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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    They are probably having a pizza party tonight in Tampa's front office Framing runs: 2013 +17.2 (6th in baseball but was almost #1 in runs per chance) 2014 +24.9 (1st in baseball despite only playing 80 games) 2015 +3.6 (down year)
  2. Laika
    Why do you have to be so obtuse? I watched every game and saw a loooooot of duck farts by Colabello. He was the king of duck farts. We see what we want, to some extent. You see a shiny batting average and think he's good.
  3. Laika
    .350 is elite, Miguel Cabrera / Mike Trout / Paul Goldschmidt, routinely smashes line drives at 100+ mph territory.
  4. Laika
    I think it's entirely based on the basic stats. Not as a rule or anything, just as a holdover. The arbitrators aren't necessarily baseball people, they are labour law people (lawyers and judges), so the process is kind of stuck with with these old stats and old reference points that can work across both the baseball and employment law worlds. That's why they also care about playing time and awards. "I see here, Mr. Donaldson, that you barely missed any days of work in 2015 and you were also recognized by your peers as being excellent at your job. Very good!" I don't really know how it works exactly.
  5. Laika
    You just tender him as an insurance policy at this point, in case Osuna and Sanchez have a terrible tandem skydiving accident and land on Aaron Loup. Maybe he comes to spring with a new pitch or something. I mean he still has some decent stuff and strikeout skill.
  6. Laika
    Of course. We could probably expect Colabello to BABIP a bit over .300 due to his up the middle, line drive approach. Maybe .320 is fair.
  7. Laika
    Yeah but who gives a s*** about keeping Delabar around? He's essentially a replacement level reliever.
  8. Laika
    Site is slow as f*** and the new UI is garbage but it's the only place that has all of that information.
  9. Laika
    THIS WEBSiTE KNOWS
  10. Laika
    [table=width: 400, class: grid] [tr] [td][/td] [td]BB%[/td] [td]K%[/td] [td]ISO[/td] [td]BABIP[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]Smoak[/td] [td]8.8%[/td] [td]26.2%[/td] [td].243[/td] [td].254[/td] [/tr] [tr] [td]Colabello[/td] [td]6.1%[/td] [td]26.7%[/td] [td].198[/td] [td].411[/td] [/tr] [/table] Don't let the BABIP dragon fool you? Obviously Smoak is a statue that should only be expected to BABIP about .275, but Colabello isn't that much more athletic. It's entirely possible that Colabello built his 2015 offensive season largely on duck-farts, that won't transfer over. Smoak has the better underlying offensive peripherals, largely. He's also marginally better defensively. Their projections will be close. It's essentially a coin-flip for who will be better in 2016.
  11. Laika
    Yeah the guy had a .243 ISO. Easy to look past that when three other guys on the team had better marks, but coming to Rogers Centre really did unlock Smoak's latent power.
  12. Laika
    Smoak had a 112 wRC+ in 2013 with traditional stats of .238/20/50 and he was paid $2.7M in arb 1 in 2014 as a result. He was a nightmare in 2014 so he was non-tendered and signed at a pay cut. Then in 2015 he basically returned to 2013 talent levels, like you said. .226/18/59 It was in way less PA though. His traditional production scaled to 600 PA would have been 33 HR and 108 RBI, believe it or not. Arbitration is a weird process that is based on traditional stats and what similar players have made during arbitration. I don't have the insider's knowledge to know if his arbitration for 2016 would have been tied to the $2.7M from 2014 or the $1M contract from last year, but I've heard that he was projected to make $4M in arbitration. I find it funny (and I'm not talking about you) that some of the same people who basically think money shouldn't matter when it comes to Price all of a sudden are perturbed that Justin Smoak is making a few more peanuts.
  13. Laika
    And Mike Minor is non-tendered too, so the market is just FLOODED with shoulder injury starters.
  14. Laika
    This smells like the Marlins just being the Marlins, and pinching pennies. Maybe other teams were interested but never offered anything the Marlins wanted. Even if Alvarez can't even pitch in 2016, he'd still only be like an $8M commitment. Not very hard for him to be worth that in 2017 alone. Not that he's a stud or anything. Kind of overrated.
  15. Laika
    but why you only live once you can talk to dump people or smart people your choice
  16. Laika
    Christmas came early for my ignore list!
  17. Laika
    Ohhhh, Smoak made $2.7M in arb 1 back in 2014. That is probably the influence that pushes his 2016 arb range up so much. I'm not 100% sure how the process works but I know a player's arbitration awards can't go down. They avoided arb last year, obviously.
  18. Laika
    Is this your own quote? It's brilliant
  19. Laika
    Do you mean like, career options outside of baseball?
  20. Laika
    The problem is that in any one post it's not apparent that it's trolling. You have to see what that person is posting consistently to get that it's all hot garbage. So they manage to incite a lot of responses
  21. Laika
    Wait, Smoak is getting a raise to $3.9M? That seems too high.
  22. Laika
    Isn't it patently obvious to everyone that there are two extremes for trolling? A) In good humour, funny, light hearted. Meant to be positive in the long run by increasing the levity of the board. More people are included than excluded from the "joke". (see half of my posts). Meant to annoy as many people as possible. Strictly negative. Brings no value to the board. Only annoys people in the long term. The "joke" excludes virtually everybody aside from the poster. (see everything RealAccountant posts) Sure, some people like HERPDERP fall somewhere in the middle and make things confusing, but when someone it obviously in the latter category and it can be demonstrated by a large sample of worthless content then they should be banned because they suck
  23. Laika
    It was a meniscus removal. Still sort of routine but I think it's more likely to lead to minor chronic issues, chronic knee pain for Saunders.
  24. Laika
    Of course I don't know why that poster hasn't been perma-banned. He's an obvious troll...
  25. Laika
    #LoD1BOTF
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