BTS
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Everything posted by BTS
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Meh. That wouldn't have been an uncommon stance after 2011.
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What was the Alvarez trade?
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Teheran suxxxx
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We'll go with that. Kiermaier is handsome.
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I can neither confirm nor deny that I am Jake Odorizzi.
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It's really hard to believe. Top-10 player in the league for three spare parts.
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What the hell was with that throw by Reyes? -
Wow, Danks blows.
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Wow, Dickey blows
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Hard to blame you. He had an 80 wRC+ like 10 days ago.
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I don't think he's droppable, but he hasn't been good either. I think come year end he'll fall around 320/420 with 20/75/75. Probably in the lower half of the top-20 3B.
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Apparently Justin Turner has officially won the starting 3B job in LA. Great news for TTC.
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Yeah that too.
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Bautista comes up every time the evidence doesn't support someone's narrative, and I never understand the point being made. Analytics couldn't predict Bautista's breakthrough, therefore ignore analytics and give playing time to whoever happens to be in house? We've seen this brought up time and time again: "What would have happened to Bautista if your precious stats decided his future? Play JPA/Thames/Sierra/Goins/Francisco/Sanchez! Because Jose Bautista became really good at baseball at an unusually old age!" What a lazy and meaningless argument. It doesn't even make sense.
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Those threads were legendary. The Sanchez debate is tame by comparison.
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The Royals have an awful rotation.
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His agent must know that the Dodgers have no intention of keeping him on their roster, so he wants another 20 days of MLB time.
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Amaro on Phillies fans "“They don’t understand the game”
BTS replied to Angrioter's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
This would be bad enough coming from a competent GM. Coming from a guy that the fans are 100% right about, this is hilarious. Amaro is a laughingstock. -
Exceptions to every rule. Buehrle is another. But you don't assume a guy has that skill after 9 starts because he's on your favourite team and you're looking for a narrative that explains why his ERA is OK with awful underlying numbers.
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It looks more and more like the safest bet you can make is that a player's skills will remain static from 22/23 to 27 or so and then begin to decline.
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His ERA might always outperform his xFIP, but that conversation is hundreds of innings away. And even if it does, it won't be more than a few tenths of a run. 4.77 xFIP Aaron Sanchez will need to become 4.3 xFIP Aaron Sanchez for any potential ERA-FIP skills to matter. In other words, if he improves his peripherals by half a run, and has the ability to outperform his peripherals by a third of a run, he'll be a viable back end starter.
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I wonder if Eric Jagielo is playing his way on to midseason top-100 lists.
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No, he doesn't. There's no looking stupid if you do your best to take an objective look at the data: "Sanchez isn't pitching well right now." "I like Sanchez a lot long-term. His stuff is good." "I'm not optimistic on Sanchez long-term. He hasn't been very good. " Each of those points was, and remains valid 9 starts in to his career. Anyone can take any of the above stances now and will not look stupid in hindsight regardless of what happens going forward. They're comments that reflect what we currently know about him. "Sanchez has been good in 2015." "Sanchez will never be good." "Sanchez will definitely be good." These comments are stupid. These comments don't reflect what we currently know. Most people, on either 'side' find themselves in the former group.
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This thread reminds me so much of the Gustavo Chacin debates many years ago.
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It's May. All that matters is W-L record right now. Win 88 games, they'll probably make the WC game. Win less than 88, probably not.
