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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    You’re just thinking of Robbie Ray blowing it. Garcia, Eflin, and Suarez have been used in relief by these two teams with success. Garcia was the hero of Houston’s epic extra innings win earlier. The homer he gave up last night was a good pitch too - 98 and outside
  2. Laika
    Want to make some trades to change my clubhouse chemistry a bit Brayden Schenn Sean Monahan Evan Rodrigues Philip Danault Andrew Copp Colton Parayko Damon Severson Josh Anderson Bo Horvat Vince Dunn All available
  3. Laika
    Look, I love that you love Danny Jansen. I love him too.
  4. Laika
    The talent comp in a best case scenario would be JT Realmuto. Realmuto did not turn into a star until his 3rd full season I could see Moreno following a similar development timeline. That is, even if he ends up as the best catcher in baseball his best years might mostly come outside of his first 6 seasons of team control...
  5. Laika
    Do you guys think Jansen or Moreno is the more liquid asset? Jansen isn't worth nearly as much so it should be easier to find a trade partner but with only 2 years of control the market is limited to contenders or wannabes with catching holes. Moreno is worth A LOT but as an MLB ready prospect the potential market is much wider... competitive teams and rebuilding teams alike would want him. It's not obvious which of the two would be easier to trade. Or Kirk for that matter. I really have no idea what Toronto will do. How exciting.
  6. Laika
    German Marquez - I want him but I can't even see what he Rockies could add to make their side worth Jansen. Freddy Peralta for Jansen? Pablo Lopez, everybody mentions him all the time.
  7. Laika
    I think the only rumours I have seen surround the Marlins and guys like Pablo Lopez
  8. Laika
    I would prefer various other trades but finding a dance partner for Kirk or Moreno is much harder. And holding three catchers like this is probably a woefully inefficient use of resources. Even in his down season O'Neill played okay, like a league average corner outfielder.
  9. Laika
    No. Gurriel and O'Neill have identical career wRC+ but O'Neill has a much better demonstrated ceiling. So I would say O'Neill is better offensively. BaseRunning is part of offense and O'Neill blows Gurriel out of the water. Defense is not close at all; fringe CF vs fringe DH. O'Neill even had a higher xwOBA in 2022 than Gurriel; you can argue that O'Neill was a better hitter results aside. I really think O'Neill has a lot of positive regression in 2023. He is in his physical prime and his advanced stats were quite good in 2022. He was unlucky. Yes, injuries might be a thing that he is prone to but Jansen is in the same boat. TO broke out in 2021 and then improves his K-BB significantly the next year... I didn't say I would want to do Jansen straight up but the gap between Jansen and O'Neill is not big.
  10. Laika
    Yeah I could see it. They might think they can construct a roster that is simply better than one with him on it. It's also a bit of an awkward situation and clubhouse distraction. Obviously I don't really think they would non-tender him to save money. It's the Dodgers... they'd pay $19M for a platoon player without worrying too much.
  11. Laika
    It's funny to see people scoff at Tyler O'Neill Cardinals fans (and fans of other teams) very likely look at Jansen's Fangraphs page and RIGHTLY categorize him as a guy who cannot stay healthy and has been a fringe-average hitter throughout his career with one partial MLB season of really good offensive performance. The Blue Jays are quite simply not going to get trade value for Danny Jansen as if he is a 4 WAR player. They just won't. Because he's never done that. Tyler O'Neill in 2021 alone put up almost as much WAR as Jansen has in his entire career. Swapping Jansen for O'Neill improves Toronto is basically every way. Defensively, on the bases, offensively...
  12. Laika
    Jeff McNeil - too good but 2 years control Verdugo - 2 years control Winker - 1 year control Bryan Reynolds - 3 years control, Pitt won't want a C with less control Ian Happ - 1 year of control Santander - no trade fit Mike Yastrzemski - 3 years control but 32 Grisham - 3 years control Bellinger - no value, one year control, expensive
  13. Laika
    O'Neill has higher demonstrated upside than Jansen; 5.6 WAR as recently as 2021. He also had a tantalizing 2022 because he improved his plate discipline stats. He looks like a great buy low IMO. He is a jacked thoroughbred toolshed who can realistically go 30/15 and he is a big defensive upgrade on a corner spot. He can even spot start in CF I think. Five tool talent. Hicks or Reyes = one year of control for a bullpen lottery ticket with fireballing setup man upside. Of course, you can't expect much from either one and I don't think either is even worth that much. But as far as a throw in to close a value gap... hard to get more interesting arms than this. You have to also assume they can get even value for Teoscar or Gurriel and turn them into a SP or something.
