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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Sandy is on there but Luzardo is 64th Guardians have Bieber and McKenzie. Civale is 70th
  2. hmmm let me see. yes, several. and many with 3 in the top 60 as well. Brewers 1 - Burnes 6 - Woodruff 51 - Peralta Yankees 2 - Cole 10 - Rodon 25 - Severino 36 - Cortes Mets 9 - Verlander 11 - Scherzer 35 - Senga Mariners 13 - Castillo 30 - Kirby 31 - Gilbert 32 - Ray Padres 21 - Snell 22 - Darvish 23 - Musgrove Twins 53 - Lopez 55 - Mahle 60 - Ryan Rays 7 - McClanahan 20 - Glasnow 33 - Rasmussen 45 - Springs Rangers 8 - deGrom 49 - Eovaldi 52 - Gray 54 - Heaney Dodgers 19 - Urias 34 - Kershaw 41 - May Braves 3 - Strider 29 - Fried 42 - Morton 48 - Wright Astros 16 - Javier 26 - Valdez 44 - Garcia
  3. Laika

    NHL Thread

    they have some ugly looking contracts right now if they are blowing it up. parayko, krug, faulk, schenn, leddy, binnington
  4. I can permanently ban you if you want. But I would also suggest just blocking connorp. He's a f***ing loser, everyone agrees.
  5. This makes sense considering you have probably been catfished twenty times by now.
  6. They have kind of started with a traditional projection model and then layered in projected Stuff+ etc. as new components, to improve things like projected BABIP. Berrios was an enigma in 2022. I'm guessing the Stuff+ and Location+ components have brought down his projected ERA in their model, but not enough to be in line with the guys who have better recent track records of run prevention.
  7. The model for location+, I believe, measures the value of a pitch based on its location at the plate. Something like "sliders in this location tend to be good, and this guy throws a lot of sliders there." I think it is independent of results like SwStr. I think it's a bit different than measuring command, which is "did the pitch go where he wanted it to go." Of course Command+ and Pitching+ would track, but it's theoretically possible for a pitcher to have a tendency to miss in a "good" location.
  8. Eno Sarris / The Athletic did "starting pitching ranks for 2023, with Stuff+ powered projections" RANK / PLAYER / IP / ERA / K% / STUFF+ / LOCATION+ 17 Kevin Gausman 179 3.19 28.1% 110 105 28 Alek Manoah 199 3.63 24.6% 100 99 47 Chris Bassitt 176 3.87 22.1% 98 102 56 Jose Berrios 176 4.00 22.9% 101 103 126 Yusei Kikuchi 115 4.15 25.5% 107 97 157 Nate Pearson 67 4.22 25.1% 172 Ricky Tiedeman 185 Mitch White 76 4.38 20.0% 95 100 189 Thomas Hatch 21 4.43 19.0% 105 97 195 Zach Thompson 41 4.64 17.7% 86 100 takeaways for me: 1. Kikuchi's projection works for me. Rank 126 means he projects to be an SP5. 2. Eno ranks Pearson here but I don't think Toronto is considering him as a SP at all in 2023. 3. Tiedemann is an arbitrary rank. There is no data, so no projection. 4. Zach Thompson sucks. 86 projected stuff+ is horrible. 5. White does not have good projections but with a 100 location+, he just needs SOMETHING to tick up on the stuff side to be decent. His projection is still above replacement level, though. 6. If the top 4 starters pitch to these numbers I think we will all be very happy. 7. White + Kikuchi combining these two projections in the SP5 slot would be something like 1.5 WAR.
  9. Sounds kind of like Sixto see you in 2025, Daniel
  10. It doesn't sound good
  11. It's definitely a big year for the Jays pitching development. No doubt it has let them down in the last couple of years at the MLB level, despite some big home runs like Manoah. It takes a while to create a good development system. Mitch White was a 2016 draft pick so unless Shapiro was miraculously able to have a good pipeline from day one, you'd kind of expect to not have as many guys like that. But they've had a lot of flops when it comes to acquisitions. It kind of looks like real talent is reaching the middle minors. The year will be very telling I think. If guys like Robberse and Juenger and Santos and Zulueta look useless, then it's not a good look
  12. So, nobody? He's the #6
  13. That doesn't make sense. Fangraphs' own depth charts have the Jays as 3.7 wins better than the Rays
  14. "it's a flawed system" says the player who clearly filed for way too much money and overestimated their own position
  15. Well, Grayson Rodriguez of course. I do like Bradish.
  16. Yeah so maybe people should stop tonguing their butthole for collecting seven Cole Irvins and moving the fences back 50 feet
  17. It's fine to say the Jays don't have ideal SP depth but you have to acknowledge that pitching depth is fluid and the Jays have been consistently and constantly adding to it for the last couple years. Just seems like a dumb thing to criticize at this point, in this context. They've added a lot and they've also intentionally put some horses up front, which should matter. It's not a f***ing draft and hold league where the team you bring to camp is all you have all year long...
  18. Yeah behind four #5 SP and a rookie, haha. I think they have the third lowest projected P WAR in baseball
  19. yeah it's a funny example. per mr kiley mcdaniel: Grayson Rodriguez, RHP, 60 FV Cade Povich, LHP, 50 FV D.L. Hall, LHP, 45+ FV Seth Johnson, RHP, 45 FV Drew Rom/LHP 40 FV Mike Baumann/RHP 40 FV Chayce McDermott/RHP 40 FV Carter Baumler/RHP 40 FV vs Ricky Tiedemann, LHP, 55 FV Brandon Barriera, LHP, 45+ FV Hayden Juenger, RHP, 45+ FV Yosver Zulueta, RHP, 45 FV Adam Macko, LHP, 45 FV Sem Robberse, RHP, 45 FV Dahian Santos/RHP, 40 FV Trent Palmer/RHP, 40 FV C.J. Van Eyk/RHP, 40 FV
  20. "oh I don't like the SP depth" well then make a f***ing time machine buddy. go back to 2015 or whatever and convince the Blue Jays to draft more and better arms and not trade any away.
  21. ffs this is a tiresome point of discussion you don't just go out and sign "solid SP depth" you can try, but the more solid someone is = less likely they want to sign to a non-guaranteed or minor league role and good luck trading for it, because everybody and their grandma hoards optionable starters with talent the only way to get it is to develop it go find a team you think has good "SP depth" and I will guarantee that almost everyone on the minor league side of the depth chart was drafted or signed as an amateur by that organization, or traded for as a mid or low minors prospect Toronto landing Zach Thompson this offseason, with 3 options, was a small miracle IMO
  22. Probably as simple as the northern coastal cities absorbing Caribean culture
  23. It's normally not treated with surgery. Just rest and an exercise/throwing program.
  24. He's in camp and throwing. I think they are just hoping he can stay healthy and be a reliever this year.
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