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jaysblue

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Everything posted by jaysblue

  1. jaysblue
    Definitely becoming psychological at this point.
  2. jaysblue
    Yeah Jackson Merrill in 2024 during his rookie season was looking like a star. The past two seasons, he's been boring like you said. Even despite the offensive struggles, still going to post a +3 WAR season. Still only 23, but hasn't looked anywhere close to the 5-6 WAR type of player we saw in 2024.
  3. jaysblue
    Henry Davis - what a disaster haha. Wouldn't write off Jackson Jobe just yet. Just came back from injury and still only 24. Cowser is still young enough to bounce back, but he's looking like he could go the way of Jeremy Hermida haha. I still like Lawlar - just needs to stay healthy. Kumar Rocker is having a meh season. Matt McLain still has the raw tools for a breakout. Just needs to put it altogether. McGreevy has been solid, but nothing special. Gavin Williams looks like he's the best out of that bunch. Has ace-level upside at least. Colson Montgomery looks legit and could get better. Joe Mack looks really good as well. Already 2.2 WAR in 76 games.
  4. jaysblue
    Going 2–4 on this road trip likely wouldn’t bury them, but we’re at the point of the season where you’re running out of games and need to bank as many wins as possible. I know the schedule gets easier after this trip, but you can’t just take that for granted and assume they’re going to walk all over those teams especially with this lineup. We’ve seen plenty of times in baseball that an “easy” opponent doesn’t automatically translate into a series win. So take whatever you can get right now, even against Tampa and New York. If the Jays can come out of this six-game road trip at 3–3, I’d consider that a huge success.
  5. jaysblue
    The real test comes now against Tampa Bay on the road. After the strides they made during this homestand, you can’t afford to give it all right back with a poor series in Tampa and then another bad one in New York next weekend. Win both of these road series and then we're getting more serious. Worst case, you’ve got to come out of this road trip at least 3–3 to stay within reach.
  6. jaysblue
    Tough loss, but if you told me at the beginning of the week that the Jays would take 3 of 4 from the Red Sox and 2 of 3 from the Yankees, I think every Jays fan would’ve taken that without hesitation. Going 5–2 against two divisional rivals is a very successful homestand, regardless of how frustrating the final game was.
  7. jaysblue
    Under the old playoff format of three division winners plus one Wild Card, Jays fans were complaining about that system back in the 2000s too. With the Yankees and Red Sox routinely dominating the AL East, Toronto basically had no realistic path to the postseason unless they put together an elite season. The Jays won 86 games in 2003 and 87 games in 2006 yet by this point in those seasons, they were essentially already out of contention and playing meaningless baseball. That’s why I prefer the expanded playoff format. You can argue six teams per league is too many when the AL is as weak as it is this year, but at least good teams aren’t basically eliminated by August simply because they happen to play in a stacked division. We wouldn't be saying the same about the NL right now, where all 6 teams who make the Postseason are all pretty strong, even the teams battling for the third Wild Card.
  8. jaysblue
    Every season is different. It’s definitely surprising how weak the AL has been this year, but it’s not like this happens every season. The balance of power fluctuates from year to year. The NL has been much stronger this season. You’ve got two teams tied for the third Wild Card spot at a .532 winning percentage, which would actually be good enough to lead both the AL Central and AL West right now. The Jays are pretty fortunate they’re in the AL during a year when the league has been a dumpster fire. If they were in the NL with the exact same record, they’d probably be something like six games back of the final Wild Card instead of right in the middle of the race.
  9. jaysblue
    And they were the team in that Moneyball movie 😂
  10. jaysblue
    I agree with cycling Valenzuela and Kirk through the DH spot once or twice a week. Valenzuela especially needs to be in the lineup more consistently if they want to get his bat going. And yeah, you really don’t want Sanchez facing LHP, which is why it makes sense that he’s not in the lineup today.
  11. jaysblue
    The bullpen looks pretty taxed right now, but Varland and Fluharty should hopefully still be available. Even if it means working three days in a row, their pitch counts have been low enough that you could probably use them again if needed. Rogers I’m not so sure about.
  12. jaysblue
    Huge win today! Have a chance with Cease on the mound for the sweep tomorrow, but regardless, taking 2 of 3 against the Yankees a huge success!
  13. jaysblue
    Already picked up in the LOD.
  14. jaysblue
    Just posted 40 mins ago...
  15. jaysblue
    Tiedemann is getting called up today right?
  16. jaysblue
    Would have been cool to see Schlittler vs. Cease in a battle of AL Cy Young contenders. Feels like this one will be tough, but if we could sneak out a win here, that would be huge.
  17. jaysblue
    This could be the thread of the year!!! Let's go!!!
  18. jaysblue
  19. jaysblue
    Sucks the game is on Apple tonight ugh.
  20. jaysblue
    Don't even think Vladdy can surpass Overbay's season HR totals from 2008-2010 haha.
  21. jaysblue
    I think having six teams from each league make the postseason is better than the older formats, whether it was three division winners plus one Wild Card, or the era of the one-game Wild Card. I’d prefer the Wild Card round to be best-of-five, but I understand why that’s difficult. It would make an already tight playoff schedule even longer, while also leaving the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds sitting around for quite a while. The NPB playoff format is interesting in that regard. In the final stage of the Climax Series, the first-place team starts with an automatic 1–0 advantage, meaning they only need three actual wins to advance while the challenger needs four. It’s definitely unconventional, but I can see the logic if you want to put more emphasis on winning the division and give lower-seeded teams a legitimate disadvantage. I wouldn’t necessarily want MLB to copy it exactly, but I do like the idea of rewarding the best regular-season teams more than they currently do.
  22. jaysblue
    Yeah, back in the 2000s, even if the Jays were hovering above .500 at this point in the season, they were usually already pretty much out of playoff contention. Now they’re 59–64, only 2.0 games back of a playoff spot, and we’re still talking about meaningful baseball in mid-August. Considering how much this team has underperformed, along with all the injuries they dealt with earlier in the season, it’s pretty remarkable that postseason baseball is still a very realistic possibility.
  23. jaysblue
    It's all about the money at the end of the day when it comes to sports. Expanded playoffs in MLB and other leagues means more money. FIFA wants to expand the World Cup in 2030 to 64 teams now as well lol.
  24. jaysblue
    Some potential trade candidates before 2027: CJ Abrams Zach Neto Steven Kwan Jarren Duran Trevor Larnach Jake McCarthy Oneil Cruz Not sure the Jays would have enough to acquire Neto or Abrams, but either one would allow you to move Gimenez back to 2B and keep Ernie in that super-utility role where he can move around the diamond. Kwan could bounce back, but he offers very little power, and this lineup already has too many guys like that. Larnach doesn’t really move the needle for me either, he’s not much different from Lukes. Duran has an intriguing power/speed combination, but he’s been a dumpster fire this season. I also don’t really trust McCarthy’s production outside of Coors. Oneil Cruz is probably the most intriguing of that group if he can stay healthy. There’s still plenty of offensive upside there, although the defense is pretty meh. Not sure the Twins shop Buxton. Seems like he's destined to be in Minneapolis forever.
  25. jaysblue
    Randy probably gets a four- or five-year deal based on the season he’s having, especially since the power/speed combination is still pretty intriguing. If you can get Suzuki or Happ on a three-year deal, though, I think that makes a lot of sense. I just wouldn’t want to go four or five years on either of them at this stage.
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