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Abomination

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Everything posted by Abomination

  1. Considering there's kids on here, it might attract a prison cell too lol.
  2. Bloody hell. Working on an Excel program to automatically work with and easily reference all fangraphs stats from their export data feature. They use the same column headers FB% for fly ball percentage and fastball percentage... Guess I should be calculating a good portion of the stats rather than straight importing them.
  3. I have Melky at [TABLE=class: cms_table] [TR] [TD]Name[/TD] [TD] PA[/TD] [TD] HR[/TD] [TD] R[/TD] [TD] RBI[/TD] [TD] SB[/TD] [TD] AVG[/TD] [TD] OBP[/TD] [TD] SLG [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Melky Cabrera [/TD] [TD] 561 [/TD] [TD] 12 [/TD] [TD] 76 [/TD] [TD] 61 [/TD] [TD] 12 [/TD] [TD] 0.298 [/TD] [TD] 0.346 [/TD] [TD] 0.444 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  4. http://mromantico.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/hook-line-and-sinker-1202.jpg
  5. You can download it off fangraphs. Other sites: baseballsavant and retrosheet
  6. Looks like my BA and OBP are a little higher, but the rest of the numbers are pretty much in line with Steamer and Oliver. [TABLE=class: cms_table] [TR] [TD]Name[/TD] [TD] Innings[/TD] [TD] W[/TD] [TD] S[/TD] [TD] HLD[/TD] [TD]K[/TD] [TD] K/BB[/TD] [TD] ERA[/TD] [TD] OBPA[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Hisashi Iwakuma[/TD] [TD] 204[/TD] [TD] 13[/TD] [TD] 0[/TD] [TD] 0[/TD] [TD]162[/TD] [TD] 3.05[/TD] [TD] 3.23[/TD] [TD] 0.296[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] It's worth mentioning (as JFaS kind of pointed out) that I'm not scaling to a player changing teams, and I'm not adjusting the regression mean to the player's park.
  7. I have Lawrie at [TABLE] [TR] [TD] Name [/TD] [TD] PA[/TD] [TD] HR[/TD] [TD] R[/TD] [TD] RBI[/TD] [TD] SB[/TD] [TD] AVG[/TD] [TD] OBP[/TD] [TD] SLG [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Brett Lawrie [/TD] [TD] 593 [/TD] [TD] 17 [/TD] [TD] 73 [/TD] [TD] 68 [/TD] [TD] 12 [/TD] [TD] 0.281 [/TD] [TD] 0.343 [/TD] [TD] 0.441 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Would be quite happy if he meets those.
  8. People might find this kind of interesting: http://www.bbprojectionproject.com/
  9. Make the teams still pay like 75% of the contract, but that money goes to youth baseball development or something.
  10. 3 years of data. No specific adjustments to BABIP or park factors (I'll manually place Cano a little lower for example). I am however regressing all the categories to the mean for each player's position (to the equivalent of 2100 PA, and only factoring in full time players), and weighted to favor most recent season. Players also get an age scaling.
  11. I'm still tweaking my system, projecting only fantasy categories currently, and I'm using the fangraphs fan estimates for playing time (where available), but I have [TABLE] [TR] [TD] Name[/TD] [TD] PA[/TD] [TD] HR[/TD] [TD] R[/TD] [TD] RBI[/TD] [TD]SB [/TD] [TD] AVG [/TD] [TD] OBP[/TD] [TD] SLG [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Dioner Navarro[/TD] [TD] 462[/TD] [TD] 16[/TD] [TD] 49[/TD] [TD] 58[/TD] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD] 0.269[/TD] [TD] 0.336[/TD] [TD] 0.439 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  12. Probably why he wants a deal now rather than next year lol
  13. Hmmm, I thought it was 3.7 per year. That seems like a pretty good deal for Miami.
  14. Probably just in house. Izzy at 2nd and Navarro at DH.
  15. That's probably fair, but heftier than I would have wanted to give him for on the bench / part time platoon.
  16. Definitely some interesting stuff in there, especially regarding blackouts with games and Chapman and Tanaka (sounds like we definitely had interest in him, since they mentioned him specifically with regards to having an impact on sales).
  17. My guess at what will happen: Sign Ubaldo, Trade Buehrle and Santos, Acquire an outfielder, 2nd baseman, and pitcher. What I want to happen: Sign Ubaldo AND Burnett, trade Janssen/Santos + Izzy + Happ, acquire Ackley or Franklin
  18. I think we'd have to kick in a little more, but I could see them having some interest in someone like Happ since I doubt they'll really want 2 rookies in the rotation to start off the year.
  19. Hard to argue with this! I wouldn't be surprised to see multiple signings and multiple players traded in the next two weeks. I could easily see us pull off trades with both the Dodgers and the Mariners.
  20. Lol, my prediction system has him at .262/.311/.367/.678 Might be time to re-evaluate my weighting and regression.
  21. Lol on being able to bet on the temperature and weather!
  22. I wouldn't be surprised to see Saunders put up a 120ish RC+ next year, and a move to a corner outfield spot probably puts him slightly plus defensively. He's also controllable for the next 3 years, and we're gonna have outfield issues in 2015. Anyhow, everyone needs to have one or two factually unsupportable breakout candidates or they aren't real fans
  23. I still think he's a big breakout candidate, but yeah I did draft him too high. Also, I don't think Seattle wants to trade Ackley (and certainly wouldn't trade both).
  24. Saunders and Franklin would be awesome targets for US imo.
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