KingKat
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Everything posted by KingKat
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Jays and Mets discussing Bruce trade
KingKat replied to ILikeSoccerandBaseball09's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
This must be looking into the price on Bruce as a possible contingency if no one accepts their offers. I can't imagine he's a first choice. -
Heyman: Jose Bautista to reject qualifying offer
KingKat replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Does it make sense to rank Delgado ahead of Fernandez? -
You need to either actually research this or stop posting about it. Your recollections don't have any real weight here. If you're not willing to check them against facts, the way many, many people who have similar recollections have done over the years than I suggest you just keep these impressions for yourself. Otherwise, you're either going to be pilloried or ignored.
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Loup never projected to be more than an effective loogy though so it's not like he widely under performed, his projection was fairly limited to begin with.
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Seems like it... But I tend to err on the side of caution with poster who might simply be casuals. If he keeps doubling down on these losing arguments, it might become a moot point.
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I saw him play. He was a good bad ball hitter and an exciting player and I was as guilty as anyone of overrating him back in the day. I actually thought his 100 rbi season streak was really significant. Turns out it isn't. It's really just a product of where he hit in the lineup and having some power. He didn't hit better in RBI situations than outside of them. He was however a legit great hitter until 1991 (1990 excepted) and he was decent in 1992 and 1993 and then just plain bad after that.
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Yeah but even then I don't think it's an issue. Whatever he's doing now, he was probably doing back then. He was jacked then and he's still jacked now. The thing is being jacked alone isn't some magic formula for success. Plenty of PED users suck. The premise that because he sucked in the MLB, he must have been clean then and only be dirty now is a faulty won. He was a young player with upside. He's probably made some legitimate improvements (though he'd have to come back to MLB to get a better measure of that). Also, the assumption that drug testing is weaker in Korea than it is in MLB doesn't seem fact based either. We know that MLB test can be beat. Plenty of know drug users never tested positive. The MLB test are not necessarily harder to beat than the Korean ones (unless you're taking turinabol in which case you need to switch it up or you'll end up like all the players who got caught this year because they were behind on the testing).
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I love this front office. They don't give a f*** about "winning" the off-season. Instead of swinging for the fences, they just go about the quiet business of efficiently acquiring wins. Reminds me of the widely panned Red Sox off season of 2012-2013 where they "settled" for mid-tier free agents like Victorino, Napoli and Ross and went on to win the World Series.
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Joe Carter was indeed a very good hitter in the early days and was atrocious by the end so the reality is somewhere in the middle.
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a. Cecil is younger and better. b. There's room for both.
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If you ignore ERA and look at rate stats, Cecil just had one of the best seasons of his career even though it didn't feel that way at all. He could easily be the steal of the reliever market.
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Whether it's luck or not is kind of irrelevant. The more important point is that it's not sustainable. You can only maintain that kind of gap between a situational result and your overall ability over a small sample. Over time that's going to normalize. This is what always happens. It's a fun little accomplishment for the player but it's not really meaningful as a measure of his ability because the sample is too small.
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Jays and Mets discussing Bruce trade
KingKat replied to ILikeSoccerandBaseball09's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
As I pointed out earlier ITT, if the Mets saw him as a negative asset, they would have bought him out for 1M (a relatively small sum in baseball terms). -
Damn.
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Sign Josh Reddick and DO NOT trade for Jay Bruce (NJH #4)
KingKat replied to Laika's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
It's not unprecedented. I find it weird and kind of passive aggressive but yeah it happens. -
It's not like he never faced MLB testing before. I don't really know why this angle gets so much play. He's either not someone who takes PED or someone who takes them and passes all his test. Non-issue either way.
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Jays and Mets discussing Bruce trade
KingKat replied to ILikeSoccerandBaseball09's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I could see someone like Bruce in a Francisco Liriano type scenario where you trade Pompey for a guy like Bruce and some better prospects but that only makes sense with a team that is stuck with a guy like Bruce not a team that just committed themselves to him when they didn't have to. It wouldn't make sense for the Mets to spend prospect capital to get a team to take on a salary that they could have just dumped for free (edit: O.K. not for free as Abom pointed out but for a small sum in baseball terms). -
The Projected Roster thing is a bit confusing. They are just assigning where currently controlled players would fit. They aren't making any guesses as to who will be let go, who will be acquired, etc. Josh Thole will be there because he's still under team control. They're are not taking him off the roster until the Jays do. That's just how this resource works.
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The stands to reason part is the key there. Neither Rosenthal nor Shi have indicated that they have any real insight into the FO's thinking. Smoak's playing time is an inference.
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The question that NJH seems to be raising is whether it's possible that Derozan is being rewarded for bad process? Might this come back to bite him long term? I know it's annoying to keep finding warts both with Derozan and with this team but this is an analytically leaning board so it's only normal that the same kind of questions we might ask in baseball will be asked here and it's a pretty interesting question IMO.
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Shi seems very slow to recognize that Smoak is a sunk cost. All this talk of the plans the Jays have for Smoak are coming from him.
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My guess is probably not. I think nearly every baseball fan thought like he does at some point (except for maybe some really young fans who grew up after Sabermetrics went mainstream). Hopefully, he realizes that this question has been thoroughly researched and won't keep doubling down. I get that players aren't robots. I get that they get nervous or whatnot but ultimately the stats show that this doesn't affect their performance nearly as much as one might think. It probably affects it some but overall it's negligible, as has been demonstrated time and time again players tend over time to perform to their overall abilities and close the gap between their clutch and non-clutch numbers.
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Yep. The guy is permanently hobbled. His mobility is never coming back. At his best, he's bat only. At his worst, he's a negative on both sides of the ball. He's not a good OF and having a DH with no splits like Morales is way preferable than giving that job to a guy like Saunders who does.
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Mittens, Spanky had the good sense to put you on ignore you rather than keep fighting. Do the same and we're all good.
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Saying Izturis had a 10 WAR career act undersells him a bit. He actually subtracted WAR in his late career (negative 2.2 WAR in 2013, good times!). In his prime, he was a guy who could give you about 2 WAR in part time work covering multiple positions. That's not a star but that's damn useful.
