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jaysblue

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Everything posted by jaysblue

  1. I agree he’d function as offensive insurance, but I think calling him just a depth add undersells the impact a bit. Over a full season, he’s likely playing his way into regular at-bats somewhere given his versitility, especially once injuries, regression, and matchup usage inevitably kick in. That playing time doesn’t have to come disproportionately from one guy. It’s more about smoothing out risk across the roster. And that insurance matters. If Giménez struggles offensively again, Clement regresses, Okamoto has an adjustment period, or Barger hits a rough stretch, Donovan gives you a credible fallback without dropping to replacement-level production. That’s real value, not just redundancy. On cost, with two years of control, I don’t think it’s nothing but it also shouldn’t be premium. Someone in the Stanifer/Arias tier feels about right, depending on whether the other team wants proximity or upside. You’re not paying star prices. Overall, he’s the kind of move that doesn’t look flashy on day one but quietly improves roster resilience over 162 and that tends to matter more than we think.
  2. Donovan isn’t a flashy, headline-grabbing addition, but he checks a lot of boxes that this roster could really use. First, the bat plays. He’s a proven above-average offensive contributor (119 wRC+ last season), which is meaningfully better than what the Jays got from several regulars. Clement posted a 98 wRC+ in what was arguably his best season, while Giménez was closer to a 70 wRC+. Over a full season, that gap matters. Donovan consistently gets on base, limits wasted plate appearances, and helps avoid lineup dead zones. Second, he raises the floor of the lineup. He’s not here to replace stars or cap upside. He’s here to reduce volatility. If regression hits, injuries pile up, or certain bats go cold (which always happens), Donovan gives you a reliable offensive baseline rather than forcing replacement-level production into everyday roles. Third, the versatility is real value. Donovan can handle second base, third base, shortstop in a pinch, and both corner outfield spots. That flexibility matters over 162 games and becomes even more important in October when matchup optimization and roster maneuvering are critical. It also allows the Jays to move pieces like Okamoto between LF and 3B more freely. Donovan may only project as a 2.5–3 WAR player, but that’s exactly the kind of value that stabilizes good teams and helps them withstand regression and injuries. He doesn’t lower the ceiling—he makes it far more likely the Jays actually reach it.
  3. The Jays will be fine defensively with Clement and Giménez holding down the middle infield - that’s not the concern. The gloves will play. Offensively, replacing Bo’s bat is where the challenge is. Last year’s Jays lineup was built on high contact, low strikeouts, strong OBP, and consistent pressure rather than pure slug. They were among the league leaders in wRC+ (Top 5), contact rate and one of the lower-K lineups in MLB. Starting both Giménez and Clement also creates the real possibility of a dark spot in the lineup if neither hits enough. You can survive one low-impact bat; stacking two makes it easier for opposing pitchers to navigate the order. Adding a bat like Cody Bellinger or someone with similar everyday impact would help keep the offense from losing too much of its edge and also provide more options when it comes to lineup sequencing and matchups. That said, this is still a good lineup even without Bo. The point is simply about covering all avenues and reducing risk, not panic.
  4. Offense took a step back? Bold. The cavalry is definitely en route.
  5. Your arrogance and self-entitlement are on full display.
  6. Friendly wager? O/U 100 wRC+ Case of beer!
  7. You’re second right behind him. You guys haven’t changed at all.
  8. FAX Sports: MLB (Parody) (@mlbonfax) • Instagram photo WWW.INSTAGRAM.COM 1,098 likes, 14 comments - mlbonfax on January 18, 2026: "Isiah Kiner-Falefa is officially part of Team Saudi Arabia for the...
  9. You're extremely optimistic and that's fine. I also would love to see Clement finishing with a 100 wRC+ though just tempting my expectations given his age and track record.
  10. Man what is your issue? Like seriously, last two responses you made towards my posts, you're going back to your old habits that made you one of the most insufferable and arrogant posters on this board. You don't have to agree with me on everything I say and that's fine. But stop with the arrogance.
  11. Ha-seong Kim is made of glass. Kim underwent surgery Sunday to repair a torn tendon in his right middle finger and is facing an estimated recovery timeline of 4-to-5 months. Kim inked a one-year, $20 million contract with Atlanta in December, but he'll now be unavailable for the start of the upcoming campaign after recently sustaining the injury after he slipped on ice while back home in his native South Korea, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com. The 30-year-old was limited to 48 games for Tampa Bay and Atlanta last season due to injuries, and his 2026 is also off to an unfortunate start. Based on the initial timeline, Kim shouldn't be expected to make his season debut until at least mid-May but could be out longer, potentially leaving Mauricio Dubon or Nacho Alvarez to fill in at shortstop for much of the first half.
  12. Clement ain't surpassing 100 wRC+ haha. Would be great but I don't see it.
  13. Should have taken the Texans at +11.5 and 7.5 to 1 Money line at the half damn.
  14. I agree the up-the-middle defense is a huge strength, and on paper it’s legitimately elite. Clement, Gimenez, Varsho, and Kirk give you a lot of run prevention value, and having someone like Straw as a late-inning defensive replacement only adds to that. Where I’m a bit more cautious is on the offensive assumption. League-average bats from Clement and Gimenez would be great outcomes but that’s still an assumption, not a lock, especially over a full season. If one or both come in below that level, the lineup can thin out quickly near the bottom. I’m with you on Santander. His bat is pretty pivotal. If he rebounds, it stabilizes a lot. If not, that’s where the margin tightens. Okamoto is also a big swing factor, both offensively and defensively. I do agree the depth and versatility are real strengths, and the pitching looks excellent on paper. I just think that’s also why adding one more reliable offensive piece if its possible would make the roster feel a lot more resilient if one of those bets doesn’t hit.
