I think the Jays have the better team with Lawrie, EE and Lind in the lineup. If you want me to create a statically significant mathematical model to indicate what the betting odds would be that the jays outperforming the O's over the next 17 games due to an easier schedule, then you're a moron. That would take an incredible amount of time and I don't need to verify statistically what can be identified qualitatively. Sure the variance of outcomes is significant, but I'd rather our pitching face the hitters and pitchers we're facing than the steady diet of pujols, trout and Hamilton, Donaldson, samardzija, gray, felix, iwakuma..etc.
If the Jays had EE, Lind and Lawrie and were healthy, I would bet large sums of money that over the upcoming 17 day stretch that the jays would have a better record than the orioles at even money. Anything could happen as this is sports, but if you continually make bets where the odds are stacked in your favour then you would make a lot of money. The reality is I would never find such odds, because we're playing s***** teams and the O's are playing good teams.
As it stands, we dont' have EE, Lind and Lawrie and our likelihood of having a better record over the next 17 than the O's is probably a flip em. I posting things Jays fans can be optimistic about. The 7 games the mariners play the O's is good for the Jays. If we were facing the tigers, Orioles and mariners and A's over the next stretch I would feel sick given the status of being 4 games and 2.5 back right now.
At least with the schedule we have there is room for an optimistic view that maybe our pitching can be strong and a few hitters can make some timely hits and that after this stretch we can be no worse off than we are today and we'll have the core of our team back to compete the rest of the way.
You want the Jays to lose. I get it. You go to great lengths to dispel anything positive ever said about the Jays. The points I made were worth noting for those who had not looked at the schedule for the next couple weeks for both the jays and the O's.