Laika

Jays will either win 10-2 or lose 10-2 No middle ground today

Anyone else starting to think the OF foul line walls are a liability? One home stand and we have seen Schendier almost die and Varsho go into it hard. We are going to see some injuries on these things over the years. They are just very close to the foul lines.

Many people in baseball will celebrate the impending Orioles dynasty as it punctuates and celebrates the end of the Angelos family's involvement in the sport.

Again, just a horrible misunderstanding of statistics. Players probably flirt with being something like "75% of Tiger's peak" every decade or so. Maybe even more frequently. That doesn't mean they are close at all. The gap between them and Tiger might actually be as big as the gap between them and an amateur, all things considered. Study the normal distribution

How can you go through life with no honour? It's the same statement. A 1 in 100 year peak makes someone a 1 in 100 year athlete, absolutely and necessarily. The person is generationally good at the sport and that's the point.

Classic Jim goal post moving Tiger is indeed a once in 100 years golf talent, the peak talent measurements prove this because nobody's peak, not even Jack's, compares to Tiger's when you consider the proper context and priors. Also, it doesn't even matter. You'll cling to the meaningless throwaway analogy like "1 in 100 years talent" because you have nothing else to offer because your initial idea, that Steve Shuffler is almost Tiger Woods, is supa dum. Tiger could = Jack and Steve Shuffler would still need to get better and then shove for years to even be considered in their company.

i must apologize to the ump

bruh the sport is literally science these days

I have seen convincing analysis on Jack v Tiger and believe peak Tiger was better. You can look at how they did at the Masters for example since the course and the tournament has changed so little. Tiger had better peak performance and had to deal with a generally tougher field of players around him. I think it's something like... Tiger had a 25% tournament winning % in the first 10 years of his career, vs. Jack's 19%. All while facing tougher competition as the modern game is deeper. In their first 29 major tournaments, Tiger had a 28% win rate and Jack's was 20%. Peak Tiger was just the best golfer ever. Probably a full standard deviation beyond Jack in rarity. Shame that he became a sex and opiate addict and his career numbers will end up at kind of the lower end of his mid-career projections. Study maths Study Bayes

Yankees have been getting so many favourable calls this series too. ump scorecard said +0.63 runs for NYY in game 1 haven't seen the scorecard tweet for game 2 but Kikuchi was not getting certain calls that Rodon was. And Richards threw a pair of strikes that the ump missed, that actually cost Toronto a run.

My dude, this team looks formidable. 10-8 after a grueling first 18 game schedule that involved a 10 day road trip against three elite teams and then a homestand that ended with the Judge-Soto Yankees and began with arch nemesis Cal Raleigh and his gigantic dumper. Accomplished without: - Kevin Gausman helping at all - Danny Jansen - Romano and Swanson - Vlad, Bo, KK, Varsho, and Kirk doing much of anything. Minor caveat being the defensive contributions of the latter three. It's just a clutch team that knows how to win. Elite bullpen + defense is going to mean stealing games in winning 2/3 of the close ones. When VladBo get hot, it's lights out for the rest of the league.

So much better than Espinal

Yeah it's so good Probably top 5 or so in baseball. Maybe #1, who knows.

That play made me nod approvingly So slick Kind of think Ernie is elite defensively at 3B...

Not thaaaat risky. Two run lead, bottom of the order. Yimi got the "save" today

yeah it's a 3D batted ball distribution problem a lot of his scorched balls are pulled grounders 2024 data he has five batted balls of 100+mph and LA of 10 degrees or more thirteen batted balls of 100+mph and 9 degrees or less launch angle the amount of hard as f*** groundballs just confuses xwOBA I think. they aren't as likely to be hits as the machine thinks.

Optioning Pearson is revolting Cabrera has an option...

It's against the board rules to talk about handicaps!!! I golf once a year. Probably 20+ but I bet I could get it down to like 10 or something if I golfed more often.

Jim is just showing a poor understanding of statistics here. Peak Tiger would be like... a full standard deviation or more of rarity above this current version of Scheffler. It's like having a group of people with IQs of 98, 100, 105, 109, 112, 115, 120, 123, 130, and 169. It would not be correct to say that the guy with 130 is almost as smart as the guy with the 169. Sort of like comparing a 3 sigma event with a 4 or 5 sigma event. Something like that. You could think about it in terms of how often you see these kinds of players. There have been a number of others over the last few decades who are very comparable to this version of SS. Like peak Vijay Singh. Tiger is more of a once-every-100-years athlete. Study more

Atkins "inherited" so little from AA and we are now at the point in time where it is completely fair to look back at the 2016 to 2023 period and judge the state of the organization when AA left, because all of those players who were in the org at the time of the handoff are now through their MLB player control or approaching final arb year. At the MLB level there were so few tradeable assets: Donaldson, but he f***ed his trade value by being a vegan Osuna, but we all know what he did Stroman Hutchison Sanchez They rode Sanchez into the ground. You can critique the Stroman trade but then would also have to give them huge credit for spinning Hutch into Liriano into Teoscar, right. I may have missed one or two assets, relievers and such. Virtually everybody else on the roster between 2015 and 2016 was worthless because bad or expensive veteran. And then on the farm, the prospect lists looked like s***. The only possible 50 FV prospects were baby Vlad, Alford, SRF, Conner Greene, maybe Tellez? Borucki and Jansen were in the system, as was Romano. It looked very bad. Very gross. Guys like DJ Davis, Justin Maese, Max Pentecost were in the top 10s. It was completely valid for Atkins and Shapiro to throw up in their mouths a bit and then prioritize total system repopulation in their subsequent drafts (successful or not...) The rose coloured glasses way of looking at Atkins is that he was able to rebuild from that ^ situation remarkably quickly. Gurriel, Teoscar, Kirk, Bichette, Biggio were all early Atkins signings or picks. Debate can be had about how much "AA people" were involved in those picks or signings. RA really only inherited Guerrero and Jansen and Romano as far as contributors from the good Atkins teams go. And Romano, not even sure he counts since he left and returned in the R5 process. So yeah. Basically only inherited Vlad and Jansen. And in hindsight should have traded Vlad years ago. All things considered one has to see this is a pretty successful rebuild. A couple bad years then playoffs again, repeatedly, in spite of your franchise player sucking most of the time?

And then Bo... does it kind of feel like he is not being aggressive enough? He normally rocks a 20% K rate. Right now he has the worst hard hit % and barrel % of his career, along with the highest contact rate. He looks like IKF out there. Tons of weak ass contact. Bo needs to take bigger hacks?

LMAO I just noticed that Vlad has the highest hard hit % of his career, highest LD% of his career, and a .394 xwOBA vs .311 wOBA He just defies explanation at this point. His Fangraphs page is a black hole of riddles and disappointment. As bad as he looks in specific PAs and in the clutch, he still has a good K rate this year and a v good walk rate and we have seen several 105mph+ screaming grounders right at infielders in the last week or so.

.600 BABIP baby

Jackson Merrill on the other hand appears to be a stud .386 xwOBA, making lots of contact while walking and the metrics even like his defense in CF so far

Jackson Holliday = Jarred Kelenic?