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KevinGregg

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Everything posted by KevinGregg

  1. KevinGregg
    Come on Joe, does anyone ever actually put a hit and run on hoping that it is a double play? Just because the pitcher will probably get out then you can have your lead off hitter lead off the next inning? Ridiculous take
  2. KevinGregg
    I disagree. I think it's nothing more than mindless drivel. Any point he has is completely lost in the nonsense. There's no reason to allow that kind of s*** posting on here
  3. KevinGregg
    2.1 WAR and 2.2 WAR in 2017 and 2018 isn't too bad. That's more than Price (the guy he got traded for) put up over the same time. Better than any of our starters last year. Now up to 1.6 on this season already. That definitely qualifies as solid.
  4. KevinGregg
    Yeah I agree with you that it was an early offer, but that's the gamble you take to get great players on team friendly deals. If it doesn't work out perfectly it's still hard to see that contract becoming an albatross
  5. KevinGregg
    I think he's shown a lot. His defence in CF has been league average at worst with flashes of potential to be above average. He's not flashy but he's solid. He also ranks in the middle of the pack of all hitters for Barrels/PA so there's a good chance his power will be maintained going forward. A .320 OBP .500 SLG season with above average CF defence is a real possibility for him IMO
  6. KevinGregg
    Billy Mckinney has been as bad as Brito - both are at -0.5 WAR. This is definitely a surprise. He's actually worse than Alen Hanson. I knew I hated seeing him in the lineup but this put it into prospective. At Least Drury looks like he has some upside. Brito can't possibly be this bad with the bat. Time to dump Mckinney and Hanson IMO
  7. KevinGregg
    This made me want to look up if bunting a dude over from 1st in the bottom of the 9th is even a good play. In the bottom of the 9th of a tie game with 0 outs and a runner on first, the home team has a 0.715 win probability. Teams that successfully bunt change the state of the game to 1 out and a runner on 2nd, which is on average a 0.703 win probability. So you don't want to bunt a runner from 1st to 2nd in this situation. An example of a good bunt is when you have a runner at 2nd with no out in the bottom of the 9th. Your win probability is 0.807. Bunt him to third, you now have a runner on 3rd with one out and your win probability goes up to 0.830. (using tables from http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html)
  8. KevinGregg
    I am surprised it took so long to find a dissenting opinion. I remember thinking at the time that the move made sense. Win the game right there.
  9. KevinGregg
    Maybe the Jays have some next level analytics that say we need to bat our best hitter 5th? I mean the book on lineup construction was written 20 years ago and is based on pretty rudimentary linear weights and averages. ... Or maybe he bats him 5th because when he bats 5th we win
  10. KevinGregg
    That's wrong though, they sold out the building regardless of curry's injury. If anything, the raps should have raised prices for that game
  11. KevinGregg
    Yeah, definitely - if it would make more people buy tickets.
  12. KevinGregg
    At first I was super excited to see the Vladesque K/BB ratio but then I had to remember not to take too much stock in low minors BB numbers. It doesn't say as much about plate discipline as it does in the upper levels or the majors. That being said, its obviously a good thing that kirk is walking so much, but it's way more important that he simply doesn't strike out.
  13. KevinGregg
    Love optimism like this. I hate the attitude that this team is going to win 65 games this year no matter what. We have the best hitter anyone has seen for decades coming up soon, lets make some noise!!
  14. KevinGregg
    Jano's blocking needs some work
  15. KevinGregg
    Case retired
  16. KevinGregg
    I think that's perfectly reasonable. We need outfielders badly. Brito has decent AAA numbers, he might have a 1% chance of being a decent 4th OF for us. Hanson has no future here, we have infielders for miles
  17. KevinGregg
    Puerto Rican Ned Yost strikes again
  18. KevinGregg
    Liverpool is my team but ajax is an amazing story so far. I'd be happy to see them win it all
  19. KevinGregg
    There’s like 10 people in the stands as well. A rain delay combined with interesting playoff games in other sports. I was just thinking I must be one of the only people watching this game
  20. KevinGregg
    Wow, who the f*** are you and what is this post?
  21. KevinGregg
    Was nice to see some good pitching
  22. KevinGregg
    Is there some rule that you have to leave the save-getter out there to blow the game after he blows the save? When he clearly doesn’t have it today?
  23. KevinGregg
    What are the odds we get out of this
  24. KevinGregg
    Was hoping Randall would catch that
  25. KevinGregg
    I agree Re-watch that mookie AB - destroyed the mvp
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