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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Things an NPC would say at this point in the dialogue tree
  2. Laika

    OF

    Laika replied to Jimcanuck's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk

    This poll is inversely related to their odds of signing in Toronto
  3. Laika
    No, it happens all the time you're just a f***ing moron who doesn't pay attention and then talks by bending over and spreading his ass cheeks. s*** like Adam Frazier, 2021 All Star, being traded by the Padres this offseason for some nothing prospects because SDP wanted to save the projected arb salary and thought they could just put something better or more efficient out there at 2B. s*** like the Mets dumping Matz to the Blue Jays for three useless pitchers because they didn't want to pay him his arb3 salary. Did the Mets not want to compete in 2021? Of course they wanted to compete
  4. Laika
    I swear to god you are an NPC Like, someone put you in this universe to just spit out the most inane and predictable lines. And you have no character development. Of course teams with money rarely trade stars for monetary reasons. You aren't saying something profound. Teoscar isn't really Aaron f***ing Judge though, is he? 4 WAR exactly once, ever. nearly a 30% K rate. No hustle, s*** defense. It's a pretty low bar for "star"
  5. Laika
    "legit WS contenders don't trade star players because there's one year left on their deal" this isn't true, of course. every team makes salary conscious moves. even big budget teams. the dodgers just non-tendered an MVP from a few years ago. the red sox dumped A Gon, Crawford, Beckett one year before winning a World Series.
  6. Laika
    And you ARE allowed to kick it in?
  7. Laika
    That two year period 2017 and 2018 set them back a fair amount. Wasted money on Bautista, Morales. Botched the Donaldson thing. Made some bad trades like bringing in Grichuk, trading Edward Olivarez, screwed up the Happ return, lost Berti (useful player) for nothing, traded Urshela for nothing, in hindsight didn't get much for Osuna or Seung-hwan Oh or Aaron Loup... They did a couple good things like land Espinal and Teoscar and sign Gurriel but for the most part their execution and decision making sucked for two years. I guess to be fair it's almost to be expected when you take over an organization. Your systems and decision making channels will not be as fine tuned.
  8. Laika
    Nice to know they game plan is to win.
  9. Laika
    Gotta say, I really like almost everything about Alek Thomas. Except the groundballs lol
  10. Laika
    Although Gallo in a sort of platoon with Gurriel would be fun as f***
  11. Laika
    Sounds like Toronto should wait and just sign KK then. The "potential" of both Bellinger and Gallo = red herring.
  12. Laika
    There is no team that would just pick the "best projected player" when the projections are that close. Those projections are functionally equivalent. Note that WAR figure is based on more projected playing time for Bellinger so on a rate basis they are even closer.
  13. Laika
    Yeah I don't think we've ever really seen elbow injuries ruin a position player's career. maybe some catchers I can't think of, I dunno. and Harper doesn't even really need to play the field... he hasn't been a great defender for a few years so if he's a full time DH he loses like one win or so
  14. Laika
    a lot of catchers and shortstops
  15. Laika
    Didn't catch the game but the stats look promising. Canada had a lot of shot attempts, even on corner kicks, and possession was only 53-47. I saw a twitter highlight of a non-penalty in the first half, Canada was robbed by the ref. Also saw a highlight of the goal. Pretty dumb lapse in positioning...
  16. Laika
    I dunno about the "multi dimensional threat" part he hits the ball hard as f*** though
  17. Laika
    Angels.... project to be a middle of the pack team right now. Alongside the Red Sox, Twins, White Sox. The depth is just so bad, as usual. One injury in the OF and they are starting Adell or Moniak. The infield (3B/2B/SS) is old (Rendon, Urshela), injury prone (Rendon), and mediocre (Urshela, Rengifo, Fletcher) without good depth after the top 4 names. They still need a 1B. Their bullpen looks like s***. The backend is seriously Loup, Tepera, and Jimmy Herget. One plus is that they might get Chris Rodriguez and Griffin Canning back in 2023. Important SP depth for them and both were interesting young SP options in recent memory.
  18. Laika
    Well I have been TOLD that Minasian is an idiot.
  19. Laika
    it's a trap
  20. Laika
    Same ******* tweeted this He's just some fat lonely blogger, making stuff up, trying to get lucky and get his 15 minutes of attention
  21. Laika
    who the f*** is this guy?
  22. Laika
    Yes but a good chunk of that display is redundant. Like, AvgEV, MaxEV, Barrel%, HardHit%, xSLG are pretty similar metrics. Not a TON of new information between them. Defensive routes = Renfroe Arm = Renfroe K Rate = Renfroe MaxEV = Teoscar in 2022 but basically tied over career Barrel% = Teoscar SprintSpeed = Teoscar I think across these relevant component skills you can say they are pretty similar. They both can whack the ball, with comparable authority. Teoscar whiffs more but also barrels the ball more; the narrative is that he is a more aggressive hitter but probably has a better hit tool / more confident hitter. Teoscar has better tools and is much faster but Renfroe is the more sound defender. It's significant too and has accounted for like 2 full WAR difference between them over their careers. (I'd like to see them tweak the statcast dashboard a bit)
  23. Laika
    Not enough people do this in basic baseball discourse. It helps to just use these three questions: 1. what is the mean projection 2. what does a 90th percentile projection look like? (i.e., how good can he "reasonably" be?) 3. what does a 10th percentile projection look like? (i.e., how bad might he "reasonably" be?) Best recent example might be Cleveland. When they targeted Andres Gimemez in the Lindor trade they probably had some type of idea of his "reasonable high end outcome" and then of course they had the development/coaching systems to help the player achieve that outcome. No point thinking of the 1% or 99% outcomes. Every player could die tomorrow and every once in a while some player will do an RA Dickey thing and figure out a way to become a Superstar without having the physical talent to do it in a normal way. The baseballtradevalues website that slaps $$ values on prospects probably overvalues most of them.
  24. Laika
    100% Renfore has demonstrated replacement level floor (2020) and Teo has shown 4 WAR upside (2021). So while their MEAN PROJECTION is close the shape of their possible projected outcomes is not the same. Like Renfroe's 90th percentile projection is probably 3 wins and Teo's might be 4.5. And similar thing in other direction, Teo might be a 1 WAR 20th percentile projection and Renfroe is 0 WAR at 20th percentile. I believe most teams probably think probabilistically like this. Most teams in most cases aren't just thinking of the mean projected WAR. I would make this assumption about the smart teams at least.
  25. Laika
    Man, just saw the Renfroe trade. Renfroe and Teoscar are both 30. Both arb3. Teoscar projected to make a bit more. 2.4 vs 2.5 WAR in 2022. Projections are like, 2.2 vs 2.0 in favour of Teoscar. Toronto got a lot more than Milwaukee. A lot more. The Angels have up nothing but depth pitching - I don't see a hint of upside in that trio of arms. Whereas Toronto landed a top 10 org prospect with mid rotation upside + a quality reliever, cheap with control.
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