Agree that Atkins fumbled
Had to let the offseason play out first but these contracts in the last few weeks have made the conclusion somewhat clear
I think when they gave KK $10M they probably assumed guys like Duvall and Pham would get close to that, at least $6M or $7M, and they thought KK was far more valuable based on defense and projections. Well, those guys might sign for $1.5M at this point. Probably could have bought a Pham + Eddie Rosario platoon in LF for less than $10M total.
$18M for IKF and KK. Take the more generous of the available projections and they project for like 450 PA each and 3 to 3.5 WAR total.
They aren't a BETTER team if they replace those two guys with bottom of the barrel options right now, but they are a cheaper team that is likely close in projected total WAR, and of course they could have more money to incentivize a Chapman pillow contract right now which is the whole point.
The only saving grace here would be good years from KK and IKF. If IKF's defense is as good as the team thinks and he does anything with the stick he's a 2+ win player and you'd prefer him for $7.5M to the aging Chapman at 3x the AAV.
This entire season rides on Falaffle tbh. 2024 is his year. The whole country is on his shoulders.