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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    I'm not even sure anymore that this is it anecdotally, I don't remember a huge amount of warning track flyouts to CF or RF. Sure, he hits a number of them but it's not like this is repeatedly happening. No, the failures tend to be lazy groundballs or double plays or cheezy pop ups. So hard to fix him but I think it's just mental. He needs to: - trust his instincts - get started earlier - swing harder - try to homer or turn the ball to dust all the time My gut says he is just stuck in a glass case of emotions in his head all the time. In between pitches, trying to be perfect, trying to pull line drives or serve singles into right field. Overthinking everything. Guessing and committing to swings without really seeing the ball first.
  2. Laika
    Alek Manoah has been diagnosed with: Morbid Obesity Food Addiction a Personality Disorder Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Fibromyalgia Long COVID Medium COVID Climate Change Anxiety Hemorrhoids And the Nazi Blue Jays STILL won't place him on the IL! It's discrimination!!!!
  3. Laika
    AAV? That seems a bit lofty Maybe 2 years at an AAV of $8M or $9M he is throwing well enough but the velo is still declined
  4. Laika
    I dunno man. They played like s*** against the worst teams in baseball. And went 1-2 against a bad team the prior series. A sweep of KC would make the whole swing feel much, much better though. They NEEDED to bank wins on this stretch and I am not sure they banked enough. Blarghhjgjkfdgjfdklg
  5. Laika
    https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-eovaldi/9132/graphs?pitchgraphs=true&statArr=&legend=1&split=base&time=daily&start=2021&end=2023&rtype=mult&gt1=15&dStatArray=FA&ymin=&ymax=
  6. Laika
    Just need to sweep ONE good team to make up for blowing a game or two against bad teams. Easy.
  7. Laika
    Why does that f***ing matter None of us run the Texas Rangers They owned the motherf***ing player and had no idea what they had
  8. Laika
    They are on the precipice of disaster. Their lineup is mostly on the wrong side of the aging curve. Semien 33, Garcia 30, Seager 29, Lowe 28, Garver 32, Heim 28, Grossman 34... Eovaldi is busted. Scherzer looks busted. Yeah they could pull off a miracle this year but they are asking Jordan Montgomery, Jon Gray, and Andrew Heaney to carry them on the pitching side. BIG GULP. Things get ugly if they don't have a big run this year or next.
  9. Laika
    did you just compare Nicky Frazzo to Cole Ragans?
  10. Laika
    Cole Ragans is going to f***ing HAUNT the Rangers
  11. Laika
    His K% is like.. 60% or 70% stabilized at this point. I would expect some of these extreme granular percentages to regress towards normalcy. Just not sure if they will do it in the good or bad way. I guess we should assume they will go in the bad direction. Weird player. There aren't many players who barely swing but when they do they whiff 14% of the time or more. The ones who do show up on the 2023 search are generally not good examples. Trayce Thompson, Taylor Trammell, Trevor Larnach, Jared Walsh, David Villar, Sam Hilliard, Wil Myers. Noda. Judge and Stanton are close to 14%. One "good" comp on the PD side is Ryan Noda. His contact, swstr, called strike, and swing% are all kind of similar.
  12. Laika
    His SwStr% and Contact% and O-Swing% are all misaligned. Some of them will change drastically. His O-Swing% is elite. It's in Mookie Betts, Ed Julien, Juan Soto, Craig Biggio's son, Lars Nootbaar territory. The contact% is very poor but his SwStr% is not quite as poor. It's funny that people think he is just being fed meatballs. He actually has a very low zone% and first pitch strike% against him. Pitchers are generally trying to get him to chase and he is not chasing. He seems to have an actual skill at hammering pitches at the very top of the zone. Four of his homers are on pitches at the upper limit of the zone (almost balls). Many players can't pull those in the air consistently. Vlad doesn't have a single HR this year on a pitch at the top of the zone. Neither does Springer. Opposing teams will stop throwing him high fastballs very soon. They will start staying down and away. Hopefully he's not a breaking ball chaser, that could be bad.
  13. Laika
    Schneider had some lofty walk rates in the minors. That 21% K rate in 2023 AAA probably translates into almost 30% in the big leagues. He looks like a TTO dude. Projections agree. Actually, I think I found the perfect comp for Schneider. Dan Uggla. 11th round pick rule 5 pick MLB debut at 26 years old career .241/.336/.447/.783 hitter 11.4% walk rate, 24.3% K rate, .206 career ISO peak WAR 4.6 below average but acceptable 2B defender
  14. Laika
    *Craig Biggio's son* is slashing...