  15. I love their defense, but man Stroud has looked pretty bad this game so far. They're lucky it's only 21-13.
  16. Yeah Jays will have to be creative when it comes to moving players around and lineups/matchups. Depth and roster versatility is a strength when healthy. If they lose an infielder like Okamoto, Clement or Gimenez, infield depth becomes tested. Some bats may regress also in 2026 like we've discussed. That's why it wouldn't be a bad idea adding another bat if possible. Adding another quality hitter raises the floor of the lineup, so the offense doesn’t collapse if one or two players underperform or miss time.
  17. Would the Milwaukee Brewers ever consider shopping Brice Turang right now? He's going to start getting expensive for them and is a free agent in 2030. We know the Brewers are always open to value trades. Would you deal Yesavage +?
  18. Some outfielders who could be moved and with controllability: - Jarren Duran: would actually make a lot of sense for the Toronto Blue Jays on paper. He brings real value in areas the Jays have been trying to improve: plus speed, could play CF, and some offensive upside without needing to be “the guy” in the lineup. He gives flexibility across the outfield, and comes with multiple years of control. That said, the reality is he’s extremely unlikely to be moved within the division. - Oneil Cruz: is an intriguing fit for the Toronto Blue Jays given the upside, elite raw power, athleticism, and the ability to handle CF in spurts if needed. That said, the likelihood feels low. The Pittsburgh Pirates still likely view Cruz as a foundational piece, and if they ever did move him, the price would be massive and likely aimed at a full prospect haul rather than a win-now deal. Toronto would have to overpay for upside and volatility. - Luis Robert Jr.: is one of the most obvious upside fits for the Toronto Blue Jays with true CF defense, impact power, and game-changing athleticism when healthy. He’s the type of player who can alter the lineup and defense overnight. The catch is risk and cost. The Chicago White Sox would want a significant return, and Robert’s injury history makes it a high-variance move. Toronto would be betting big on health to justify the price. - Steven Kwan: would be a really clean fit for the Toronto Blue Jays with elite contact skills, strong on-base ability, and high baseball IQ. He’d lengthen the lineup and fit the Jays’ preference for control and reliability. No power and more of a left fielder however. - Lars Nootbaar: Not a true CF and defensively is meh but very controllable, OBP-driven. Seems like St. Louis is reshaping aggressively, so he could probably be available. - Parker Meadows: Young, controllable CF with strong defense and improving bat. Maybe Detroit would be open to a challenge trade/change of scenery type of deal.
  19. Who would have thought the Patriots would return to the Super Bowl before the Bills? Never had that on my Bingo card.
  20. Yup too many TO's, especially in the first half when they could have really put the Broncos to rest. Game also felt a bit rigged near the end. Some bad calls and then all of a sudden in OT the refs calls PI's on Buffalo when they never threw up any flags all game. Didn't feel right.
  21. I think that’s a fair projection-based case, and I agree the offense has a real chance to remain a strength if a lot of those outcomes break right. ZiPS seeing Okamoto and Bo as roughly a 1-for-1 in terms of OPS+ is encouraging, and better health alone should help the run environment compared to last year. Where I’m a bit more cautious is that the margin for error feels thinner than the projections suggest. Okamoto translating smoothly, Santander rebounding, Springer holding his level, Vlad taking a step forward, and Giménez’s ankle no longer being a factor all have to line up at once. That’s possible, but it’s a lot of positive variance to bank on simultaneously. I also think projections can miss where offense shows up. Even if the aggregate numbers hold, losing Bo’s bat changes lineup sequencing and late-game leverage. A high-end bat tends to smooth over cold stretches, regression, and injuries in a way depth alone sometimes can’t especially in October. So I don’t disagree that the offense could still be very good, but adding another impact bat would lower the dependence on everything going right and give the lineup more insulation if one or two of those bets don’t hit.
  22. I mostly agree with the broader takeaway that this feels like a more mature, disciplined organization but I’m not sure I buy that all of those past moves were outright overpays. The Martin deal looks expensive in isolation, but he delivered elite value relative to position and fundamentally changed the pitching staff and clubhouse. Same with Burnett. Top starters pretty much were in that price range (4/5 years around $10-12M AAV) at the time. Jays got Burnett I recall by adding on an extra year and the opt out. Ryan was an overpay at the time yes when it came to relievers/closers. The Dickey and Marlins trades were different - they carried real downside and volatility but even then, the Jays were operating in a very different financial and competitive environment. It’s also worth remembering that before the Jays were firmly in a competitive window, they had to overpay to attract talent. The Ryu deal is a good example as of recently since Toronto needed to pay a premium to signal credibility and relevance at the time. That wasn’t desperation so much as necessity. What is different now is that the team doesn’t need to stretch into the margins just to be relevant. They can be selective, walk away when the price is wrong, and still remain competitive. That’s a good sign. I just don’t think that means every aggressive move in the past was desperation or an overpay. Some of those deals were necessary bets that paid off, even if they looked big at the time.
  23. Over a full season, playing time always gets redistributed through injuries, matchups, and regression. Adding another bat is more about raising the floor and reducing how much you have to rely on bounce-backs. Never mentioned about taking playing time away from Barger. Santander and Suarez may be similar offensive profiles, but banking on Santander fully rebounding to his pre-FA level is still a projection, not a certainty. Depth matters precisely because not every rebound actually happens. Suarez has actually been a 3-4 WAR guy every season, whereas Santander is mostly a 2ish WAR guy. As for the midseason trade idea, I get the appeal, but that assumes a lot going right: another team falling out early, being willing to move a true impact player, and the Jays being comfortable paying a massive prospect and cash price at the deadline. Those deals are rare and usually cost more than expected.
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