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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Alcantara is a nice little player but he's no Almora.
  2. Laika
    Or c) the market is more rational than you think and it simply doesn't agree than mean projected WAR * $/WAR is all encompassing as you (we) think. Ex. With Strasburg, the market could care about and give value to things like: - Reasonable upside WAR (say 95th percentile WAR) - Having an true Ace in the playoffs? - Length of fingers?
  3. Laika
    Neat! But, be wary. By the same projected WAR * $/WAR framework, Brett Lawrie is worth more than Strasburg. Would the market agree? Probably not, but I don't know. Also, your figure would maybe get the point across better if you did accumulated value instead of yearly.
  4. Laika
    fawwwwwwwk
  5. Laika
    Hi Please allow AA and I to have the discussion about whether or not any trade offer for Strasburg actually makes sense. That's over your puny heads. What your job is is to come up with a good crowd sourced hypothetical trade offer. That's your task. Stay on task.
  6. Laika
    Rob Zepp starting again tonight He's OTB! Looking for young keeper talent or maybe a pick or alternatively some 2-can-dine coupons from McDonald's this month (didn't get any in the mail, wtf).
  7. Laika
    Too much. No thanks for you.
  8. Laika
    Title Here's how this works - make your hypothetical offers for phenom Stephen Strasburg, we will vote on the most best and realistic via thanks. The offer with the most thanks, I will discuss with AA at our next conversation (we have the same male masseuse).
  9. Laika
    Believe me, player agents wont be lining up to get lengthy contracts full of deferred money. It's in the player's best interest to get as much as possible as soon as possible.
  10. Laika
    I don't see why it really matters.
  11. Laika
    Yeah. A lot less. 30M 14 years from now is worth, what.... 17M today? Something like that.
  12. Laika
    Jesus Christ Although deferring half of the money until 7-14 years down the road is actually pretty smart.
  13. Laika
    Which pick was it for Roark? Pretty nice little game of "one red paperclip" for you. Although Davis' stock is down notably from this point last year.
  14. Laika
    The Nats actually have some experience with this. They buried John Lannan in AAA in 2012 after he had a good ERA year in 2011 and four straight decent back-end MLB seasons (nowhere near as good at pitching as Roark though). He demanded a trade, Nats never obliged, and they ended up non-tendering him after 2012. Considering they have Blake Treinen, Taylor Jordan, and AJ Cole (also Joe Ross in AA/AAA), I wonder if they'll take the different road and just trade Roark right now. Alternatively, make him a long reliever I guess. Fister, Stras aren't exactly pictures of health. People have long doubted Scherzer's mechanics. Gio throws a lot of breaking balls (less lately).
  15. Laika
    Yeah, not exactly sure how I was able to nab Beau Dangles for a couple of geriatrics...
  16. Laika
    I'm seeing this as House for pick #15, mostly. Maybe Owings just lets North trade Lowrie if the opportunity arises... lots of people need shortstops.
  17. Laika
    Actually I don't really get why North wants Owings...
  18. Laika
    House really isn't that great for the DDL settings, lol. Successful overhype by North. Still a fair trade though. I'm not a big Owings fan.
  19. Laika
    There's probably some type of contract structure that would get his attention. Perhaps you guarantee him a substantial amount of money over the next four years (say projected arb totals, removing all downside for Donaldson) and in exchange Toronto gets a one time team option after 2019 to get him on the Hanley contract from 2020-2023 (4/$88). Alternatively, Toronto could show faith in the player and guarantee him money for the next 7 or 8 years right now. I know it seems like Donaldson would want to wait four years and try for a big contract when he's 33, but a lot can happen in four years and it's not always that easy for a 33 year old to get more than ~4 years guaranteed anyway. If you offered the Donaldson camp a 7 year contract today at a reasonable amount, they don't just turn their nose up at it. But like you said, no urgency. The best thing is probably what you said. Enjoy the prime years, let someone else pay for his mid 30's later.
  20. Laika
    There's also the trade cost. I'd rather just throw Pompey out there, or if you're spending 10M on a meh CF, just give Colby a bit less than that and a pack of chicken hot dogs and he can fill the position with more upside and more defensive competence than Fowler..... Pompey = upside, if he fails... Saunders = palatable CF insurance (Dirks/Pillar fill LF), if Saunders is hurt... Carrera = replacement dude with a reputation for CF defense, strong strike-zone discipline, and plus speed. It's really not a terrible situation. 2B is much worse, obviously (a bunch of s*** and then pray-4-Travis).
  21. Laika
    Your numbers seem close enough to "realistic optimism".
  22. Laika
    And he's been a consistently poor or below average defender. UZR/150 each year is: -23 -6 -6 -17 -3 -36 -14.4 career Matt Kemp effect? Fast twitch five tool black dude must be a CF, right?
  23. Laika
    Coors has a notable effect on BABIP (check team stats from past years). I don't think the difference between Fowler's steamer and true-talent BABIP would be big enough to change his projected WAR total by more than a smidge.
  24. Laika
    A lot of people here (me included) probably would have just given Smoak and Dirks their original obligations of about ~5M and big league roles. AA was able to sweet talk them and haggle them down to 1M and a minor league deal, respectively. Pretty cooooool
  25. Laika
    I don't really see the appeal of Fowler. He's a league average OF that's going to make about 10M in arbitration. He's a s*** defender in CF so Toronto would probably put him in left and Saunders in CF, at which point you're increasing the injury risk of Saunders... I don't even know if he would be a WAR upgrade, really, if you line everything up. Pillar compliments Saunders pretty well and by Steamer600 Pillar is only about a half win worse than Fowler. I also think projections are low on Pompey, as you'd imagine they would be with such a fast riser. Dirks is fantastic COF depth too. I think Fowler actually makes the OF situation worse, or at best it's a lateral move that makes the OF less fluid / more rigid, and at cost.
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