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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Exactly. Could see him as a throw in for Adames. He has a bit of value for small market teams in particular
  2. Laika
    Not much but throw in value perhaps He might project for $3M or whatever in surplus value
  3. Laika
    Rosario probably has enough leverage based on age and prior hype to get a guaranteed starting role
  4. Laika
    You could just look up the defensive metrics yourself
  5. Laika
    Yeah Whit was good when he was 31 and under Last three years, and his entire Blue Jays tenure, much more like IKF.
  6. Laika
    He was probably stretched at SS Dude came up as a C, won a GG at third base, then the Yankees in all their wisdom decided he was a CF and SS
  7. Laika
    I don't know why people hate this All metrics say he is a plus defensive 3B This is like Whit Merrifield with more defensive utility Team can still upgrade and IKF can be a bench player 2/$15 is nothing. He's young. Also maybe frees up Espinal for a trade?
  8. Laika
    It would be because he's old They are projecting defensive decline and neutral baserunning His BsR number from last year was randomly negative which doesn't help I would assume his D to be as good as last year, his baserunning to be positive, but his offense to regress a bit If he stays healthy and gets into as many games, he probably approaches 2 wins again.
  9. Laika
    Kiermaier's projection on Steamer is weirdly light If he's only providing 1 WAR it's probably because he has a major injury
  10. Laika
    They SHOULD have the $30M needed to fill DH and 3B. They might be the end of the money though. Who knows
  11. Laika
    Varsho is at least an average regular in every OF position WAR is WAR His bat only seemed too light for LF last year because there were multiple other soft spots in the lineup with players like Kirk and Vlad and Springer hitting so poorly The typical LF is a thumper but it's all about balance BTS' Brett Gardner example is perfect So.... just need some offensive additions elsewhere. One big DH would go a long way tbh. And then how about an offense first 3B like Justin Turner? Varsho is your 8th hitter or whatever. Everyone is happy
  12. Laika
    In this market you HAVE to be okay with IKF on a one year deal It wouldn't be bad. He's been a decent player at times. It would basically be the Whit Merrifield experience, minus five homers. We lived that for two years and it was honestly... tolerable. The org infield depth is finally good, too, so a prospect might take over.
  13. Laika
    Also, the idea that Varsho is amazing in CF but not uber elite in LF is f***ing stupid. Probably just 2023 statistical noise. True talent +20 LF baby
  14. Laika
    2023 Varsho, 2.1 WAR KK, 2.2 WAR Springer, 2.2 WAR 2024 projection Varsho, 3.0 WAR Springer, 3.0 WAR KK, 1.1 WAR I don't think you really have a "4th OF"... you just have 4 outfielders. Bring in a RHB with some pop (or use Schneider in that role if you sign/trade for a 2B) and then between DH, injuries, and days off, everybody plays enough. Someone like Brian Anderson might be a good fit. He can play RF/LF/3B and not a butcher anywhere. Too bad his offense has cratered and his projections are now soft. Whit Merrifield started 70 games in the OF last year.
  15. Laika
    Pick your preferred OF addition with these assumptions (Laika's assumptions): The "jewel"... Bellinger - projected 2.5 WAR - 7/$175M contract The good bats with bad defense... Soler - 2 WAR - 3/$66M Hernandez - 1.7 WAR - 3/$60M The old farts and fringe defenders... Pham - 1 WAR - 1/$10M Hicks - 0.9 WAR - 1/$9M Pederson - 1.5 WAR - 2/$24M Brantley - 1.2 WAR - 1/$12M Duvall - 0.7 WAR - 1/$8M Grichuk, Peralta, Grossman - 0.4 WAR - 1/$3M Defensive specialists... Kiermaier - 1.5 WAR - 1/$11M Taylor - 1 WAR - 2/$15M Bader - 1.5 WAR - 2/$22M The reclamation projects... Meadows - 0.7 WAR - 1/$5M Gallo - 0.5 WAR - 1/$5M IMO even though they are all boring additions the three defense-first guys are probably the most likely to actually help the team. I could see a lot of the other options, the old guys and bat first guys, being bad deals.... at least with KK, Bader, and Taylor, health permitting, you know they are going to put up positive production and help on D and the bases.
  16. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Laika replied to admin's topic in Other Sports

    Raps positioning for a nightmare scenario Gonna finish 7th last haha and not even get to draft there
  17. Laika
    I feel like Bader has a bit more pull and should be able to get an uncontested starting CF gig He has those 3 and 4 WAR years on his resume and the only major question mark is staying on the field Taylor's game kind of erodes more when he gets full playing time...
  18. Laika
    Precisely. Exactly. Perfect.
  19. Laika
    No, he's like signing the Bradley Zimmer that Bradley Zimmer's mom thought Bradley Zimmer was Taylor's carrying skills (floor) are so good that he has been an asset every single year of his career, ignoring his rookie season. 2019 and 2020 don't count, less than 100 PA both times. He's like, the perfect 4th OF. Can play CF very well, has some pop, can run.
  20. Laika
    Yeah it makes no sense. The team that should be signing Cody Bellinger for funny money is the team that has a 4+ year core of youngsters locked and loaded. Seattle has Dominic Canzone as their projected RF, Cade Marlowe in LF, and Taylor Trammell as a starting position player occupying DH on their depth chart. Ty France coming off 0.5 WAR as their 1B. Seattle also has: Luis Castillop 4 years J Rod 6 years George Kirby 5 years Bryce Miller 6 years Cal Raleigh 4 years Matt Brash 5 years Logan Gilbert 4 years Bryan Woo 6 years JP Crawford 3 more Robbie Ray 3 more Andres Munoz 5 more, if they want Seattle should sign Cody Bellinger. LMAO. They f***ing need him omg. Perfect fit and he is an upgrade on a replacement level position player. I will go further. If the Mariners do not sign Cody Bellinger, regardless of cost, they simply do not care about winning.
  21. Laika
    Probably ages defensively just like George Springer did Which would be FINE of course but after George's good 2019 in CF, he has been acceptable at best. Not really an asset out there.
  22. Laika
    The +/- 2 BsR moves the needle by like 0.2 WAR. Almost nothing. Bellinger was a -4 OF in 2023 per UZR and -3 by DRS. OAA liked him, but 28 years old is still the top of the aging curve... even though he is still young, people should expect him to be a corner outfielder going forward and not really a CF.
  23. Laika
    yes I mean, he is a highly variable player, 2.5 is the most likely result. but he's enough of an enigma that I'm not going to put money on a war projection or anything
  24. Laika
    Steamer isn't just a basic three year marcel projection It looks at all the inputs. The K rate, the contact, the exit velo, all that. He simply did not demonstrate 4 WAR true talent in 2023 despite the results. It's really easy to see. He got lucky on offense.
  25. Laika
    This is stupid and you know it, max You can carve up almost any player's season into little chunks and cherry pick it and weave in a narrative to make them look better or worse Bellinger projects for 2.5 wins. Injuries and ups and downs are literally part of the Bellinger experience. You can't ignore them.
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