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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. Trout had a wOBA 17 points higher than Donaldson despite playing in a much worse park for hitters. There was clear separation between the two this year, with Trout ahead.
  2. Probably. I doubt they'd have much interest in moving one of their big arms for him though. Something around Bauer?
  3. I don't see it. They have A-Rod, Tex, and Bird for 1B/DH.
  4. I think that every time I see his name on next year's FA list. Doesn't seem like he's been around 6 years. Some team is going to seriously regret their decision in a few years I think.
  5. Never read the MLBTR comments: "Can definitely see Gallardo taking a 1 year deal to sign with a team like Seattle, San Diego or Oakland so he can hit next years market and be a top 3 SP – this market this offseason is too stacked and he’s a very good pitcher when he’s on, he still has a very true #2 ceiling or even an ace. IMO the only pitcher better than him in 2016 is Strasburg, and some folks might even prefer Gallardo and his superior health record. Over the last 7 years he’s given between 180-207 IP with a 3.77 FIP and he’s 30 in 2016. I’m not sure he can get $100M this offseason, but absolutely next one he could go huge if he plays his situation right."
  6. Yup. Trout should have won this in a landslide.
  7. Your argument was basically "I like the Blue Jays. Edwin's a Blue Jay. Therefore I like Edwin and he's not declining". And I never made a statement other than to say that his numbers were getting to the point where you have to be a bit concerned that he's not a 150 wRC+ guy anymore. And they were getting to that point. That's why projections dropped consistently throughout the first three months. If you feel compelled to call me out for being wrong, there are endless examples to choose from. This is not one.
  8. It's not about being right and wrong, but nuanced arguments tend to get lost on you. The exchanges went something like: "It's halfway through the season and Edwin's K-rate and BB-rate are getting concerning. They stabilize pretty quickly" "Edwin's fine mate. Don't be stupid, he's not declining!" "Maybe not, but at this point you have to be a bit concerned" "No, he's fine!" "..."
  9. There's a reason why his projections dropped almost 10% between the offseason and the end of June. When he does decline, it will look like his first 300 PA this year (drop in BB rate, spike in K-rate etc...). If you looked at that and didn't acknowledge that it was a bit concerning you weren't being honest.
  10. I think I just said 150 and didn't specify the years. Anyway, he's a year and a half younger than Tulowitzki. And an important point: I've never actually said that Tulo's contract is bad. Just that it's about what I'd expect him to get via free agency, and I don't think it has any trade value. IMO most teams wouldn't take that deal on.
  11. Not 5/150 lol. Maybe close to 150 on a 7-year deal.
  12. I'd disagreed with him, but never thought he was a troll.
  13. I dunno. Seattle has Miller and Marte Mets have Flores Yanks have Gregorius Twins are poor
  14. I'm sure he never thought of trying this.
  15. I have no idea, but hopefully it never goes back to that kind of situation.
  16. Even that comes back to ownership. JPR wasn't allowed to go overslot, and couldn't wait on high school talent because he had a mandate to win and needed cheap college talent breaking in ASAP to help the major league roster. There were also next to no international free agent signings made, because the money wasn't there. He was awful with the media, but I really think he did a nice job in a situation that was next to impossible.
  17. This whole post is ridiculous.
  18. Funny enough, that 2008 team won 86 games and had a pythag of 93-69. It was an excellent team. The fact is that AA was given much more support than his predecessors. That's inarguable. It would have taken a Rays-level front office to consistently compete in that environment with that level of support.
  19. MLB payroll ranks in the JPR years: 11 (2002) 21 21 25 16 16 13 16 (2009) AA has had three years ranked 9th or 10th. And JPR had no money to spend on the draft or international signings. Also, 2015 payroll was around 140M, not 122.5.
  20. What a stupid post. http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TOR/attend.shtml Notice how attendance lagged behind even JPR era numbers for the first three years of his tenure. There's every reason to believe that this would have continued if payroll had remained static and he continued to prove himself ineffective under a tight budget. Rogers threw him a lifeline pre-2013: the ability to spend a shitload of money trading cheap talent for old expensive talent. The fans responded.
  21. The commitment from Rogers was much, much stronger during AA's tenure than in previous tenures. For example, JP Ricciardi had one team in 8 years in the top half of MLB in payroll (13th). AA has had three consecutive years of top-10 payroll. The difference between 9 and 15 this year is about 25M$. And it goes beyond that. JPR didn't have the luxury of going overslot in the draft and signing international free agents. AA has had that luxury, and used those assets to trade for major league help. Give JPR the support AA has received, and you most likely see at least one playoff berth. Force AA to operate under the constraints of previous regimes and he's fired this week after finishing around 0.500 again.
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