Laika

Weird that his injury was not known Dude is getting put on top 100 lists meanwhile he had major career threatening surgery five months ago

I don't think this info is accurate There was amateur data where his maxEVs were promising. I remember reading 110 mph at the time of the draft

He's GOOD. Part of why the farm is rated a bit too low right is that a couple of the good prospects aren't scouting darlings. Roden, Schneider (graduated but you get it), Horwitz... Horwitz has a 2 WAR projection per full season by Steamer and ZIPS and everyone has a 40 FV on him. So the machine says 50 FV and the scouts have him a full tier below. I dunno. I like our prospects, Barry.

I guess Toman and BB are the main culprits Toman sucks. BB gets a mulligan. I dunno. 2023 was a good year on the farm compared to 2022 IMO. Much better.

It's okay, Kiley is kind of dumb (he's the new Keith Law) and that's not even bottom 5 so we technically do not have a bottom 5 farm anyway, even if it is per this dumbass

lmao I think these are all the worthwhile prospects/young players they have dealt away since the point in 2019 when they started buying again Logan Allen Franmil Reyes Luis Urias Eric Lauer Xavier Edwards Taylor Trammell Ty France Andres Munoz Luis Torrens Jeisson Rosario Matt Brash Edward Olivares Josh Naylor Cal Quantrill Gabriel Arias Joey Cantillo Owen Miller Blake Hunt Cole Wilcox Luis Patino Francisco Mejia Owen Caissie David Bednar Jack Suwinski Mason Thompson River Ryan Esteury Ruiz Robert Gasser CJ Abrams Robert Hassell James Wood Mackenzie Gore Victor Acosta Jackson Wolf Ryan Weathers You will note that a fair number of these are good MLB players or very good prospects right now!

Padres definitely had a great young foundation, they just f***ed it up somehow

Who knows. Teams can spend big and f*** up. Look at the mess the Padres are/were in. Look at the last time the Orioles spent money (Chris Davis!)

Could be something like this though: Family was hesitant to make big investments as they were tying to sell the team, and unsure if a buyer would want big long term commitments or a clean payroll. Then in the process of negotiating and striking this deal, maybe this buyer indicated that they would approve of some long term commitments and prospect trades to raise payroll and make the team better immediately.

yeah but we have justin turner and a falaffle

The Os getting good is fine because the Red Sox and Yankees suck now, right right

Ortiz is a plug-and-play SS who might have some upside. Probably 2 WAR immediately, unless the scouts are wrong on his D, with the chance for more. Hall is immediately a back-end reliever with some chance still to be starter. The Jays really do not have a comparable package. Tiedemann on his own is probably close enough to the value of the package. Orelvis + Nimmala might be close but it wouldn't be what Milwaukee wanted for various reasons.

welp, at least Baltimore is burning some prospect capital finally one year of Burnes...

Uhhhh

Wow wtf

Schneider has a feast or famine season but ends up hitting enough homers and playing good enough defense for 3 WAR. Pundits start to place Dan Uggla comps on him. He's the locked in starting 2B for most of the year. Alek Manoah is pretty awful again but not as wild as 2023 so he eats enough innings to be worth 1.3 WAR

I have been a big supporter of Alek Manoah all offseason so I am very happy to hear that Toronto had no real plans of selling low on him Look for him to be a strong SP3 this year for a good Blue Jays team

ITT we whine about "bullpen development" even though the team has a good MLB bullpen at reasonable cost, and there are a good number of interesting relievers in the minors. That's OFF LIMITS. Feel free to whine about the right things like: - failure to develop any elite hitting prospects in the last few years - failure to develop enough SP depth - Ross's press conferences - John Schneider's tomato face

Ah man that sucks. Relievers like, never get injured or anything.

Imagine characterizing a catching combo of Kirk and Jansen as "gross" on offense. LMAO

But they have produced them Mayza and Romano have become elite relievers while under the tutelage and guidance of Shatkins

I don't think this matters. - Their trades for relief help have all been good, save for the Hicks deal which is a wait and see. - The total cost of the bullpen in 2024 will only be like $30M so it's not like they have any sandbag contracts or huge contracts. Zero long term commits. - They have developed and used some good relievers like Romano and Mayza, they just didn't draft them. - They have drafted some good relievers or likely good relievers, they just traded some (Frasso, Winckowski) - They have drafted many promising RP prospects that are filling in the AA and AAA levels right now. We saw Danner for a cup of coffee last year. Connor Cooke in particular looks like a possible closer. - They would not have been prioritizing developing relievers from 2016 through like, 2019 - From the 2019 through the 2023 drafts, many pitching prospects who could be good relievers are still in the organization - If the pen is good and not subject to expensive long term FA commitments, does it even matter? - There are tons of MLB teams that habitually stock their bullpen through waiver claims and little trades. See TBR, SEA for example.

High end projection = 3.6 ERA and 0.2 fWAR Low end projection = 4.5 ERA and negative fWAR Anything outside of that band requires extreme luck or talent change

Yeah because his stuff was good and he projected well, and the contract worked out accordingly. See how this works? Good stuff = good projections (Yimi) Bad stuff = bad projections (Wandy) I could actually buy that Wandy is a bit of a FIP beater, but maybe by 0.30 to 0.50 runs or so. If 2023 never happened I might say a high 3.7 ERA or so would be likely. But 2023 was a stinker in a lot of ways so this contract is just shockingly awful.

It's tough to know anything The offense was bad at the group level in 2023, that's a red flag. They have had issues developing elite prospects, that's a red flag. They have had issues developing pitching of any variety and have largely been signing them, that's a red flag. There are also some green flags over the recent years of course. Like, good at identifying the right free agents to sign and stuff like that. They've done some good worth with certain pitchers, like Kikuchi. The MiLB depth is underappreciated and is finally good and there is a thick group of relievers and infielders coming.