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Olerud363

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Everything posted by Olerud363

  1. Olerud363
    He did good yesterday... unfortunately there was a major momentum shift in the baseball world at around 2:30 to 3:00 today It began as Sanchez tired... he probably reached his breaking point, then tulo injured (ordered by Buck)... then blown lead... then loss And minor leaguers are all doing bad now. Sad, but we had a great run...
  2. Olerud363
    Cecil was fine... it was that other dude throwing 85 mph fastballs and breaking s*** way out of the zone.
  3. Olerud363
    Bautista was in the majors at 23... he was a rule V, and possibly injured. The other thing about Nash is he played last year and was bad... so he is actually only a .285 milb hitter without power. You have to look at the entire milb career... yearly splits especially short season aren't that reliable. If a 24 year old hit .350 in Bluefield, then got promoted to full season the next year, and hit .350 again over a full season then it would be worth noticing even if he was old for the league. So the problem isn't just that Nash is old. He's only done it for 6 weeks... once they do it for 6 months then start taking it seriously.
  4. Olerud363
    Generally speaking there is no practical disadvantage to being old at a level. Players will always get promoted if they play well. They will be released and discarded when they stop playing well. A lot of people ******** about the various reasons such a player is going to fail... but it is just talk. A player like Nash Knight is always promoted when they are playing well. If Nash is the next late bloomer he will hit at Vancouver, then Lansing, then Dunedin, Then new Hampshire and Buffalo. And he will show up in Toronto possibly as late as 2018. It probably won't happen, Nash will probably stop hitting at some point. Not cuz he's old, just cuz that's what tends to happen to everyone.
  5. Olerud363
    TODD Don't fool around with this s***. We need good karma. This was a devastating loss. 1. Lost extra innings against hated Os 2. Lost Tulo to day to day thumb fracture (day to day is 6-8 weeks in Tulo years). 3. Possibly lost Michael Saunders to rib injury. 4. Bullpen worn out before big Houston series. 5. Rowdy Tellez 0-4 I am sure Vlad Jr. and Urena will probably s*** the bed too... when bad karma hits it tends to hit the entire system top to bottom.
  6. Olerud363
    OK. I thought he might of been outlawed. If I have the story wrong I say sorry to the mods. Did he have to just do family stuff with his 5 kids??
  7. Olerud363
    Well Todd era - 2-0 -- happiness and joy, the people are happy, freedom is alive, harmless humor is rapent, intelligent discussion is still present as well. The dictators seemingly shut down the Todd era The rains fall, the people are repressed. One of most frustrating losses of the season, to a divisional rival occurs, coincidence?? I think not. the coorporate bros are back with one sentence thoughts without character. It's like North Korea hear again. Hail mods!
  8. Olerud363
    I'm not sure about his attitude back then. I think he was a rule V draftee. So they kept trading him, which sometimes happens with rule V guys. They have to offer him back to the old team if they send him down, but they can trade him instead. So if a team has roster needs, they might end up trading trading a rule V guy to another team who has room on their roster. http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=bautis001jos In 2003 he was 22, had injuries and played at low a... but I guess teams saw the potential and drafted him in rule V for 2004. But he wasn't ready, but seems to have been in the majors all of 2004... not much playing time (maybe injuries too?) and didn't hit well. Somehow ended up traded back to Pittsburgh via New York Mets via KC. Not sure what that was all about. I thought he had to be offered back by any team that wouldn't put him on the roster.
  9. Olerud363
    I don't quite get this. According to fan graphs Devon Travis is a 6 WAR per year 162 player... Darwin Barney 2 WAR 162. Of course Travis may be playing a bit over his head in first 100 games... but Darwin Barney is playing over his head so far this year... All things being equal I hate to an older player taking time away from a younger one... And in this case things are no where close to equal.
  10. Olerud363
    You don't agree?? Or you do agree?? I think fangraphs has his fip at 3.90, and his xFip at 3.56. And the other point is that the homer rate league wide is way up. So it seems multiple factors have increased Stromans era... two of which are league offense levels and luck. So it's not as bad as it seems, he hasn't gone Romero or anything. I'm sure many of you guys have been pointing this for a while. I hadn't looked at Stroman closely lately, or realized league offense was up so much.
  11. Olerud363
    I wonder if it is really simple. There are rumours of juiced ball... http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-juiced-balls-the-new-steroids/ Stroman - true talent = 3.50 era Sroman + juiced ball + bad luck = 4.92 era
  12. Olerud363
    My favourite memory is the day he got traded for Melvin (formerly B.J.) Upton.. that is the only time I ever heard his name.
  13. Olerud363
    It's a harmless thread that adds a little humour... c'mon... In the age of Donald Trump we need to support the common people, the free market, freedom, the invisible hand, crowd wisdom, and the little guy as much as possible. What I mean is, in the United States there is tremendous fear that Trump will be a dictator and destroy not only America but mankind in nuclear war. I have no idea if this is true or not... but if if true the only solution is to fully support all mankind, and their rights. Grant - I dislike this thread -- The moral thing is to ignore it, and let it naturally disappear as good threads prosper and push it out... survival of the fittest. The immoral thing is to get "wise ones" (other wise known as dictators) to shut down the voices of the common people.
