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Terminator

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Everything posted by Terminator

  1. Springer and Barger are getting close to returning. Will be interesting to see what they do with the roster when they are back. Sosa is out of options Straw is out of options Eloy is out of options Lukes has an option Schneider has an option Seems like Eloy is an easy choice unless he starts hitting for power ASAP. The second move is pretty tough though.
  2. I was looking into McAdoo today as well and I don't know what to make of him. His average exit velo is really bad: https://prospectsavant.com/player/807727
  3. In addition his LOB% is 58%, adding to his s*** luck. But his peripherals are insane. To the eye it seems like he'll hang a pitch over the plate far too often. But even so, you would expect him to get away with that far more often than he has been. I'm hopeful he will right the ship.
  4. At least Vlad is walking a lot so hopefully he keeps that up. Steamer is starting to buy into this 12.5% walk rate. If he does that while hitting .300 he's still going to be a damn good player even if he's only hitting 25 homers. But if the power isn't going to remain consistent throughout the year, maybe he can at least have one ridiculously hot month where he hits 10 bombs or something to get him into the 30+ range.
  5. Hoffman threw his hardest pitching of the season last night to end the game. 97.9 mph fastball to strike out Adam Frazier. Hopefully he can keep it up.
  6. There's a lot of good stuff in this post but you might be jumping to conclusions. If he had good stuff in his first 4 appearances and bad stuff in his last 6, there could be any number of explanations for that. He could be sick, his mechanics could be slightly off, he has a minor injury, his confidence is down so he's aiming the ball, etc. All of that could be corrected and the stuff returns. Or he could be permanently broken, as you said. He is getting up there a bit in age, after all. But there's no way to know that based off 6 appearances.
  7. Of course Lauer could also turn things around and stick while Max is sent to the IL with an injury
  8. Yeah there is a very real scenario where Yesavage, Berrios and Yimi are back soon and not only is Lauer relegated to the bullpen but he's just flat out DFA'd.
  9. This guy's predictions on the pitching staff seem wrong and there could be another injury by then (hopefully something minor!) but reinforcements are coming. Kirk will be back 2-4 weeks after this.
  10. Forbes had the Padres as the 10th most valuable team and gave them a valuation of $3.1 billion entering the year I'm not going to buy the owners crying poor in the upcoming labor negotiations when their teams are selling for over 25% of their valuations
  11. Yeah I thought this was a TORONTO BLUE JAYS message board not the Pittsbum Butt-Pirates
  12. Can I say something without everyone getting mad? Joe Mantiply has looked pretty good so far this year. 5.2 IP, 9 Ks, 2 BBs, 4 hits, 72.7% GB, 1.81 xFIP His Stuff+ was 107 last year but has jumped to 120 this year.
  13. Wow you're on a roll here! A reply post that doesn't even try to refute the original point (Spanky: Those teams don't project that well. JB: Um one of them might win their dogshit division and another one might finish .500), a random non sequitur about injuries that’s supposedly making some kind of argument, and the real cherry on top...a little under-the-table AA fanboying.
  14. I'm actually encouraged by stuff like this. We are playing like absolute dogshit and it's about as bad of a start to the season that you could imagine. Yet we're only 2.5 games behind the Yankees who are two Jordan Romano appearances away from a 9 game losing steak. Thing can only go up from here.
  15. Lmao yes if you say the team sucks and they won't win the World Series you will be right 99 percent of the time. Congrats. As for the rest of your post, one thing that projection systems never get right is playing time. I'm not sure how baked in all of these injuries are. 3 key pieces should be back in a week. Steamer is down on us (and they do funky stuff like project Varsho for negative defensive value) but Zips projects us to finish near the top of the AL East still. PECOTA has us competitive as well.
  16. The lineup has been complete ass but offense is suppressed league wide right now. League average OPS was .719 last year and this year it is .703. Despite all of the injuries, the Jays are barely behind average but the real kick in the nuts is the hitting with RISP. But for the love of god just win a damn series or two and by that point Barger, Springer and Yesavage will be back and we can expect some more competitive baseball. Then by the end of April we should have Berrios and Yimi back. Then Kirk by the end of May. The AL sucks this year so we should be fine. The Yankees are two Jordan Romano appearances from getting their s*** kicked in 4 games straight by the Angels. But we don't want to fall too far back.
  17. I was so furious after last night's game. The Brewers scoring two runs off of 5 weakly hit ground balls in a row was a huge kick in the nuts. The pitching matchups against the D-Bags aren't great for us so this is a must-win.
  18. Yeah I hear ya but 4–5 WAR is actually below his median outcome. That’s more like ~40th percentile. That's how good of a prospect he is. So even if Griffin hits his 20th percentile projections, he’s probably still signing his next contract for the "life changing money" he just got. I just don't think the Pirates are taking enough risk here. Griffin would need to be a real disaster (injury or ~10th percentile outcome) for the math to work out for him on this contract.
  19. On Schneider vs. Lukes today: Patrick really sucks against lefties and it's a huge question mark for him moving forward if he wants to start. I only know this because I own him in a deep fantasy league and have read everything available on him. He just doesn't have an effective pitch against lefties. So with all the injuries, I think it makes sense to stack our lefties at the top of the lineup against him. He doesn't have great stamina and almost never goes through the lineup a 3rd time. This configuration basically guarantees that he's done after 2 times through.
  20. If all we are doing is moving Hoffman to set up and Varland to CL we are just rearranging the deck chairs. Would need to move Hoffman to low leverage for this to make any meaningful difference. I don't think it's quite that dire yet. Hoffman's BABIP is over .500 right now.
  21. He was awesome yesterday. Ignited the comeback with a pinch hit single and then taking third on the Varsho blooper. He was even laughing when everyone was sweating bullets during the review. Can't faze Venezuelans.
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