Laika

The Jays have a CATASTROPHIC game plan against Rogers They are mailing this game in and just want to go to bed

Voth is revolting

Fangraphs probable pitchers says Macko is opening for Voth But there was the weird Chad Dallas nameplate thing yesterday There is also Seabold in the pen now, and I guess Yariel could throw two innings and may need to even if the score is close (gross). Will be a tough one to win. Hoffman will be a no-go, Varland should be a no-go, Rogers should be a no-go. Miles can't be used. So it's not even a normal bullpen game. It's a bullpen game, constituted almost entirely of AAA fringe MLB guys, and the backend of the pen is almost entirely unavailable.

What else can be said about Corbin? A gift from God.

Can't wait to see what Orioles Hangout says about that one

Brandon Valenzuela you beautiful beautiful man 💕 ❤️

Ernie should have gone to second

These are godawful plate appearances All season long it has been like this Fire shopkins

HIS NAME IS PATRICK CORBIN!!!

He's not wrong, he's PEDANTIC and actually thinking in the RIGHT WAY Probabilistic thinking is what you need to do, and Olerud is great at it The problem is that there are things about Arjun Nimmala, physically and contextually which reasonably separate him from 99% of the players who hit .230 in two straight low minors seasons Anecdotes of players hitting .230 in A and then turning into good MLB players are not that helpful because the opposite anecdote is way easier to find. Olerud is simply correct that players who have some pedigree and then fail to hit in the low minors for a year or two almost all fail. But you don't need to go far to find out why Nimmala hitting .232 in 2024 is not a huge issue BECAUSE HE HAD A .250 ISO THAT YEAR AND A 125 wRC+ C'MON MAN!!!!!!!!! Most of these .230 hitting A ball first round busts in history were also slugging .300 and bouncing every throw to first base. Teenage Nimmala was out there like a gazelle on defense, taking his walks and hitting bombs, he just had a s***** batted ball profile. There is some signal in that but it's not worth being alarmist over. It does make you think he's probably not going to be a .260 MLB hitter. Probably more of a low AVG homers and walks guy, if he makes it.

Varsho is having an interesting year... Highest contact% of his career Lowest K% of his career Second highest swing rate of his career Highest O-Swing% of his career Second highest Z-Swing% of his career Lowest zone% against of his career His AVG and xAVG are both career high marks He is swinging a lot, making unprecedented contact, but not necessarily making great swing decisions. Teams are throwing him more balls than ever. It seems somewhat promising. Makes me wonder if he is one little iota of timing away from starting to hammer more pitches? Or when he simply gets more meatballs and pitches in the zone we might see them flying out.

Tommy Pham hit .232 or worse at every level between rookie ball and A+ for his first FOUR minor league seasons, then finally figured something out at the upper levels. Was he a star? No. But he has a 111 career wRC+ and got MVP votes once. If you hit like that as a good shortstop, you are Willy Adames. Miguel Tejada. Jeremy Pena. Something in that bucket.

Not as satisfying. Sosa is just being ILd.

Varsho is going to have a huge game

Where is the Lenyn Sosa DFA? s*** will hit like crack

Gunnar has a 99 wRC+ Coby Mayo 75 Holliday 90 Cowser 79

He has a chance to be a stud A couple of years ago with his 30% K rates he looked like a future Orelvis Martinez, with decent defense. Which would be a bench player. But now he's got it all going on. K rate under control. Taking walks. Hitting the ball hard enough. Defense is there. Age vs. level is great. He's probably underrated because he has never had a LOUD offensive season.

Precisely. There is a barrel control guy. However, Holliday's career BB and K rates are not like Spooner Horwitz's. Holliday does not have good top end velo but he is able to consistently hit the ball "kind of hard". There are slightly better guys to comp him to.

They did NOT do it with Yesavage. Trey had like 213 IP between college and summer ball in 2022 to 2024, then 98 minor league innings before getting called up. And then his usage was expanded by context (playoffs) beyond what Toronto was probably even comfortable with. And as a reaction, they then sort of faked an injury with him this year to bring him along slowly in 2026. Perry was drafted in 2022 and had just 84 pro innings between then and the start of 2026. Injury and recovery timelines all over the place. If Toronto lets him throw 90 in the minors this year and then calls him up for MLB innings, it is only comparable to Trey if you ignore all of that substrate. But hey, believe in the science. If Toronto does not think he is a bigger injury risk than Yesavage was, go ahead and do it.

