Laika
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Breaking Blue: Toronto Blue Jays Blog is live
Laika replied to admin's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Glancing at the trade market for Ben Revere -
Glancing at the trade market for Ben Revere
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Pretty good comp to the recently traded Mike Foltynewicz (him + Rio Ruiz fetched Evan Gattis). Gattis sucked in 2015 but at the time of the trade he was a league average (ish) bat with a few years of control left. Sanchez could probably fetch something of similar value.
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There will probably be 20+ teams interested in Zobrist. I think he'll sign a very lucrative contract for someone entering their age 35 season. 4 year deal should be easy to obtain. His camp will probably be looking at the V-Mart extension, which was 4/$68 for Martinez' age 36-39 seasons. Also recently, we saw Nelson Cruz get 4/$57 entering his age 34 season. Ben Zobrist is a completely different player than those two. Arguably, he would be expected to age better and have a better chance of maintaining his value as he gets ancient. Could get five years!
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From August on MLBTR. Just kind of interesting now, in light of how the games unfolded.
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Both would be close enough in value to Justin Upton, I think. Max Fried, Jace Peterson, Dustin Peterson, Mallex Smith. Seems like a bad trade for Atlanta, in hindsight. They should have been able to get a better piece than anything in that deal. Bad for SD as well.
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This is like when someone semi-retires and works retail at 65 just for something to do
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https://twitter.com/nickcafardo/status/658003538501607424 this is the most random thing ever
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Daric Barton had to retire. Did the splits in AAA this year stretching for a ball and tore all of his ham strings. Legend is he's still stuck like that.
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this is why I'm a top poster. lots of good ideas up here
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Just get a lefty who can mash RHP to platoon with Cola. That's how they tried to use Smoak anyway. How about John Jaso... Other FA options: Matt Joyce Garret Jones I think the Rockies have a big option on Morneau they could decline. Maple boners? Colabello should be back put in a part time role.
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Germaine: http://www.breakingblue.ca/2015/10/23/the-2016-blue-jays-according-to-steamer/
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What is needed next year so that the Jays keep winning?
Laika replied to Plat's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Amaro? Much worse than Ross. Ross projects for like, 4 WAR (before adding appropriate injury risk). I'd think something more like league average SP with a year of control. Maybe a swing man type with some control. -
What is needed next year so that the Jays keep winning?
Laika replied to Plat's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Steamer is out, so we can kind of see what's needed, according to the computer: http://www.breakingblue.ca/2015/10/23/the-2016-blue-jays-according-to-steamer/ -
So PECOTA on BP has the Jays' odds tonight at 58%. Steamer thinks Stroman is slightly better than Cueto (3.3 fWAR in 192 innings for Stroman vs. 2.9 fWAR in 210 innings for Cueto). + Cueto hasn't looked like himself very much lately, including his terrible start earlier this series. Call it 58% chance to win for both games. So, ~34% chance of making the world series? 29% if you think Stroman-Cueto is a coin flip game. Fangraphs has Toronto's ALCS odds at 25.5%, which you'd get from two coinflip games. I'm not really sure how they would get that number. Toronto would be projected for better position player performance, all things considered, and better SP performance in both games... hmmm
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He'd probably sign for almost any 1 year guaranteed MLB deal, lol.
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What's the most $$$ you guys would offer Rich Hill?
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Step #1 - do the trade with me Step #2 - I promise to bug Gibbers to do the thing you want him to do that I do not care about at all
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Do you know who Rich Hill is???
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Anyone want Ben Revere? He'll probably score 120 runs next year for Toronto. I could trade him for a s***** C that might have a chance of being fantasy relevant. Or even just a pick, if nobody wants to move a C. Also very much on the block, but more expensive, are Carlos Santana and Jason Hammel. I need C and SS.
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March - sprained forearm diving for a ball (no DL) April - leaves game with forearm pain from previous injury (no DL) May - sprained wrist in a collision (no DL) July - lacerates finger on HBP, losing some feeling, DL. August - fractures hand on HBP by Joe Kelly. Misses 6 weeks. Stupid Steamer!!!!!
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Why is Steven Souza even the cautionary tale against trusting projections? He battled injuries and still had a 103 wRC+, with a 600 PA pace of 23/17. Recurrent wrist and hand injuries probably sapped some of his power too - I remember earlier season games in Toronto where he was going second deck in CF and displaying JB/JD/EE level raw. If anything, Souza tended towards his projections last year but injuries made him fall short. If he can stay healthy, I expect him to be better in every way in 2016.
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Playoffs!!!! lol
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So you're going for "terrible but annoying" this year? How about the Dingleberries
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This is a weird statement. Why does what Steamer "thinks" matter? Does Steamer even "think"? It's projecting him to be above league average so he should start. Steamer isn't designed to project playing time.
