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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Holy f***, Riley Adams burned for Hand. That's annoying.
  2. Laika
    Predicting that the prospect dealt here will be very annoying. But we are buying, friends.
  3. Laika
    Yeah gimme Groshans over Duran too. I think Groshans is a top 50 prospect.
  4. Laika
    4.01 FIP, 3.84 xFIP. He is doing fine. Arguably better than league average production so certainly better than most 5th or even 4th SP.
  5. Laika
    yikes, no
  6. Laika
    No no, it's Charlie Montoyo's fault and the team just isn't clutch
  7. Laika
    There is something poetic about what happened with Blake Snell. Complains about his team trading veterans to the Padres then gets traded to the Padres himself and sucks farts.
  8. Laika
    Gutsy performance by Ray? Sounds like it
  9. Laika
  10. Laika
    hooray
  11. Laika
    That's not objectively true. It's a philosophical question and it depends on how you value or think about things like true talent vs. production, ERA/RA9 vs. DIPS, projection vs. results, WPA vs. unleveraged linear weights, etc. There is certainly an argument to be made that WAR underrates elite relievers because of WPA considerations BUT is Kendall Graveman an elite reliever? Projection systems still think he's barely a good reliever. When you say something like "is having a better year" the rebuttal is plainly that he is probably just getting lucky in high leverage situations. So it's up for debate. Anyway, I think Seattle was wise as hell to cash in and they got a massive value in return in Toro. The point of my OP was not to compare 2021 Graveman and Liriano in context, but Houston obviously thought Liriano back then had big value. Or they just thought Teoscar was a lost cause. Maybe they think Toro is a lost cause now. Who knows.
  12. Laika
    I mean, that's kind of the whole point of WAR. It lets you compare very different players. If you are comparing a closer with 30 IP and a 2.88 FIP to a closer with 31 IP and a 2.85 FIP, you don't need WAR. They are obviously the same as far as production goes. But what if you want to compare a 2.88 FIP reliever to a 4.73 FIP 4th starter? Or a good closer to a shortstop who hits .230 with no power but a great glove? WAR! That's what it's good for! Absolutely something.
  13. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Laika replied to GD's topic in Other Sports

    Maybe they made is 5/48 instead of 4/48 to lower the cap hit?
  14. Laika
    Who knows, it could end up being a 3 hour 7 inning game anyway. If that's the case you'll be glad you didn't have to sit through two more innings in the sun.
  15. Laika
    Montoyo would probably save Romano for the 9th and let Dolis blow it in the 7th
  16. Laika
    I would be mildly annoyed if I paid full pop for a ticket and only got to see a 7 inning game.
  17. Laika
    weed is legal. chillax dude. that's a great signature, you should put it in yours
  18. Laika
    but why would you use bWAR with a reliever who is clearly having a lot of ERA luck
  19. Laika
    Graveman isn't even top 15 in the AL right now. His fWAR is identical to Liriano's at the time of the trade. And I didn't even f***ing compare them. The trades are similar because Houston is willing to deal a scuffling young position player with huge upside for a mediocre rental arm.
  20. Laika
    Because Toro is a huge return for Graveman. Reminds me of Teoscar for Liriano
  21. Laika
    I am kind of at the point where I don't even care if he starts of relieves for the rest of his Blue Jays career, as long as he can put some WARs on the board. False dichotomy incoming but I'd rather have an elite closer than a middling SP who cannot stay healthy. On this team, for the next few years.
  22. Laika
    There are basically four viable ways to build a pen: 1. spend a lot on it. not a great idea for most teams but can work for a rich team. 2. have a great pitching pipeline and let your cup runneth over. you end up putting guys in the pen that other teams might use as backend starters. 3. go the cheap route. you get less performance certainty but at least you aren't risking dollars or prospect capital. 4. be ahead of the curve at talent identification and constantly be tinkering, acquiring guys and turning over relievers. see the Rays. Most teams are varying proportions of the four approaches. Toronto is doing none of #1 and does not yet have #2 in place (although it might happen sooner than people think). This year is a bit of an indication that they aren't great at the #4 tactic either.
  23. Laika
    Almost every reliever in baseball that can reasonably be acquired/signed has an extensive injury history. For many that is why they are relievers.
  24. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Laika replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    wat?
  25. Laika
    Yes of course. Really I was just making a point for those who might think the Mariners have done something different/better than the Blue Jays as far as roster/pen construction goes. The Mariners don't have clutch players, they are just getting lucky, very lucky, as far as reliever volatility goes. That's really all there is to it. Toronto on the other hand has been f***ed by bad pen luck (performance and health, although some of the health outcomes were known risks).
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