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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. There are two possible stances here: 1. The luxury tax hit should reflect the total dollar amount a contract will pay out. 2. The luxury tax hit should reflect the actual present day value of the contract, accounting for any deferrals. Stang seems to believe that 1. is the case. MLB and the PA have agreed that 2. is the case. I personally think 2. makes a lot more sense than 1.
  2. I understand what you're saying. I'm curious as to whether any distribution of, say, 100M over a 5-year contract would come with a 20M tax hit per year and if deferrals only reduce the NPV if they go beyond the term of the contract.
  3. I don't have a firm grasp on the specifics of this yet. Take three hypothetical 5/100 deals: 1. Pays out 20M a year for 5 years 2. Pays out 5/5/5/5/80 3. Pays out 80/5/5/5/5 These would all have a 20M tax amount for the life of the deal, right? With the NPV only being adjusted down with deferrals beyond the term of the 5-year deal? Or am I getting that wrong?
  4. Not really understanding the outrage/shock over Snell getting a deal worth ~5/160. He’s a top-5 pitcher in baseball when he’s going well, and he’s often going well in the second half, which is all the dodgers care about. I would have been fine with the jays doing this.
  5. McCann and Martin are now 0-5 on HoF ballots
  6. Agreed on all accounts. Unfortunately I expect Martin and McCann to fall off the ballot this year, even though they're comparable to two guys who will get in on the first ballot in Mauer and Yadi. Perez might also be a first ballot guy when the time comes.
  7. Another ballot. Jones, Wagner, CC, and Ichiro are all 2/2. I think all 4 get in this year.
  8. A bunch of people won't vote for Beltran because he was a main guy behind the Astros cheating.
  9. Yeah, the counting stats matter to me even if I probably take Felix's peak by a hair. 3500 innings is crazy, and he has 3000 Ks and 250 wins. Huge part of a World Series winner in 2009 too.
  10. I have CC above Felix, but the more I think about it the more I think Felix will get in. He was so good in his prime that a lot of his counting stats look great by today's standards, even though he was done at 33. People are starting to talk about Wheeler as a potential HoFer and he's like 1200 IP, 900 Ks, 70 wins and 17 fWAR behind Hernandez, going into his age-35 season. He also doesn't have the CY that Felix does, and Felix has 3 more top-10 CY finishes.
  11. First HoF ballot is in. Not terrible given that no PED guys were going to be picked.
  12. Terminator and I haven't gloated nearly enough about beating Jim et al. in last offseason's Cody Bellinger wars
  13. If it's 700M. It won't actually be 700M in NPV. Probably like 15 years 700M with a bunch of money deferred and an NPV of like 550M.
  14. Clase, Kirby Yates, and Cade Smith all finished top-10 in AL CY voting. I guess it makes sense that we'll see more relievers finish that high with so few SPs throwing a ton of innings
  15. I'd guess $500-1000 range somewhere. The insane patch would drive the price higher than most /5 cards of his.
  16. It's a crime that a card that beautiful has a sticker auto
  17. I didn't watch Skenes pitch before his MLB debut. But unless his stuff and command ticked up dramatically during his 27 innings at AAA, the Pirates had every reason to believe he was a good MLB starter before the season. If they didn't, they need to fire pretty much everyone.
  18. Try to manipulate his service time. End up losing the year of control anyway, and then also losing a bonus pick. You love to see it.
  19. Red Sox sign Justin Wilson - 1 year 1.5M + 1M in incentives. Legit had no idea he was still pitching.
  20. I think a good catching tandem wouldn't be a poor use of resources. Someone like Kyle Higashioka probably signs for like 2/10 and would be like a 2-win upgrade on replacement-level level retreads, not to mention whatever bump Kirk would see by having someone to spell him 60-70 games a year. I'd rather have him than Jordan Romano next year, all things considered.
  21. Yeah, it's a good move. Torono should actually be involved in the market for Higashioka and Jansen I think. We should be looking at a timeshare between Kirk and someone else, and that someone else needs to be better than Serven.
  22. Kind of weird that Atlanta turned down his 8M option. Maybe Murphy isn't very happy about his lack of playing time?
  23. Am I the only one who still can't see tweets on desktop?
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