Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Ah, a pair of Jims Everything makes perfect f***ing sense now
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Gausman was a stud for 2020 (shortened year) and 2021, with identifiable changes to his approach, velo, and overall talent. Toronto gave the 5 win player $110M. Bellinger doesn't have the same substrate to his stat profile, right now. He's not as objectively good. And his projections are worse. He was a 4 win player in 2023, and got a bit lucky. If Bellinger wants to sign a fair deal, I'm all over him. He's young so 5 years is fine with me. He's a decent player with upside so he can have a $20M AAV. 5/$100 for Cody and 4/$80 for Matthew Good to go.
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No it isn't binary is for robots
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kindly stop being dum Vlad is a middling 1B. Almost irrelevant to the competitive "window" at this point. It would be foolish to construct any timelines or fabricate urgency around a man of his "talents." We are firmly within the Davis Schneider window now.
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my spider sense says there is a chance Chapman will sign for like 4/$80 that would be okay with me
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your dum
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RF - Springer SS - Bo 1B - Vlad DH - Pederson 3B - Turner 2B - Schneider C - Kirk/Jansen LF - Pham CF - Varsho BN - Kirk/Jansen, Espinal, Gallo, Horwitz/Clement This lineup is pretty deep and it can be done with only 1 year commitments (probably). Yeah, LF and 3B are flaky because those guys are geezers but between guys like Barger, Horwitz, Orelvis, Palmegiani, Lantigua, Alan Roden, the team might have a few good depth options for those positions as well as 2B. Could also sacrifice offense for someone at 3B who can more certainly play the position, like Tim Anderson, Donovan Solano, Urshela, IKF, I dunno.
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When people say they want Toronto to sign the 1 year veterans for 2024, they are not saying run back the Belt/KK plays. Those were cute little upside plays. $10M or less for players that gave the team 2 WAR. There is no reason to be cute again and think you can do that. Maybe with one of the open positions, but not all three. No, even on 1 year deals Toronto should be serious about this. Give JDM $20M if that is what he wants. Give Hoskins $22M to DH if that is what it takes. Justin Turner might be a great fit, pay him. Overpay by a couple million bucks for Pham or Duvall or whoever you think is the BEST 1 year LF option, to insure the position.
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Just bring Chappy home for 4/$80 Sign Joc Pederson Sign Joey Gallo and Tommy Pham Slap John Schneider Scold Vlad Tell Kirk you want to see 20 homers win the world series sweetheart extension for Danny Boy blank cheque for Soto
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Yeah It's really just THIS YEAR that everybody looks like a landmine Typically there are a few more good looking options at the top By all means, Toronto should be offering the next Corey Seager or Freddie Freeman in free agency the most money I mean they literally just went balls to the wall for Ohtani and almost pulled it off, haha
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We will see but I doubt 8/$200 is actually even the market rate for Bellinger And if some really dumb team gives him that, that is not proof that it was the correct price Honestly, Cody Bellinger, if he is any good, should bet on himself. Take a 1/$30M deal or whatever. If he has another strong year, then teams will back up the truck for him, I guess.
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stfu jim the Jays sign big free agents all the time now Gausman, Springer, many other lesser examples Cody Belanger is a 2.5 win player asking for the contract that a 5 win player deserves Boras is just looking for a mark team to dump on, just like Bryant and the Rockies two years ago. Not saying Bellinger would be as instantly worthless as Bryant, but same general thing. If Cody wants to talk a 5 year deal then I'm sure Toronto is interested. They might even give him an opt out after year 2 or 3.
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Skenes probably a bad example because of the bad fastball shape But, say guys like Rutschman, Witt Jr.,, Holliday, Gerrit Cole... the guys who are on the map as studs for years and consensus top picks. I wonder what Adley Rutschman would have got coming out of college if he was just a pure free agent. Or what someone of that profile would get right now. $400M+? The thing that is different I guess with Yamamoto is the sample in the NPB gives a really solid basis to his projections. Which say he is a top 20 SP... 3.4 fWAR I think. Not exactly capital "A" ACE projections though.
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$375MM for Yamamoto is f***ing wild.
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Okay
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Very possible to trade Bo and/or Vlad without "rebuilding"
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I more or less agree with this Although, not sure I would even extend Vlad But I'm avoiding Bellinger and Chapman unless the cost is MUCH less than anticipated
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
think about it for like 5 seconds before you post, bro -
Belt had really strong projections. Ironically, Belt is a bigger gamble NOW coming off his 138 wRC+ than he was last year coming off his 98 wRC+. His K rate in 2023 was a huge age red flag, whereas his 2022 numbers were clearly just depressed because of the knee injury and the two prior years he was a f***ing stud offensively. Duvall is kind of just a hacker who ran into more hits than usual in 2023... I think. Pham > Duvall IMO.
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Everything sounds so minor it won't even be noticed. The new runner's lane to 1B makes sense.
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Dominguez has Clint Frazier vibes
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Yeah 30 games or so in AAA More than 2B, actually I think they might see him as a 3B or RF more than the typical 2B/LF combo. Because SS arm.
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At least the position player DEPTH looks really good for once. Barger is a legitimate prospect, MLB ready, and he is like... 5th and 7th on the 3B and 2B depth charts. The OF depth chart doesn't look as good on Fangraphs but some of these infielders can just go play in LF
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
your mom has cannons -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2023)
Laika replied to Krylian's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Pretty much my opinion too. Schneider, Biggio, Espinal, Barger, Orelvis, Clement can all do it at 2B to some extent. 3B is a tougher defensive position for most of those guys (noodle arms, mostly) and the MUCH bigger hole.
