Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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I think it's at the point where he IS having that kind of year, despite the batting average. It's not a mirage to pair those K and BB rates with that ISO. He's a freak. They could probably promote him at this point.
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In sum, I think this is the takeaway: we all hoped Vlad could be like the guys in my second picture, the "phenoms" (so, a 50 career WAR expectation) but it is looking like he will be more like the guys in my first picture, the "good 1B" (so, a 30 career WAR expectation) but if he can get back on track with the stick and mature a bit, he still has a realistic chance to perform like the upper bound of the fat 1B category. that means like Goldy, Votto, Freeman... a 50 WAR career.
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alright here is a new sample for Vlad comps this is players since 1990 with at least one season age 22 or younger and 5+ WAR (picked 5 WAR to capture some guys on the "other" side of Vlad's 6 WAR year). this should capture almost everybody in the last three+ decades who was demonstrably very good at a very young age i.e. most of the hot shot prospects who did not flop. I guess I could have expanded the age cutoff to 23 as well to scoop more guys, but I didn't think of it. i have excluded A-Rod and Trout on purpose just to make the graph more readable. and because they are kind of incomparable legends, anyway... We have revealed a "fun" comp for Vlad in Pablo Sandoval! Other than Pablo the current "trajectory" comps might be Tulo and Devers...
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Could look up players with 6+ WAR seasons at 22 or younger and just use that sample... That would exclude all of these fat 1B types and add in many of those hot shots. But then you are being unfair to Vlad because his talent profile is not the same given his body and s***..
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pick your Vlad career path: Note that his age 24 season on this graph is unfairly low. You can just extrapolate his current 0.7 WAR to 2.1 or whatever, if you want. That moves his final dot a bit.
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Mike p2f will love that trade for you
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I guess. I love Cobb but he's pretty old
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I thought the Dodgers would have a genius plan for him but I guess not
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traded the farm for 80 innings from Josh Johnson and Jose Reyes' worthless free agent contract #Legacy
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MLB.com in 2011 had Hellickson #2 haha Trout - Hellickson - Harper These were the Drabek, Lawrie, Arencibia days. Toronto's farm was sort of stacked. Sanchez, d'Arnaud, Thames, Syndergaard, Wojo, Grant's favourite prospect Zach Stewart, future #4 workhorse Decklyn McGueer, handsome Jake, Henderson Alvarez of future fleeting dominance, Deck McGuire 2.0 aka Chadley Jonkins, and who could forget perennial gold glove candidate Adeiny ECHavarrrrrrrrreeeeeeeeyaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!! What a farm system!!!
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There were 2011 rankings that went Harper then Trout. I believe some publications even had guys like Dom Brown, Jeremy Hellickson, Jesus Montero, and Matt Moore extremely close. And I mean s*** like Hellickson ahead of Harper...
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
If his problems are mental, then demoting him makes sense. Mental reset. If his problems are physical (fitness), then demoting him does not make sense from the perspective of making Manoah better. He's not going to be skinnier in Buffalo. But he has been so bad that you can justify demoting him simply to get a better SP in the rotation. So.... you have to send him packing very soon. I would say TODAY but the team clearly wants to give him some more chances. At this point you kind of start thinking "what is going to motivate this guy to get in better shape in the winter". 2023 almost becomes a lost cause. -
wait is Gausman pumping 99
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Kinda nice that he is missing on this side of the equation though
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If Harper was medically retired tomorrow, he's not a hall of famer. It would be a David Wright situation. If Harper can play well into his mid 30s then he'll make it.
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He's completely lost. The only good thing is that this is Vlad at his worst... and he's still a decent bat.
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He looks completely lost
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uh huh...
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Vlad loves his 370 ft flyouts
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This is why "peak" WAR matters quite a bit for HOF consideration.
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Sir the prices everywhere are insane A McDonalds combo with no coupons is like $14
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Widely reported. It's not known. I don't think AA has ever commented on that. All we know is that he was offered a 5 year extension and turned it down.
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I dunno man, look at everyone behind him. Chances are players #2 and #3 on their board at the time also suck.
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I'm not sure that's the case. He just didn't win enough hardware or develop a rock-solid reputation on either side of the ball. Like, Yadier Molina was a 10 time AS and 9 time GG. Posey 7 time AS, MVP, ROY, five time SS. Russell had 4 AS, one GG, one SS. His offensive reputation was sandbagged by batting average bias and on the defensive side the fancy stats loved his framing but I don't think traditional baseball people thought of him as like, almost the best defensive catcher in baseball, even though Fangraphs would say he was top 3 for most of his career. Brian McCann is in the exact same boat as Russell. If you look at the catchers in baseball historically then you can make a really strong argument that McCann and Russell deserve to be in the hall of fame. But isn't that kind of like the argument for putting relievers in there?
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Boston Pizza has something for the whole family!
