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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    I like it
  2. Laika
    Yeah I don’t know when they come out There is The Bat and The Bat X The Bat X is kind of the most forward thinking… incorporates new types of data. It’s experimental basically.
  3. Laika
    Yet they do You should ask why and re-examine how you think about players
  4. Laika
    Oh Brett Baty for sure. His projections are great.
  5. Laika
    The tone of that text makes me thing this was not his choice
  6. Laika
    He's basically a replacement level arm and he's owed $37M In theory you could get Alek Thomas + Bumgarner for literally nothing going to other way, which I would of course do, but I doubt Toronto has the budget to eat $23M in 2023 payroll and that's not a realistic trade idea.
  7. Laika
    I'd do that. Springs interests me more than Bello FWIW.
  8. Laika
    Damn. I hate pitchers, but I guess so. I'd still try to get a better piece than Vaughn. Eury Perez + another stud might be good enough though
  9. Laika
    awesome.
  10. Laika
    I don't know. ZiPS is hidden in a black box. I don't think Steamer includes any college data.
  11. Laika
    Exactly Vaughn could be an acceptable secondary piece if paired with an elite prospect.
  12. Laika
    It's a dogshit offer in most leagues. Torkelson is a rapidly declining asset and has a projection that is not any better than Ji Man Choi or Garret Cooper. Really I think it only looks viable in a league that is EXTREMELY deep. So it depends on league depth. But I think in almost every league I'd just hold Betts for now, if those were the offers. You can find 1B/OF types on the wire that hit like Tork and Vaughn. You can fish for emerging SP too.
  13. Laika
    His "stuff" was off the charts in his tiny sample size. That's why LA was willing to give him a guaranteed deal, and probably why he was able to squeeze them for an extra $700k or whatever.
  14. Laika
    Horrible
  15. Laika
    Yeah this would work. And at least with someone like Nootbaar who could be an acceptable CF for one year, if Springer gets hurt or struggles defensively you can just flip them around. Even if Noot is 100% not the CF solution. I really want Gurriel gone (traded) or as the 4th OF/DH.
  16. Laika
    Yeah he had crummy defenders all around him last year. Not just LF and RF with their limited range and poor decision making, but cannonball Bo barreling out at top speed with his head down on every shallow flyball.
  17. Laika
    Did not expect Eflin to go to Tampa Bay wow
  18. Laika
    I dunno. You don't have to read too much into it. Mattingly has tons of experience, nobody wanted him as a Manager right now, evidently, so the Jays were able to get an overqualified bench coach. Good for Toronto.
  19. Laika
    Yeah you can definitely be fast + athletic and a complete moron. That's basically Teoscar. O'Neill has always been comfortably above average in the OF, albeit with few reps in CF. Many teams have defensive metrics that differ drastically from publicly available stuff. Like, the secret models they use might incorporate a lot more information like how often baserunners advance against an outfielder's arm, or advance because the outfielder took a bad route or did not track a hit aggressively so they were even able to make a competitive throw... etc. I bet the more involved and complex your defensive model is the WORSE and WORSE Teoscar and Gurriel look.
  20. Laika
    I mean, long-term SS/CF/C are really inefficient to get through trade or free agency. Gotta develop those guys. Unfortunately for Toronto the CF pipeline doesn't look promising. There is like, nobody firmly in it. Dasan Brown? Cam Eden? Maybe some prospect who looks like an infielder or RF right now but will be surprisingly good in the OF?
  21. Laika
    I believe he's the best by defensive metrics, so far. Not sure if he is the best CF defensively by projections. I think Cards consider Carlson to be their CF though. If you look at "sprint speed" and "outfielder jump" on statcast it paints the picture: SS percentile on left, OJ percentile on right Carlson = 71st, 28th O'Neill = 98th, 53rd Nootbaar = 74th, 50th Tapia = 72nd, 10th Springer = 76th, 57th Simply put, O'Neill has a better full-out speed than the other two and he gets decent jumps. Carlson isn't as fast and struggles off the bat.
  22. Laika
    Cards' CF situation is fine but a bit awkard By talent their CF depth chart might go: O'Neill, then Nootbaar = Carlson But by playing time it might go more like Carlson, then O'Neill, then Nootbaar So yeah. I dunno!
  23. Laika
    No, he probably can't. Nootaar was a +7.5 OF in 2022 playing mostly RF. Even if that is his true talent, the assumption based on positional adjustments is that he'd be a -2.5 CF. There is also a small sample size there. We don't have a lot of confidence in his defensive true talent. Springer is +1.5 in CF in his career and close to 0 in his last two seasons. This is the only kind of bad thing with Nootbaar being the solution. Toronto reallllly wants to bring in a slick CF and move George to RF. Nootbaar is not the guy to cause that move. Nootbaar is a good fielding RF though, in all likelihood.
  24. Laika
    I f***ing love him 98th BB% 89th MaxEV 85th Barrel% Sprint and OAA both good f***ing chase and whiff rates are good swoooooooooooooooooon
  25. Laika
    yes + Nootbar was kind of a nothing prospect who looked like a bench player until 2022. his trade value isn't necessarily going to be as high as, say, a ranked prospect with the same projections + years of control.
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