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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Although Gallo in a sort of platoon with Gurriel would be fun as f***
  2. Laika
    Sounds like Toronto should wait and just sign KK then. The "potential" of both Bellinger and Gallo = red herring.
  3. Laika
    There is no team that would just pick the "best projected player" when the projections are that close. Those projections are functionally equivalent. Note that WAR figure is based on more projected playing time for Bellinger so on a rate basis they are even closer.
  4. Laika
    Yeah I don't think we've ever really seen elbow injuries ruin a position player's career. maybe some catchers I can't think of, I dunno. and Harper doesn't even really need to play the field... he hasn't been a great defender for a few years so if he's a full time DH he loses like one win or so
  5. Laika
    a lot of catchers and shortstops
  6. Laika
    Didn't catch the game but the stats look promising. Canada had a lot of shot attempts, even on corner kicks, and possession was only 53-47. I saw a twitter highlight of a non-penalty in the first half, Canada was robbed by the ref. Also saw a highlight of the goal. Pretty dumb lapse in positioning...
  7. Laika
    I dunno about the "multi dimensional threat" part he hits the ball hard as f*** though
  8. Laika
    Angels.... project to be a middle of the pack team right now. Alongside the Red Sox, Twins, White Sox. The depth is just so bad, as usual. One injury in the OF and they are starting Adell or Moniak. The infield (3B/2B/SS) is old (Rendon, Urshela), injury prone (Rendon), and mediocre (Urshela, Rengifo, Fletcher) without good depth after the top 4 names. They still need a 1B. Their bullpen looks like s***. The backend is seriously Loup, Tepera, and Jimmy Herget. One plus is that they might get Chris Rodriguez and Griffin Canning back in 2023. Important SP depth for them and both were interesting young SP options in recent memory.
  9. Laika
    Well I have been TOLD that Minasian is an idiot.
  10. Laika
    it's a trap
  11. Laika
    Same ******* tweeted this He's just some fat lonely blogger, making stuff up, trying to get lucky and get his 15 minutes of attention
  12. Laika
    who the f*** is this guy?
  13. Laika
    Yes but a good chunk of that display is redundant. Like, AvgEV, MaxEV, Barrel%, HardHit%, xSLG are pretty similar metrics. Not a TON of new information between them. Defensive routes = Renfroe Arm = Renfroe K Rate = Renfroe MaxEV = Teoscar in 2022 but basically tied over career Barrel% = Teoscar SprintSpeed = Teoscar I think across these relevant component skills you can say they are pretty similar. They both can whack the ball, with comparable authority. Teoscar whiffs more but also barrels the ball more; the narrative is that he is a more aggressive hitter but probably has a better hit tool / more confident hitter. Teoscar has better tools and is much faster but Renfroe is the more sound defender. It's significant too and has accounted for like 2 full WAR difference between them over their careers. (I'd like to see them tweak the statcast dashboard a bit)
  14. Laika
    Not enough people do this in basic baseball discourse. It helps to just use these three questions: 1. what is the mean projection 2. what does a 90th percentile projection look like? (i.e., how good can he "reasonably" be?) 3. what does a 10th percentile projection look like? (i.e., how bad might he "reasonably" be?) Best recent example might be Cleveland. When they targeted Andres Gimemez in the Lindor trade they probably had some type of idea of his "reasonable high end outcome" and then of course they had the development/coaching systems to help the player achieve that outcome. No point thinking of the 1% or 99% outcomes. Every player could die tomorrow and every once in a while some player will do an RA Dickey thing and figure out a way to become a Superstar without having the physical talent to do it in a normal way. The baseballtradevalues website that slaps $$ values on prospects probably overvalues most of them.
  15. Laika
    100% Renfore has demonstrated replacement level floor (2020) and Teo has shown 4 WAR upside (2021). So while their MEAN PROJECTION is close the shape of their possible projected outcomes is not the same. Like Renfroe's 90th percentile projection is probably 3 wins and Teo's might be 4.5. And similar thing in other direction, Teo might be a 1 WAR 20th percentile projection and Renfroe is 0 WAR at 20th percentile. I believe most teams probably think probabilistically like this. Most teams in most cases aren't just thinking of the mean projected WAR. I would make this assumption about the smart teams at least.
  16. Laika
    Man, just saw the Renfroe trade. Renfroe and Teoscar are both 30. Both arb3. Teoscar projected to make a bit more. 2.4 vs 2.5 WAR in 2022. Projections are like, 2.2 vs 2.0 in favour of Teoscar. Toronto got a lot more than Milwaukee. A lot more. The Angels have up nothing but depth pitching - I don't see a hint of upside in that trio of arms. Whereas Toronto landed a top 10 org prospect with mid rotation upside + a quality reliever, cheap with control.
  17. Laika
    Yeah, reminds me of Bo a bit. "“jumping on the pitch you like early on in the count and crushing it.”"
  18. Laika
    The stadium will feel brand new in a couple years. The infield changes next offseason should be insane
  19. Laika
    Okay it looks like she was in some national "future stars" cash grab in 2021 there are videos on youtube She actually gets 3 whiffs against two boys. Hits the first one but then gets a double play. And there is an AB she has where she works the count and pulls a flyball out with decent contact. It went nowhere but nice launch angle. Cheering for her
  20. Laika
    See when I went to olivia baseball dot com and saw there was a video of her pitching for team USA against team Canada I was expecting to see her blow away most hitters. I was surprised to see most every Canadian woman making contact and hitting line drives or expertly aimed flyballs off her.
  21. Laika
    Cody Bellinger must have snubbed little Terminator from an autograph a few years ago
  22. Laika
    three straight 81 mph fastballs above his hands, easy work
  23. Laika
    FB Velo Best: 83mph (Rapsodo/USA Baseball) Bat Exit Velocity: 85mph (USA Baseball, 2021) To be completely fair she throws probably 13 mph harder than 32 year old me
  24. Laika
    There is a video of her pitching against the Team Canada women. 3.0IP, 5Ks, 3BB, 1ER She is going to possibly die in D1 baseball if they let her play at all. Legit worried about her safety. The Canadian women had no trouble squaring her up. There was a comebacker right at her knee. Some solid 80 mph singles to the outfield too.
  25. Laika
    https://oliviabaseball.com/
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