  14. Olerud363
    May I ask a question?? Why is Pillar hitting ahead of Smoak and Travis?? Is it because we do not understand the mind of John Gibbons?? Is this actually the optimal lineup because it puts better hitters in front of Jose?? Just wondering.
  15. Olerud363
    Grant has a serious mental issue. Have no idea what it is. I shudder to think he is supervising people. In his pre-reason predictions He was right about Sanchez(so far), and wrong (very wrong) about Ben Revere. Normal evaluation of Grant - Grant predicted Revere and Sanchez would be awesome, He is one out of two. Grant is human like us all, he is right, he is wrong, he wins, he loses, such is the fate of man. Grants evaluation of Grant - You know quite well what happened with Revere. He had an injury. Stop twisting things... you know full well my prediction was based on him playing 145 games. Any one can see that a healthy Revere would of put up 2 WAR.
  16. Olerud363
    Isn't Houston about to call up a Cuban guy and the best young advanced hitter (Bergman or something)... So Houston could easily run away quickly to... If is entirely possible that the jays could have playoff chances reduced dramatically before the deadline... they already have been reduced big time last 4 games... It's been like a 1/500 event (4 sox wins in a row. 4 Orioles wins in a row. 3/4 jays losses.
  17. Olerud363
    The team is old... If the team is not good enough this year when is the next time they will be good enough?? If the answer is > 2018 then is the ballsy move to trade Donaldson?? Or do you just ride him out and attempt to build something in 2017/18?? This is not unreasonable... The last 4 days have been devastating... 11/12 games went against us. playoff odds have probably been halved.
  18. Olerud363
    This board is what it is... The main posters like very few threads and short posts... I prefer lots of threads... In good forums you can scan the thread titled and get a feel for what is up... In this forum every day has the exact same 5 threads at the top...
  19. Olerud363
    Above post is just hypothetical assuming he is healthy and the improvements are for real... just right now he is tussling with the big boys for the Cy YOung.. No idea if it will last.
  20. Olerud363
    According to the fangraphs.... http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=2016&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 Absolutely. Even better chance than I thought. No one is having a crazy season (like Kershaw) in the A.L. Sanchez is 6th in WAR. If he finished 17-2 or something, and was in top 5 in WAR, top 5 in ERA... and the other contenders were 9-8. and s***, and the Jays win the East Why the hell not... What I am trying to say is this... no one (right now) has crazy peripherials... so like no one is going to go 13-10 with a 2.44 era and 9 WAR and make the writers notice the WAR. So Sanchez can do it... Will he do it?? No clue. There is also a chance he goes into the bullben in August, is dynamite, vultures some wins, lowers his era, and is 17-2 2.50 and wins it with 6 weeks in the bullpen.
  21. Olerud363
    Interesting, if true about Sanchez pitching in the all star game, Sanchez will be first to pitch in game, given Syndergard injury... can't separate them using conventional stats... 18-11 2.96 18-9 2.91 The geniuses like Grant were the only ones that saw this coming... Advanced stats say that Syndergard will end up way on top. Murky injury reports (where there is smoke there is fire) say Syndergard arm to blow up soon. NJH says both their arms will blow up soon. What do Buck and Pat say?? Buck - "Interesting to note that so far in their young careers their stats are exactly the same" Pat - "And your not kidding, these guys are exactly the same. It will be interesting to see where they end up in 10 years." Buck "When I managed here I had two young guys just like these two... Halladay and Carpenter... I can tell you we're going to be talking about Sanchez and Syndergard the same way 10 years from now. These big guys just don't get injured"
  22. Olerud363
    You could say that about any prospect. He's reached the stage where he could get a call-up to the majors real quick. Many players at this stage get called up to aaa... if they are hot in triple a, they are in the majors. Happened with a lot of guys. If you go way back to 89 John Olerud was given at bats late in a key game against Os... without any milb experience. Snider, Wells were thrown into "sort-of" pennant races in 99 and 08.
  23. Olerud363
    Rowdy is a fat kid. When Travis Snider was at the stage Rowdy is he was 1 month away from mlb... When Dalton Pompey was at the stage Rowdy is he was also 1 month away from mlb... When Vernon Wells was at the stage Rowdy is he was also 1 month away from mlb... Those may not have been the correct decisions... Maybe the new regime will not put Rowdy in the pennant race. But there are front offices past and maybe even present that would. Gibby would say... Smoaky is killin us the the strikeouts... And Rowdy appears a few days later. However
  24. Olerud363
    He came up as a top prospect... he has 30 homer power... he used to be good defensively... There is an inclination to discount the defensive numbers as fluke.. However, It sounds like he had a meniscus tear and his defense degraded after that.... So I think some people get excited about Bruce because they picture a .270 .330 .500 30 homer guy available cheap cuz the eggheads screwed up the D-numbers... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-jay-bruce-defensive-metrics-test/ Given that I am not sure having Sanders, Bruce, Bautista and EE on the same team and only 1 DH spot is a good idea...
  25. Olerud363
    Thanks. I had a moment of doubt or two but I just did not understand a mind like Gibbons. He does deserve credit for these bold moves.
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