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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. I don't know. ZiPS is hidden in a black box. I don't think Steamer includes any college data.
  2. Exactly Vaughn could be an acceptable secondary piece if paired with an elite prospect.
  3. It's a dogshit offer in most leagues. Torkelson is a rapidly declining asset and has a projection that is not any better than Ji Man Choi or Garret Cooper. Really I think it only looks viable in a league that is EXTREMELY deep. So it depends on league depth. But I think in almost every league I'd just hold Betts for now, if those were the offers. You can find 1B/OF types on the wire that hit like Tork and Vaughn. You can fish for emerging SP too.
  4. His "stuff" was off the charts in his tiny sample size. That's why LA was willing to give him a guaranteed deal, and probably why he was able to squeeze them for an extra $700k or whatever.
  5. Yeah this would work. And at least with someone like Nootbaar who could be an acceptable CF for one year, if Springer gets hurt or struggles defensively you can just flip them around. Even if Noot is 100% not the CF solution. I really want Gurriel gone (traded) or as the 4th OF/DH.
  6. Yeah he had crummy defenders all around him last year. Not just LF and RF with their limited range and poor decision making, but cannonball Bo barreling out at top speed with his head down on every shallow flyball.
  7. Did not expect Eflin to go to Tampa Bay wow
  8. I dunno. You don't have to read too much into it. Mattingly has tons of experience, nobody wanted him as a Manager right now, evidently, so the Jays were able to get an overqualified bench coach. Good for Toronto.
  9. Yeah you can definitely be fast + athletic and a complete moron. That's basically Teoscar. O'Neill has always been comfortably above average in the OF, albeit with few reps in CF. Many teams have defensive metrics that differ drastically from publicly available stuff. Like, the secret models they use might incorporate a lot more information like how often baserunners advance against an outfielder's arm, or advance because the outfielder took a bad route or did not track a hit aggressively so they were even able to make a competitive throw... etc. I bet the more involved and complex your defensive model is the WORSE and WORSE Teoscar and Gurriel look.
  10. I mean, long-term SS/CF/C are really inefficient to get through trade or free agency. Gotta develop those guys. Unfortunately for Toronto the CF pipeline doesn't look promising. There is like, nobody firmly in it. Dasan Brown? Cam Eden? Maybe some prospect who looks like an infielder or RF right now but will be surprisingly good in the OF?
  11. I believe he's the best by defensive metrics, so far. Not sure if he is the best CF defensively by projections. I think Cards consider Carlson to be their CF though. If you look at "sprint speed" and "outfielder jump" on statcast it paints the picture: SS percentile on left, OJ percentile on right Carlson = 71st, 28th O'Neill = 98th, 53rd Nootbaar = 74th, 50th Tapia = 72nd, 10th Springer = 76th, 57th Simply put, O'Neill has a better full-out speed than the other two and he gets decent jumps. Carlson isn't as fast and struggles off the bat.
  12. Cards' CF situation is fine but a bit awkard By talent their CF depth chart might go: O'Neill, then Nootbaar = Carlson But by playing time it might go more like Carlson, then O'Neill, then Nootbaar So yeah. I dunno!
  13. No, he probably can't. Nootaar was a +7.5 OF in 2022 playing mostly RF. Even if that is his true talent, the assumption based on positional adjustments is that he'd be a -2.5 CF. There is also a small sample size there. We don't have a lot of confidence in his defensive true talent. Springer is +1.5 in CF in his career and close to 0 in his last two seasons. This is the only kind of bad thing with Nootbaar being the solution. Toronto reallllly wants to bring in a slick CF and move George to RF. Nootbaar is not the guy to cause that move. Nootbaar is a good fielding RF though, in all likelihood.
  14. I f***ing love him 98th BB% 89th MaxEV 85th Barrel% Sprint and OAA both good f***ing chase and whiff rates are good swoooooooooooooooooon
  15. yes + Nootbar was kind of a nothing prospect who looked like a bench player until 2022. his trade value isn't necessarily going to be as high as, say, a ranked prospect with the same projections + years of control.
  16. The scuttlebutt for the Cardinals is that they will want a strong defensive catcher, leader type. For obvious Yadier Molina reasons. This means Contreras is probably not their preference. It seems like they will try for Sean Murphy first. If they can't get him, Jansen might actually be their preference over Kirk for the above reasons. And they may not have a ton of interest in Moreno.
  17. In the old game the Manager did two things: 1. made tactical decisions 2. was a leader of the players In the modern game the Manager does two things: 1. implements the tactical decisions the front office tells him to implement 2. is a leader of the players But, because front offices have cut the balls off of Managers as far as #1 goes, there is really no reason to keep the Manager is your only source of manly leadership. Some might say it's best to separate those roles. It's hard to be inspired by a yes-man who is whipped by a bunch of suits upstairs and constantly makes little decisions many of the players don't love. Some might say that many of the "old school" managers are best suited these days as Bench Coaches. They can be surly and strong and influence the players, but they don't have to do all that in-game tactical stuff they are frankly no longer any good at.
  18. People here used to think that about Biggio. I don't think most consider him a core piece anymore. He looks like a platoon or bench guy now.
  19. I dunno, did you watch him pitch this year? lol he looked like s*** like s*** like big stinky s***
  20. this is what happens when a pitcher is homer prone
  21. Laika

    NHL Thread

    mommmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm Leafs fans are excited about Matt Murray and comparing Matthews to McDavid again!
  22. Laika

    NHL Thread

    nobody ever said this lmao
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