jaysblue
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Everything posted by jaysblue
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The career Josh Towers dreamed of.
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Prop betting creates a lot of temptation for players to have a side hustle and also to help their friends, without having to throw an entire game. NBA is the worst for sure and NFL. But we have seen it has spread across other sports like MLB as well. Would also be nice if every second ad on Sportsnet or any sports broadcast isn't a sports betting app advertisement. Can't even watch Sportsnet or Sportscentre anymore without them providing the odds on every matchup. Sad.
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I don't think baseball is as fixed as let's say the NFL or NBA during the regular season. Serious money is bet on the NFL every week, and teams are likely directed to make sure they don't cover the spread or go over in some cases and some upsets do happen that shouldn't. The NBA as well when it comes to over/under and the spread. Also, some elite teams do likely throw games against weaker teams. In terms of player props, likely happens more in the NFL and NBA where players tell their friends to make a certain bet. In the MLB, I'm sure there are some players or pitchers who tell their friends "yeah I won't get a hit tonight or will miss the strike zone and issue a walk or two." It does happen, though not as much probably as in the NFL or NBA. In terms of fixing the outcome of a game, easier in the NFL or NBA. Easier to control the outcome of a game/score. Doesn't really happen much in the MLB.
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Would rather trade and bring back Kikuchi instead of signing Ranger Suarez to a 5-6 year deal.
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Take every free agent to Vegas for a weekend 😂 -
Could he get by at second or not really?
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My main target would be resigning Bo or going after Bregman. Wouldn't surprise me if Springer plays a roll in pursuing Bregman. If $400M is being thrown around for Kyle Tucker, would pass. Think Bellinger would be a better option at a fraction of the cost and could also play CF. Would consider signing Varsho to an extension, depending on his health. Think you can lock him up for the next 4-5 years at a reasonable, below market value contract. Kind of like what the Jays did with Kirk. If the Jays struck out on both Bo and Bregman, I think Kim wouldn't be that bad of an option. If he's healthy, should be good for around 3 WAR, 15 HR's, and probably 30 steals.
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John Schneider - Possible contract extension
jaysblue replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
While I disagree with some of his in-game decision making, I think he'll continue to learn and improve with more experience. Like he's improved from 2022 till now, so that is encouraging. Seems like he's a likeable guy in that clubhouse and the players respect him. Have to give him credit for helping create that culture in the clubhouse this past season. -
This is anticipating that both Gausman and Bieber stay healthy and that Yesavage continues his breakout. If one of Gaus or Bieber land on the IL for an extended period of time or if Yesavage struggles out of the gate, Jays could be in trouble. Need to get through the grind of 162 games first before the Postseason. Adding another SP2 wouldn't hurt to be honest.
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Yeah I don't see the Jays waving the white flag on Santander just yet given his contract and offensive potential when healthy. It's not like any team would take on the contract right now anyways. Jays would have to eat some money to move him, so even if the Jays added let's say Bregman + one of Tucker/Belli (which is unlikely) better keeping Santander around rather than paying him to play somewhere else.
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What are you saying? Geez having baseball discussion. I'm not sure if the Jays would sign both an infielder like Bregman or Torres + another outfielder like Tucker or Belli since they likely have Santander in the outfield fold. If they want to keep Barger in RF, signing an infielder like Bregman makes sense. If they want to move Barger to 3B full time, then they could sign an outfielder like Tucker or Belli. Santander is really the one clogging up a spot. Will be interesting to see what decision the Jays make.
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Yeah Bregman or Torres if you want to keep Barger in RF. Ha-seong Kim could be an interesting option, but he never can stay healthy. Don't think the Jays would be in on anyone else for the infield, since they value defense and there really aren't many viable options. Suarez at 3B or Arraez at 2B takes you down a notch defensively. Outside of Tucker, would consider Bellinger since he's a lefty and could play CF.
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He probably will pitch until he's 42 here as long as a team offers him a rotation spot. I could see him going back to Japan after he retires in the MLB, if he still wants to pitch into his late 40's.
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Will bet a couple of bucks on Bieber for winning the AL Cy Young next season.
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Cease would be a nice guy to keep around post-2026. Walker and company could probably work their magic and unlock some untapped potential. Would be sweet if he returned to being a 4-5 WAR arm consistently. Suarez is interesting since he's a lefty and still 29, but not sure if he can be a consistent 4+ WAR pitcher moving forward or revert to being a 2-3 WAR guy. I remember a lot of prominent board members before weren't huge fans of him a couple years ago. ] Framber is a workhorse, but seems like an *******. Jays FO would know more. Plus, he's already 31 and has a ton of mileage on that arm. A lefty for the rotation would be nice. Can dream Skubal haha. We've also seen Atkins always bringing back former players, and wonder if the Angels would trade Kikuchi.
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Nothing wrong with that at all. That's his best role. I've stated that numerous times, even throughout the season. If an injury happens, you can start/platoon him with someone for a couple weeks and won't hurt. I don't want to see Lukes getting 500 PA's however.
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It's nothing special. When I rave about someone's OBP skills especially someone with no power, I think of a guy at least with a .360-.370 OBP and high BB%. Any regression from Lukes results in a lower OBP and his low BB% is concerning.
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Never really chimed in on the topic. Sure there was a chance he could have accepted based on his performance and based on his experience in Toronto. He probably figures Toronto's staff can keep him healthy over a full season, which results in a bigger payday after the 2026 season. Plus with Toronto's defense behind him, definitely helps. Also, he did leave some money on the table by opting in. Sure he could have got $20+ AAV on a short term deal with player options attached.
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Is Woodruff expected to miss the start of 2026? If I signed Woodruff, would hold him back in the first half and get him built up starting in June. You want him healthy for the Postseason. If you could get 15-20 starts out of Woodruff during the regular season + 4-5 starts in the Postseason, would take that. Don't care about him making starts in April or May if I'm a team. Can fill the void with other junk ballers. Look at what the Dodgers did: guys like Glasnow (18 starts), Snell (11 starts) and Ohtani (14 starts) weren't exhausted and burnt out during the regular season. Yes some guys were on the IL early and they were working Ohtani back slowly, but these guys were all back to full strength when it mattered - down the stretch and in October. As we saw, you don't need these guys making 30+ starts each during the regular season. The goal is to have them healthy and fresh for the Postseason.
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So .323 is a good OBP?
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This aged well 🤣
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Yeah you either need a strong platoon partner with him or he's good to keep around as a 4th OF, bat of the bench, but that's it. Lukes at most brings back a reliever in a trade. You're not cashing in on either Lukes or Clement this offseason as some have suggested.
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Lukes had a .323 OBP and a 8.7 BB% this season.
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I think Clement is more valuable to the Jays than what he would bring in trade. Trading Lukes for a reliever could be possible.
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Lukes for Tony Santillan.