  15. Laika
    JP Sears is a lefty with a 5.23 FIP this year. I predict 7 scoreless innings from him today. Vlad will groundout every time.
  16. Laika
    I would give him the QO as well. In a stronger FA class, if he was the #3 ranked 3B and there were a couple big SS out there, he might even accept the QO. But this offseason there is nobody in his class on the infield that I can see. These are the top IF free agents: 2B: Whit Merrifield Adam Frazier, Tony Kemp, Kolten Wong ------ lmao 3B: Chapman, Candelario Brian Anderson, Longo, Eduardo Escobar, Donaldson, Urshela, Moustakas SS: Amed Rosario, IKF, Tim Anderson, Andrus The only player in that mix who probably projects for 3+ WAR is Chapman. What a wasteland. The two best players in there might be outgoing Blue Jays, actually. Assuming Muncy, Polanco, Turner don't hit FA.
  17. Laika
    They all have warts and could suck immediately. But Clement has a long track record of making contact and Horwitz and Schneider both have extensive MiLB records of overall production. Schneider's swing definitely has holes in it so him finding a consistent level of production will take some adjustments. Horwitz still probably does not have enough raw power to be more than a bench player. Offensively, he is the more traditional prospect so he may have the best chance of being a long term MLB quality bat of some competency out of the three. Clement has only hit for any power this year... in 300 AAA PA. Remains to be seen if his swing changes this year are permanent.
  18. Laika
    Yeah if you look at projections right now... Schneider is about 0.2 WAR per 55 PA, call it a 2 WAR player. That's a 50 FV. Backend top 100 prospect, basically.
  19. Laika
    There is no sense in focusing on the "traded him for a reliever" part They could have traded him for just prospects and signed a RP. Or traded him for a CF and signed a RP. I can guarantee that Toronto's thought process was not "we need to trade Teoscar for a reliever" It was instead, "Teoscar is expensive and this type of player is overvalued. We should trade him. We need to make SOME value trades so our window of contention does not shut abruptly." They elected to get Swanson in the package but you might as well consider Swanson just one piece they brought in over the course of the entire offseason where they brought in CF, LF, SP, RP, and 1B/DH additions. Also, the team looks much better at the whole RP acquisition thing right now. Swanson has been good, Cabrera looks okay, Mayza has developed more, Francis is great, Richards is great.
  20. Laika
    Gausman was not an overpay Kikuchi looks like a nice contract now, haha
  21. Laika
    The 2023 Blue Jays would definitely have been a bit better if they didn't do the trade, but that was always going to be the trade-off. Downgrade in 2023 for "years of control" of a pitching prospect who will never make it and a reliever who would not be an athlete in any other sport. I think if Teoscar never gets traded his WAR this year is much higher. Kind of assuming his s***** first half was due to pressing, etc.
  22. Laika
    The farm system / talent acquisition and development system is suddenly firing on all cylinders and overflowing with helpful MLB players. These five guys are under 28, under control forever (Cabrera just 2 more years) and making a huge combined impact. Schneider, 24 years old, 78 PA, 1.7 fWAR (rookie) Clement, 27 years old, 38 PA, 0.5 fWAR (1 year of service time) Horwitz, 25 years old, 23 PA, 0.2 fWAR (rookie) Francis, 27 years old, 32 IP, 0.2 fWAR (rookie) Cabrera, 26 years old, 18.1 IP, 0.5 fWAR (2024 = arb2)
  23. Laika
    He doesn't get cheated!!!
  24. Laika
    Part of me thinks Alek Thomas is who the Diamondbacks were trying to sell to Toronto. There is a chance that Kirk for Thomas was on the table. Or, lmao, maybe they wanted Moreno for Thomas+. I think this is the case because the inclusion of Gurriel as a kicker makes it seem like getting the Diamondbacks to even put Varsho on the table was difficult.
  25. Laika
    Similar players (Castellanos, Schwarber) have received more money than that I would not be *shocked* to see Teo get something closer to their contracts. You can also argue somewhat convincingly, even though he is a bad defender and his baserunning his slipped negative, that Teoscar is a more well rounded player than both of those guys. Never underestimate what a team desperate for PRODUCTION will pay for a big bat
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