Yup I did, though that game it was split because the Leafs only scored three (TT over 3.5). Yesterday was a particularly good day for me. 8-6 on the overs but 2-0 on my big bets (Leafs and Caps - both of those were only total 5.5 lol) and just barely squeaked by the daily over of 82.5 goals. Yesterday was 83. Needed the late goal and the last second empty netter by the Kings to save me on that one. I like those just barely wins though since it'll keep the lines low for as long as possible.
Everyone has made this observation, with how the Leafs are playing and Ovechkin. Struggles of certain goalies. But have a look at game averages so far this season:
https://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/stats.html
One more penalty per game each team. Thanks to the new rules and greater slashing calls. 0.34 more goals per team or 0.68 more goals per game. My estimate is that Vegas lines have accounted for maybe 0.2 or 0.3 of that move. For instance, yesterday's games had two total 6's, one total 5 (laying big juice on the over though) and the rest were 5.5's. This time last year a full card probably would have seen one total 6 and maybe 3-4 total 5's. So they are adjusting up, but not quickly enough in my opinion. So I'll ride this trend until Vegas adjusts up or the teams adjust their defense to avoid the slashing calls. Hopefully both at the same time then unders come into play.
But if the refs stay consistent all year, fast talented teams like the Leafs are going to do really well. Matthews is a f***ing beast 3 on 3. The Leafs are going to dominate OT games this year unlike last year. I see the team taking this division relatively easily and that's not just homer goggles on. Too bad it's a completely different game in the playoffs. I don't see this team going far if it plays like this in the playoffs.