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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    I think where he plays will depend largely on what they do in the offseason. If they add a true 3b and keep Vlad at 1st, he'll probably promarily DH and get the occasional start at 1st. If they go another way, and Vlad plays 3rd, he's probably the primary 1b. I don't think the Jays want him playing 2b much
  2. John_Havok
    Defensible to call it an error. Then throw beat him by a step and a half and pulled Olson off the bag. Sure it wasn't routine, but it was far from a sure single.
  3. John_Havok
    Man it would sure be nice of Horwitz actually has 25 HR pop...
  4. John_Havok
    He's kinda worth it, but at the same time, they could likely find a guy that gives 85% of Chapman for 50% of the cost. Add to that they fact they weren't even bidding against other teams and it's kinda head scratching.
  5. John_Havok
    Jansen might be the poster child for the 1 year show-me contract somewhere. Might get 1+1 option. 2 year guarantee tops I'd wager.
  6. John_Havok
    I've already advocated to sign a top tier SP as the way to improve the rotation. It's also still far to early to write off Yariel as a starter, it's clear he has good enough stuff to do it. I'm more worried about Bassit imploding than I am about Yariel not taking a step forward
  7. John_Havok
    Catchers man. Unless they're Buster Posey-esque the smart money is always on letting them walk. Even Adley has taken a step back this season with the bat ( for him, still well above average for a catcher) and he'll be 27 next year.
  8. John_Havok
    Adrian Pinto also returned from injury amd has been legit mashing for Vancouver since getting back there in the admittedly Pinto-sized sample. 67 PA, 3 HR, 7 doubles, 1 triple and OPS north of 1.000
  9. John_Havok
    Yeah, at this moment the depth is thin. It's basically Bloss and Macko as the default 6 and 7 until Manoah and Ricky T are back and healthy
  10. John_Havok
    Macko is back from his forearm soreness. Thrown 2 straight shutout appearances for Dunedin. Their season is over before he would pitch again there so ...he might get one more start at AA
  11. John_Havok
    I dont think its necessarily about handing them jobs, its just that neither of them have options next season. It sure seems like a waste of value to place either of them in the pen just for depth purposes when they're both clearly good enough for the rotation. If they find a pitcher to add above them, sure, I guess you could make that argument, but both would be on track for around 130 IP next season. I guess as it stands now, Yariel would be the guy theyd move to the pen if they had to.
  12. John_Havok
    If they both hit like they are now, whether they are 1B or DH doesn't really matter. Worry about that problem in 5-7 years.
  13. John_Havok
    f***ing rocket for an arm though.
  14. John_Havok
    I also agree that the arbitration system is rather stupid. But, the reason I generally don't have a problem with how players usually gets raises, is because of how little they earn when they're in their prime years doing a lot of heavy lifting for league minimum. And those big overpaid contracts are usually only going to superstars now, largely thanks to analytics. FOs aren't breaking the bank for average players and the 2 WAR veterans are usually left with whatever they can get.
  15. John_Havok
    Really? Even using 5 million per win... in either season...doing the math suggests Vlad's value would be 30% of 5 million. I'm admittedly too lazy to look up what the actual win value was for 2019...but league minimum salary was 555,000. 30% of 5 million is 1.5 million. Being paid about a 3rd of what you're worth could certainly qualify as drastically underpaid. And if the value a win was higher than 5 million it just gets worse ... I know that's not really the spirit of your argument, but the fact remains a disproportionate number of wins in MLB is generated by ayers in their first 3 years of service time, while.being drastically underpaid at league minimum. That's the basis for those new bonus pools. It's still extremely tilted, but it's a step in the right direction.
  16. John_Havok
    He pitched well. Didn't have his usual stuff or command and still managed a QS against a good hitting lineup.
  17. John_Havok
    I'll let you know the answer when your post finishes loading
  18. John_Havok
    But vlad isn't really overpaid .... and was severely underpaid in years 1, 2, 3, less so in 4, and is trending to be severely underpaid in year 5. But that's a separate argument. They're allowed to use publicly available stats, with limits. They can't use any statcast stuff But yes, the reason it's not getting fixed is because the owners benefit faaaaaaaaaar more often than they get boned. This last CBA negitiation proved that
  19. John_Havok
    Its just because of the stats that get used, and remember the arbitrators aren't exactly baseball nerds. I bet if you lined up the traditional stats like hits, HRs, RBIs ... etc etc, they'd all be in the same general area heading into their final arb year.
  20. John_Havok
    it's hard to say. The limited samples could go either way. 2023 in 42 chances, he was -1 OAA 2024 in 62 chances he's +3. So +2 in 104 chances, which is just not a lot of chances to go on. To put it in perspective, Bo has 239 chances in 2024 and was a +1 OAA, so the variance in outcomes for Clement could swing pretty far one way or the other with full time reps.
  21. John_Havok
    Yep. Its pretty easy to ballpark what he will get given the precedent of the those 4 guys.
  22. John_Havok
    Bout the same time all of that info became instantly accessible in real time?
  23. John_Havok
    Excellent. Now go hire the genius in the Rays org at the same level, give him a fake promotion title and pay him whatever he wants to join Toronto.
  24. John_Havok
    Don't have to look that far in house, Orelvis hit 28 at age 19 in a single season split between A and A+. 98 games, 2021.
  25. John_Havok
    It's not based on nonsense. Just like you saw them pull Francis in his last start, likely because of his dip in velocity and his own admitted fatigue. The same is probably true for Yariel who averaged 94.7 mph on the 4 seamer in June, but only averaged 93.6 in August. Fatigue for a guy who didn't throw a single competitive pitch in 2023 other than the WBC is a virtual certainty. If you want to quibble over calling it an "innings limit" vs a "he's clearly fatiguing at this point so maybe we should back off slightly since a tired arm is far more injury prone than a healthy arm" fact of his circumstance...sure.
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