That's not my opinion, that's what Steamer, ZiPS, OOPSY, ATC, and The Bat say. Projection wRC+ range: 102 to 110 Projection WAR range: 1.2 to 1.6 WAR in 310 AP or so General consensus that he is "a tick above average" right now The rough thing with Holliday is that his tools are so quiet. His bat speed / MaxEV are so light. I think people were expecting more in that perspective. He could still figure it out as a barrel control guy though.

Keith Law on Parker (37th in his top 50 today) Parker has hit .239/.384/.384 so far in his pro debut, with much harder contact than the statline implies. His exit velocity has peaked at 109.2 in-season after hitting a ball at 111 mph in spring training. He’s uber-patient, swinging just 37 percent of the time, and has ended up with two strikes on him in more than half of his PA this year, a condition known around here as “Emmanuel Rodriguez Syndrome.” In 2-0 and 3-1 counts, when you’d expect him to be in attack mode, he’s only swung at 17 percent of pitches while taking strikes almost half the time. The Jays have mostly kept him at shortstop with a few games at third base; second also seems like an option. Batting average is far from my favorite stat for a hitter at any age or level, but I do expect Parker’s to creep up over the course of the season as he goes after more pitches in hitters’ counts. And Nimmala (41st) Nimmala returned to High A, where he spent most of last year, and hit well enough out of the gate for Toronto to bump their 2023 first-rounder up to Double A in early May, where he’s hit .317/.359/.383 in 17 games. He’s a true shortstop who does have plus power and he’s been making more hard line-drive contact since he got to the Eastern League, where pitchers have been attacking him with more sliders and he’s still adjusting. He also put Perry in his HM section: Other players who weren’t on my preseason top 100 ranking but are heading towards next winter’s list include: Nolan Perry, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays Nate Payne, LHP, Miami Marlins Jhonny Level, SS, San Francisco Giants Ethan Petry, OF, Washington Nationals Devin Fitz-Gerald, 2B, Washington Nationals Roldy Brito, OF/2B, Colorado Rockies Charles Davalan, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers Ty Harvey, C, San Diego Padres Josh Hammond, SS, Kansas City Royals Luke Stevenson, C, Seattle Mariners

Cannot say that I am thrilled with these pitching matchups on paper: Patrick Corbin vs Chris Bassitt Voth/Seabold/Commitee vs Trevor Rogers Trey Yesavage vs Brandon Young Spencer Miles bulk vs Kyle Bradish But the 2026 context makes it better I guess.... : Bradish good but not beasting (4.13 FIP) B Young is not great (4.75 FIP) Rogers not having a good year (4.52 FIP) Bassitt, more of the same (4.38 FIP) These are MLB starters but it's kind of a bunch of slop a good team should cream, at least for two of the games. Are the Blue Jays capable of being a good team at the plate? Who knows. Corbin (3.95 FIP) may be outpitching most of that O's slop. Miles is half of a SP but he has performed so well. So the Voth/Seabold whatever game is going to be the worst the Jays send out there.

Holliday's projections have already plummeted back down to earth. Now he projects to be more of a 100 wRC+, league average player. Nobody EVER even hinted at Basallo being a bust, though. Dude only had 31 games last year.

Fine. We won't talk in absolutes. No Realistic Chance. Put the "realistic" line wherever you want. Less than a 1% chance. Whatever. Perry PROBABLY has the stuff to help the big league team this year out of the bullpen or as a swingman for a couple of months, but that would be a big developmental risk and is not something this organization has a track record of doing. Being said, here is the best video I have seen of Perry. He looks so good. The command he has of these pitches is extremely impressive. He has the look of a college Ace SP who just went top 10 in the Rule 4 draft. That is what he FEELS LIKE to me. Just without any history of innings, whatsoever. Like, I can almost imagine the draft scouting reports where he is praised for his poise, mechanics, command, polish, fastball shape and breaking ball quality, but scouts question his top end stuff or velo and whether it will translate into a front line MLB starter.

Unfortunately the O's offense is cooking lately