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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. Exceptions to every rule. Buehrle is another. But you don't assume a guy has that skill after 9 starts because he's on your favourite team and you're looking for a narrative that explains why his ERA is OK with awful underlying numbers.
  2. It looks more and more like the safest bet you can make is that a player's skills will remain static from 22/23 to 27 or so and then begin to decline.
  3. His ERA might always outperform his xFIP, but that conversation is hundreds of innings away. And even if it does, it won't be more than a few tenths of a run. 4.77 xFIP Aaron Sanchez will need to become 4.3 xFIP Aaron Sanchez for any potential ERA-FIP skills to matter. In other words, if he improves his peripherals by half a run, and has the ability to outperform his peripherals by a third of a run, he'll be a viable back end starter.
  4. I wonder if Eric Jagielo is playing his way on to midseason top-100 lists.
  5. No, he doesn't. There's no looking stupid if you do your best to take an objective look at the data: "Sanchez isn't pitching well right now." "I like Sanchez a lot long-term. His stuff is good." "I'm not optimistic on Sanchez long-term. He hasn't been very good. " Each of those points was, and remains valid 9 starts in to his career. Anyone can take any of the above stances now and will not look stupid in hindsight regardless of what happens going forward. They're comments that reflect what we currently know about him. "Sanchez has been good in 2015." "Sanchez will never be good." "Sanchez will definitely be good." These comments are stupid. These comments don't reflect what we currently know. Most people, on either 'side' find themselves in the former group.
  6. This thread reminds me so much of the Gustavo Chacin debates many years ago.
  7. It's May. All that matters is W-L record right now. Win 88 games, they'll probably make the WC game. Win less than 88, probably not.
  8. They still lead baseball in wRC+ by 5% over the 2nd place team...
  9. I haven't read the article, but if Cameron said that he's wrong. 1.5 years of a possible top-10 player in the league will fetch more than that, unless that player is Josh Donaldson.
  10. Whatever we would expect for Edwin or Bautista, the Brewers can expect that for Gomez.
  11. Can we plx get fatcow in the LOD?
  12. There are people on this forum that wouldn't trade Pompey and Catsro for Carlos Gomez? SMH.
  13. The real kick in the nuts was his great parting gift to you last week.
  14. My first Joe Kelly experience has not been positive.
  15. Is he not aware that he was almost forced out like 3 months ago?
  16. Yeah. What a lot of the board was saying in the offseason was that you want the Pompeys and Pillars of the world waiting in AAA to provide backup if the more proven guys get hurt and/or suck. They were right.
  17. Trying to pick out improvement over a 2-start sample is a fool's errand. IMO all we can say is the following: - On the whole, he's been awful this year, and not worth a rotation spot. - His stuff looks like it should allow him to not be awful. - His last two starts were of major league quality. So his last two starts have been good, but even AAA quality arms will throw good starts on the board 3 times in 9 starts, which is what Sanchez has done. It doesn't necessarily point to improvement, but that becomes more likely with every good outing.
  18. On the bright side, I've never done a firesale in a dynasty league. Seems like it could be fun.
  19. If I miss the playoffs, I'll be able to to this week as a big reason why. Complete disaster.
  20. f***, is running out a ground ball asking too much of Edwin? He's great and all, but I'm getting tired of watching the slow jog to first.
  21. The team's commentators should try harder to not be terrible.
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