seem that athletic and just put him down as below average? Scouts are dumn.
  12. lol @ the Royals being the most aggressive team in free agency thus far.
  13. David Dahl is not an asset at all, I agree with you. He projects to be significantly below replacement level lol, the media and some fans are acting as if the Rockies gave up on Brendan Rodgers or something.
  14. He basically was. He was a bad to average defender his entire career before suddenly putting up an elite defensive season in 2019, and he wasn't even a good defender again in the shortened 2020 (SSS caveat obviously). Perhaps the biggest defensive season outlier in recent history?
  15. Vlad Jr. was one of the worst defensive 3B in the league his rookie year, and then he followed that up by coming into post-lockdown camp completely out of shape and more immobile than before. There was clearly a lot of disappointment from the FO that they were forced to make that move before they wanted to. Anyone who claims his move to 1B was for financial reasons is totally out of it.
  16. Added Gary Trent Jr. BTS back up with havok having a pick to make up.
  17. Added Nemanja Bjelica. Dinger's bro is up.
  18. You son of a bitch, I'm watching him play right now and was getting inspired to pick him.
  19. His stance is pretty odd but I think the wiggle is actually the timing mechanism that gets him into proper hitting position so if it's working I don't think they'll change it.
  20. It's not like the money he's owed disappears if he's releaaed.
  21. Hope Morrow latches on to the big league roster. He still looked electric the last time he pitched in the majors. Poor guy's career was just decimated by injuries likely in part due to his diabetes making it more difficult to rehab.
  22. Fat is a big improvement from where he was this past season.
  23. Yes. https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Baseball_age A player born on December 1989 and a player born on January 1990 are one month apart but your reasoning makes it seem like they would be playing in their ages 31 and 32 seasons respectively which makes a big difference. This is especially important when considering prospect ages. A prospect one month apart from another is negligible in age but 1 year apart can make a huge difference in valuation. Their "in season age" tries to account for this as best as possible.
  24. I'm basically just redrafting last year's roster at this point. Picked up Montrezl Harrell.
  25. Connorp has a point though, there is precedent for Realmuto. 31 year old Grandal signed for 4/73, 32 year old Martin signed for 5/82. Realmuto will be 30 years old to begin next season and is similarly valued to those two, arguably even less valuable - Grandal who is 2 years older projects to be better next season. He's a far better baserunner, worse defender and similar hitter. You can say his athleticism is better so maybe he'll age more gracefully, but he's still a catcher at the end of the day and he should be expected to age like one. Realmuto can aim for 5/125 all he wants but precedent states he should be very content with 5/100 if any team is offering that, and is likely to receive even less than that. Another comparable - 30 year old Brian McCann signed for 5/85 with the Yankees. I sure hope he's not aiming for Buster Posey or Joe Mauer money - both guys who were younger, franchise cornerstones on Hall of Fame career paths.
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