I hope I don't get tarred and feathered for this...
On paper, the Blue Jays heading into 2026 are clearly a better team than they were last season. The roster looks deeper and better constructed overall, especially when you factor in the starting rotation with Cease, Bieber, Ponce and Yesavage replacing Bassitt, Berrios, Francis and Scherzer from last Opening Day. There’s a real case that this is a stronger, more complete group.
That said, the AL East is still absolutely brutal. Teams like the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox can never be written of. They have the resources, talent base, and ability to add quickly if things start breaking their way.
And then there’s the Baltimore Orioles. With the amount of young talent they still have, they’re probably the biggest wild card in the division. A team like that can realistically jump from a ~75-win profile to a 90-win contender almost overnight if their young bats all click at the same time and they get decent pitching.
So yes, the Jays look better and that’s encouraging but nothing in this division comes easy. Being improved doesn’t automatically mean being comfortable, and that’s exactly why health, depth, flexibility, and continued aggression still matter. Plus anything could happen in baseball as we've seen.
I bet $100 on the Jays to win the World Series again and also bet $50 on them to win the AL, so I am a believer. We saw how this team played in October. It's just getting to October which is always the tough part and winning the division, so they avoid playing in the Wild Card round.