Laika

If they stop running on him it does not logically decrease his defensive value! It just might decrease his measurable defensive value if CS count is part of the equation. It's hard to measure "choosing not to run because the C has a cannon" I dunno, hitters hit. 2020-2021 in the Venezuela winter league hit .373 2021 MiLB hit .367 2021 AFL hit .329 2022 MiLB hit .315 2022 MLB hit .319 2023 MLB is hitting .321 He might just be a guy who runs a .350 BABIP all the time because of batted ball profile. Not all ground balls are created equal. Some good hitters are able to go with pitches and spray their groundballs all around, leading to high batting averages. If anything, arrow up on Moreno's offense because he is surviving without accessing any of the power or patience he showed a bit of in the minors. He had 9% walk rates at times down there. He had 8 HR in 32 games in 2021 in AA and 12 HR in 82 games in 2019. As he matures I could see him being more like, 20% above league average or better as a hitter. Maybe something like Alex Verdugo?

Well, it just means they should have received better value for him. Or traded a different catcher. Of course that's easy to say and harder to do. They probably tried everything all offseason and ended up taking the best deal they could get. They still kind of got f***ed though, in hindsight. It's not an amazing look on Atkins. He should have had some leverage given the market. The f***ing Cardinals chose to pay a non-catcher $90M to catch, rather than trade fair value for Danno. How does that happen? Bizarre.

Is the velocity up? Everything I had read in the last year or two indicated he had Chris Bassitt velo at best.

It just wasn't a great use of resources. Whether or not it was "bad" depends on your lens.

Kloff's K and BB rates have always been borderline. Like, he would pair a decent K rate with a bad BB rate. I dunno. I still don't trust this. He might just be getting lucky.

Many top catching prospects in the mold of Moreno end up not being impact players or even average players. Look at Keibert Ruiz or Knizner. Part of what made the trade ostensibly fair was the risk that Moreno would be useless in the short term to a contending team. But as the weeks tick on and he looks like an MLB average catcher, or better, right now, that risk evaporates. That tilts the equation on the trade heavily. It's healthy to be open minded and change your opinions over time.

I didn't think Moreno would be this good right away. I also assumed Varsho was a better player from his results.

Right!? Jansen is a flyball machine too. Espinal can barely lift a tennis ball.

Tiedemann was a rocket that would go top 5 in a redraft. The comparisons were never fair. Barriera has like a 1% chance of being as good as Teeds

I mean......... Moreno is hitting like .330 and gunning out runners while Danno is hitting .150, Kirk has forgotten how to frame and hit for power, and Varsho flirts with the Mendoza line. It doesn't look great. Oops.

Trevor Bauer, through his agent, released the following statement today: "I flatly deny any allegations that I have been getting rocked in the NPB. All of the damage done to my statline was completely consensual."

Just look at projections. For 5x5 ROS in a 12 team league, based on FGDC, Yelich will be worth $12 and Nootbaar will be worth $1. Year to Date Yelich has been worth $7 and Nootbaar has been worth $1. So there is really no sensible reason to think they are even close in a 5x5 league. Actually, even if you delete AVG and insert both OBP and wOBA Yelich has the edge in both YTD and ROS. But they are closer.

steals in a 5x5 yelich is probably better

At this point it kind of just looks like insanely bad luck. He has cut his K rate and improved his ISO. Regress the BABIP to even just .200 and he's an above average hitter.

depends on league stats and team needs yelich probably does better in every counting stat but noot better in ratios although noot has the talent to get hot and out homer yelich

They kind of have to their depth sucks

I dunno, man. From Bauer's recent NPB statlines I would say that he is pitching like he feels preeeeeeeeeeeeety guilty. Clean conscience = clean box score.

Yeah if he can insert himself into a position of power that will help with future rapings. Good idea.

if the whole baseball thing doesn't work out maybe he can just go back to being a rapist? i dunno

hahahaha

You guys are f***ing hopeless. You watch how much baseball and still haven't learned not to overreact to runs given up in a ~ten inning sample???? Do you wear velcro shoes?

Oilers and the Leafs are similar. Similar issues. Oilers are like a more extreme version though.

I feel like if I had to rank them right now it would be Gausman (huge gap) Berrios tied with Bassitt (gap) Kikuchi slightly ahead of Manoah

Probably have been a lot I don't think you even have to dig deep to find prospects who have hit .220 or worse in single minor league seasons but then figured it out Jazz Chisolm hit .220/.321/.441 in AA at 21 years old James Outman .226/.322/.407 in A ball at 22 years old Aaron Judge .224/.308/.373 in AAA at 23 years old Trent Grisham his .231 then .222 then .232 in three consecutive MiLB seasons ages 19-21 I am just looking at the current K% leaderboard and clicking on some younger players Orelvis' 2022 is comparable to some of those guys. A few points in BA is not relevant but I am sure you could find some good players who hit .200 or worse. As long as the age vs. level is okay, the player can still be a prospect. Orelvis' 2023 still probably falls into the SSS and horrible luck categories. The BABIP is unfathomable in a full season. Oh, here is one. Trevor Story at 21 in AA in 237 PA hit .200/.302/.380 with a 34.6% K rate. Hunter Dozier hit like .210 in about 800 consecutive AA plate appearances across two years... Steven Souza Jr. hit under .200 for two years in a row and then just over .200 a couple times

Not that I can remember but Joey Gallo was close. Like a .240 hitter in the upper minors???