  14. Laika
    Danny Jansen for Tyler O'Neill and Jordan Hicks or Alex Reyes thoughts? Toronto would probably trade Gurriel in a follow up move. Or Teo I guess.
  15. Laika
    You want Chisholm but both are great and Riley Greene might suck
  16. Laika
    One reason to like the challenge system is that it makes good players better. If the player has a strong sense of the zone they are better. Challenging is a new skill! That's kind of fun.
  17. Laika
    A lot of your concerns are just details. There would be no issues if the implementation of this is done the right way. Things like: A player has to make a clear physical signal to ask for a challenge and once they do that the challenge happens, full stop. Players are not allowed to look to the dugout for instruction before asking for a challenge. The umpires can refuse a challenge if they do. I actually do not care how many there are if the review process is extremely fast. I'd be happy to see 20+ reviews a game if each one is super quick and the result is that the calls are right. I do think having a ball-strike penalty against players most of the time would help dissuade frivolous challenges. Those are big penalties.
  18. Laika
    This is why I like my permutation more. When the call did not already end the PA, a player challenge if unsuccessful should carry the potential to hurt that player only. An extra ball or strike against them if wrong. In my rule the players would also have to make the decision to challenge within like 2 seconds. So no looking into the dugout and waiting. Or I guess if teams can somehow signal in 1 second whether or to challenge, all the power to them.
  19. Laika
    I dunno. The challenge system works fine in tennis. If MLB implements it in a way that is really fast and mostly seamless, this could work.
  20. Laika
    I like this system enough. I think it could work. I am not sure I like the 3 challenge limit and exactly how that works. It would be really frustrating to see a team lose their 3 challenges on close calls and then suffer from a bunch of missed calls later in the game. I think I'd prefer something like: - if the player challenging is wrong they get a ball or strike against them in that plate appearance. - there is a limit of 3 unsuccessful challenges per team, per game, on calls that end plate appearances.
  21. Laika
    I did not mean to imply that Bassitt would be like signing Kikuchi. It would be more like signing Ryu. I still don’t really want to give Chris Bassitt that kind of money Toronto already has a somewhat uncomfortable amount of money invested in pitchers…
  22. Laika
    I don't see much point in chasing Bassitt. Just seems like a landmine. I'd stay very involved in guys like Sean Manaea in case they want to sign a one year pillow contract. Toronto is starting to look like a decent launchpad for SPs who want to position for a big FA contract. Look at Ray, Matz, Stripling. SP free agent pile looks pretty deep this year. Lots of names in the middle who might settle for one year deals. Syndergaard, Stripling, Manaea, Smyly, Quintana, David Price (?), Paxton, Lyles, Kluber, Hill, Heaney, Greinke, Eflin, Gibson, Clevinger, Carrasco (?), Bundy, Boyd, Archer, Anderson Obviously most of those guys get decent deals but guaranteed some of them settle for one year things. Just get whichever one falls. Don't repeat the Kikuchi mistake and get desperate for someone.
  23. Laika
    Right he was good in 2022 but you would be buying SKY HIGH on Mantiply who seems to be a reliever without amazing stuff.
  24. Laika
    Possible that Romano is no better by talent. They were pretty close in 2022. Romano did it against tougher hitters but Abreu had a better FIP and K-BB numbers. Romano has a longer track record. So you'd have a bit more confidence in Romano's projections. Abreu has bigger error bars. One more year of control for Abreu. And cheaper arb projections for Abreu... there are cheap teams that would literally swap Romano for Abreu 1 for 1, I think.
  25. Laika
    It's BR WAR
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