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Dr. Dinger

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  1. You can find breakout relievers, I just proved that with Familia. However, breakout relievers like Betances don't come along every year. The guy has like 50 more Ks than Chapman over the last two seasons.
  2. Absolutely, not even close for me. 30+ year old corner outfielder who is really only a strong contributor in OBP vs a RP who can really push your ratios over the top. Betances + a league average starter like Mike Leake is essentially Clayton Kershaw + ~30 holds. It's not hard to find waiver wire guys like David Peralta who can give you Gordon's production in a given year. Basically, IMO Gordon is overrated in fantasy because he's a WAR darling and RPs are underrated in fantasy because relievers are considered so fungible. Relievers who put up 130 K seasons are exceptionally rare. Corner OFs who give you a sub-.800 OPS and under 30 HR+SB are common.
  3. All of their good prospect guys get poached in short order. Kinda tough for them to continually backfill and still try to put out quality copy on a daily basis.
  4. Are we talking real life or DDL? In DDL, I'd take Betances by a wide margin.
  5. Chris Davis @ 6 years/$150M (plus draft pick), or Encarnacion at 4 years/$80M? The choice is obvious.
  6. Edwin's and Ortiz' age 30-32 seasons are extremely similar, there's no reason to think that Edwin can't be an elite hitter for at least another 3-4 years, or perhaps even until Ortiz' age. Edwin age 30-32 seasons: 109 HR (1787 PA), 149 wRC+ Ortiz age 30-32 seasons: 112 HR (1844 PA), 155 wRC+ IMO, signing Edwin to an extension would be very preferable to signing someone like Chris Davis, who we can reasonably expect to get close to $50M more than an EE extension would cost, and whose skillset is a lot more prone to precipitous decline than Edwin due to his extreme K rate.
  7. Boxy, BP snubbed Blackburn from their Giants Top 10. Please send them a strongly worded email. Also, I found your next crush: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/images/headshot_106898.jpg7. Christopher Shaw, 1B DOB: 10/20/1993 Height/Weight: 6’4” 260 lbs. Bats/Throws: L/R Drafted/Acquired/Bonus: Drafted 31st overall in the 2015 MLB Draft, Boston College; signed for $1.4 million Previous Ranking(s): No. 46 on top 125 MLB Draft prospects 2015 Stats: .287/.360/.551, 12 HR in 200 plate appearances at short-season Salem-Keizer Future Tools: 60 power, 50 hit Role: 45—fringe-average regular at first/bench bat If you’re looking for power from the left side, Shaw is your man. He’s massive, and his natural strength and ability to transfer that weight allows him to take the ball out to any part of the field. He’s not just a power hitter, though, as he shows patience at the plate, routinely working counts into his favor or drawing walks. The swing can get violent with added length and there’s plenty of swing-and-miss, so he’ll pile up strikeouts. Shaw played both the outfield and first base at Boston College, but don’t let that fool you; he’s a 20 runner who has no chance of being a professional outfielder (though he does have an above-average throwing arm). That puts a lot of pressure on his bat, and ultimately this is a player who profiles best as either a platoon first baseman/DH or a weapon off the bench. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There’s enough potential with the bat here to take Shaw in the first three rounds of dynasty drafts over the next few months, but he’s likely a better bet in on-base leagues than batting average ones. The big lefty could be a .260 hitter with 25-plus homers in time, but let’s wait until he gets to full season ball to get too interested here. Major League ETA: 2018
  8. http://embed-cdn.gettyimages.com/gc/499946198-president-mark-shapiro-and-ross-atkins-as-gettyimages.jpg?v=1&c=IWSAsset&k=2&d=X7WJLa88Cweo9HktRLaNXhGQfkt1xNPQGHnrBEev5eNYCizGuHyKtKEGpolKDwxG&Expires=1449622800&Key-Pair-Id=APKAJZZHJ4LGWQENK3OQ&Signature=UjXbcDANXUyDaeZnvwbSOqgn~J03QJNfUqdgFGFCxUxTnQ-tp~XHV~Z98mpr6MUv~gZpKdb0xrPHbd1jTkc5QBoQ9UNfsPsLc3nZiVve2R0B5RL3J0TsVQRZ6-z1qzCFT9BY4Xy4-eaxx-c~j7v3AqFH9S1AYKJQnfPS0kvPaNy0FLNRl4t0TiLa05QO5zc2Z9e9ryZjTKQ1W5kz7q7AQXv5eKk6wHDIHT6s8OXVNkozcLDd3d9wQ7JXPjXqV5FsNnmS8J7SKXh118ddFoDYajWTs9AL2xuwlqudvD8R9n-c1ijO12Uzp-fB28TTA436T~YfSKzrgGl-upGc5qr0EQ__ http://images4.fanpop.com/image/photos/14800000/Dwight-Gifs-dwight-schrute-14820632-384-288.jpg
  9. At the time, Familia was a new closer and a recent jaysblue waiver draft cut. He didn't want to admit his mistake and trade for a closer, even though his bullpen sucked. Now that Familia is established as an elite closer, I wouldn't even consider that trade.
  10. I didn't get a nibble on Familia all season. I offered him to jaysblue for Mike Fiers and was rejected.
  11. Damn, you potentially lost two closers today.
  12. I guess we know which side leaked it.
  13. Apparently the Chapman deal isn't set in stone yet and Cinci might still be listening to offers. This might explain why we haven't heard any deets all day.
  14. Dombrow$ki is probably gonna lay down a wad for Cueto any minute now.
  15. Life expectancy in Japan is 83.
  16. Smith is hurt. Hopefully his elbow blows out and they lose a year of him.
  17. Average FIP, below avg Ks, avg GB... seems pretty much replacement level in a 20 teamer.
  18. You've convinced me! He's probably worth 6@$23M, even without accounting for inflation. [TABLE=width: 240] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent]Year[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent]WARz[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent]WAR$[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent]Salary[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent]PROFIT![/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2016[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]4.5[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$36[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2017[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$32[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2018[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$28[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2019[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$24[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2020[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$20[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]-$3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2021[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$16[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$23 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]-$7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$156[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, bgcolor: transparent]$138 [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, bgcolor: transparent]$18[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Also, backload + opt-out after 3 that you hope he uses.
  19. Either way, it calls for comic sans.
  20. 10 & 5 10 & 5 10 & 5 10 & 5 10 & 5 10 & 5
  21. I see 5/100 as the floor. I guess 6/120.
  22. If there's money for Davis, go after Heyward instead.
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