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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Schneider had some lofty walk rates in the minors. That 21% K rate in 2023 AAA probably translates into almost 30% in the big leagues. He looks like a TTO dude. Projections agree. Actually, I think I found the perfect comp for Schneider. Dan Uggla. 11th round pick rule 5 pick MLB debut at 26 years old career .241/.336/.447/.783 hitter 11.4% walk rate, 24.3% K rate, .206 career ISO peak WAR 4.6 below average but acceptable 2B defender
  2. Laika
    *Craig Biggio's son* is slashing...
  3. Laika
    JP Sears is a lefty with a 5.23 FIP this year. I predict 7 scoreless innings from him today. Vlad will groundout every time.
  4. Laika
    I would give him the QO as well. In a stronger FA class, if he was the #3 ranked 3B and there were a couple big SS out there, he might even accept the QO. But this offseason there is nobody in his class on the infield that I can see. These are the top IF free agents: 2B: Whit Merrifield Adam Frazier, Tony Kemp, Kolten Wong ------ lmao 3B: Chapman, Candelario Brian Anderson, Longo, Eduardo Escobar, Donaldson, Urshela, Moustakas SS: Amed Rosario, IKF, Tim Anderson, Andrus The only player in that mix who probably projects for 3+ WAR is Chapman. What a wasteland. The two best players in there might be outgoing Blue Jays, actually. Assuming Muncy, Polanco, Turner don't hit FA.
  5. Laika
    They all have warts and could suck immediately. But Clement has a long track record of making contact and Horwitz and Schneider both have extensive MiLB records of overall production. Schneider's swing definitely has holes in it so him finding a consistent level of production will take some adjustments. Horwitz still probably does not have enough raw power to be more than a bench player. Offensively, he is the more traditional prospect so he may have the best chance of being a long term MLB quality bat of some competency out of the three. Clement has only hit for any power this year... in 300 AAA PA. Remains to be seen if his swing changes this year are permanent.
  6. Laika
    Yeah if you look at projections right now... Schneider is about 0.2 WAR per 55 PA, call it a 2 WAR player. That's a 50 FV. Backend top 100 prospect, basically.
  7. Laika
    There is no sense in focusing on the "traded him for a reliever" part They could have traded him for just prospects and signed a RP. Or traded him for a CF and signed a RP. I can guarantee that Toronto's thought process was not "we need to trade Teoscar for a reliever" It was instead, "Teoscar is expensive and this type of player is overvalued. We should trade him. We need to make SOME value trades so our window of contention does not shut abruptly." They elected to get Swanson in the package but you might as well consider Swanson just one piece they brought in over the course of the entire offseason where they brought in CF, LF, SP, RP, and 1B/DH additions. Also, the team looks much better at the whole RP acquisition thing right now. Swanson has been good, Cabrera looks okay, Mayza has developed more, Francis is great, Richards is great.
  8. Laika
    Gausman was not an overpay Kikuchi looks like a nice contract now, haha
  9. Laika
    The 2023 Blue Jays would definitely have been a bit better if they didn't do the trade, but that was always going to be the trade-off. Downgrade in 2023 for "years of control" of a pitching prospect who will never make it and a reliever who would not be an athlete in any other sport. I think if Teoscar never gets traded his WAR this year is much higher. Kind of assuming his s***** first half was due to pressing, etc.
  10. Laika
    The farm system / talent acquisition and development system is suddenly firing on all cylinders and overflowing with helpful MLB players. These five guys are under 28, under control forever (Cabrera just 2 more years) and making a huge combined impact. Schneider, 24 years old, 78 PA, 1.7 fWAR (rookie) Clement, 27 years old, 38 PA, 0.5 fWAR (1 year of service time) Horwitz, 25 years old, 23 PA, 0.2 fWAR (rookie) Francis, 27 years old, 32 IP, 0.2 fWAR (rookie) Cabrera, 26 years old, 18.1 IP, 0.5 fWAR (2024 = arb2)
  11. Laika
    He doesn't get cheated!!!
  12. Laika
    Part of me thinks Alek Thomas is who the Diamondbacks were trying to sell to Toronto. There is a chance that Kirk for Thomas was on the table. Or, lmao, maybe they wanted Moreno for Thomas+. I think this is the case because the inclusion of Gurriel as a kicker makes it seem like getting the Diamondbacks to even put Varsho on the table was difficult.
  13. Laika
    Similar players (Castellanos, Schwarber) have received more money than that I would not be *shocked* to see Teo get something closer to their contracts. You can also argue somewhat convincingly, even though he is a bad defender and his baserunning his slipped negative, that Teoscar is a more well rounded player than both of those guys. Never underestimate what a team desperate for PRODUCTION will pay for a big bat
  14. Laika
    That's what I'm saying, Schneider is giving me big Matt Stairs vibes Just hunts specific pitches and tries to launch dingers Also, dad traits
  15. Laika
    Matt Stairs came up as an infielder, remember I think a minor league shortstop then 3B????
  16. Laika
    That really remains to be seen, lol
  17. Laika
    He's like Matt Stairs
  18. Laika
    Eovaldi is cooked. I think his velo is way down.
  19. Laika
    *surprise* many baseball players are losers
  20. Laika
    Even that one where he almost got thrown out... it's like the ball had extreme top spin, lmao. How the f*** did that not go out, in Coors Field? Vlad would be great at tennis. He's basically a Williams sister.
  21. Laika
    Gabriel Moreno is who we thought they thought we thought he thought he was, after all!
  22. Laika
    Yeah I don't think it's "bad luck" either to be honest, but the question of how permanent it is remains. It has not been a career long problem. It seems like his swing is mechanically busted right now for some reason. Anything inside is a groundball. Like when he tries to pull a fastball, he is almost incapable of getting it in the air.
  23. Laika
    I would support a sneaky buy low Vlad extension this offseason tbh I dunno if I'd do 10 years but what if he was willing to sign a 5 or 6 year deal? The final 2 arb years plus a few tack on years. From his perspective that would be a big pay day + he'd still have a chance to hit FA at 30 or whatever and still get a mega deal, if he turns back into an elite hitter.
  24. Laika
    Maybe Toronto can trade Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.? The fans in Toronto are turning on him because of his low WAR and his frustrating track record. But he has a .383 xwOBA vs just a .339 wOBA. Every other year for him those numbers were congruent, like when he was bad his xwOBA was bad. So I dunno what is happening this year but if we zoom out it's probably just bad luck. Could be a sick buy low.
  25. Laika
    I don't think they would consider that Maybe you could get a replacement level young guy like Andrew Vaughn but what is the point
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