2024 Bold Predictions Threads.

[TheHurl]

Lots of nice negativity about the team right now, so a great time to bring out the best thread of the year. I will have mine shortly. As the guy with the most positivity towards the team (I have a sizable 100 win bet even) I will be prepared for the ridicule when I am inevitably wrong.

[Laika]

Career year for Varsho incoming. 5+ WAR, 30/20

[Krylian]

Jays finish 4th in the Division

Kikuchi will be their most reliable starter

Vladdy has a big bounceback season .950+ OPS

Bichette has a down year sub .800 OPS

Tiedemann ends the season as the Jays #3 starter.

[Eat My Shatkins]

Joey Votto has a dead cat bounce, puts up 135 wRC+ in 400+ PA's and puts up close to 3 fWAR

[wilko]

KK hits 20 HR

Clement goes to the ASG

IKF hits 15 HR

Varsho out WAR's everyone on the team

[Spanky99]

Jace Bohrofen wins POTY in MILB.

 

Romano leads league in saves.

 

Biggio's a 2+ win player.

 

Schneider wins MOTY after Jays mop the floor with East and go on to win the WS.

[L54]

Varsho 5 WAR

 

Bichette steals 30 bags

 

Davis Schneider ends up in Buffalo

 

Addison Barger is the new Davis Schneider

 

Gausman Cy Young

 

Everyone complains about having to roster IKF next year

[bigpaulie]

25% of the current 40 man roster, will not be on the final game 40 man roster

[Terminator]

Jace Bohrofen wins POTY in MILB.

 

I just want everyone to know that I was on Jace Bohrofen long before Spanky was. If he breaks out I deserve the credit, not Spanky.

 

Biggio's a 2+ win player.

 

Holy s*** these are "bold" predictions not borderline impossible Spanky.

[Abomination]

Jays win the AL East

 

Varsho has a 30 / 30 season (hr, sb)

 

Manoah finishes the season in the rotation

 

IKF has a sub 80 wRC+

 

There's at least one rain delay at RC

[Brownie19]

1. Vlad is back and he hits 40+ HRs

2. Springer turns back the clock with a 130+ wRC+ and 25+ HRs

3. KK struggles with injuries, plays <80 games and has a wRC+ <95

4. Bo wins the AL batting title

5. Varsho finishes with twice the fWAR that Moreno does

6. Cooke is our closer at the end of the season

7. Pearson, Danner and Little throw 130 innings combined

8. Barger is a starting OFer for 60+ games this year

9. Jays offense finishes Top 5 in wRC+ and runs scored, but the pitching finishes outside the Top 10 in ERA

10. Jays win 2 playoff series this year

[InsideThePark]

IKF finishes in the top 3 fWAR on the team

Tiedemann pitches 50+ MLB innings with a ERA below 3.20

Berrios continue the opening day starter curse with an ERA above 5 and misses a month and a half due to injury

Bassitt wins AL Cy Young

Barger is starting in the OF by the all start break.

Votto doesn't play a single game for the Jays

Jansen signs an extension mid-season and then puts up a .900+ OPS post extension

Romano goes 40 for 40 in saves

[Omar]

Bowden Francis is an all star.

Ernie Clement rookie of the year candidate.

Jose Berrios wins the Cy.

Chad Green is our mvp out of the pen.

Davis Schneider sent down to the Bisons by August.

John Schneider is sacked or steps down.

Donnie Baseball becomes the manager.

Pete Walker stays sober through the all star break.

 

Go bold or go home.

[Dick_Pole]

Yankees less than 85 wins and miss the playoffs. Deja vu from my prediction last year though this time it doesn't have the weight since enough people are starting to see the cracks in this team.

 

As for the Jays, I don't really have any prediction. Nowhere do I look at this team and say "boy, I expect a breakout campaign from that guy".

 

Okay, one. I expect the Jays W-L to outperform their Pythagorean W-L. Which if you look at recent history (2021 but not the last two years) and the franchise history as a whole, is a rare feat. 90+ wins with a run differential that suggests 85. I expect the Jays to be on the right side of a lot of close games. The team is built to protect leads.

[Dick_Pole]

I guess my bold prediction can be that the team underwhelms/disappoints at an individual player stat and accomplishment level but still manages to do well overall.

[Jimcanuck]

Vlad repeats as home run derby champ.

 

Jays miss the postseason.

[Spanky99]

I just want everyone to know that I was on Jace Bohrofen long before Spanky was. If he breaks out I deserve the credit, not Spanky.

 

 

 

Holy s*** these are "bold" predictions not borderline impossible Spanky.

 

Wow!

[jaysblue]

- Varsho will hit 30 HR's with 80 RBI and steal between 25-30 bases.

 

- Kikuchi will strike out 200+ batters.

 

- Votto will post similar numbers like he did in 2018 and have an .OBP above .400 and post a WAR between 2.5 - 3.

 

- Bassitt will land on the IL and only make 20 starts.

 

- Biggio will hit 20 HR's.

[bones10]

Varsho leads the team in WAR

[BatFlip]

I wish I answered earlier, because everyone stole my thunder with Varsho predictions.

 

- Varsho hits 30 dingers and is worth 4 WAR

- Vladdy hits .300 with 40 dingers and doesn't put on weight during the season

- Gausman finally wins the Cy Young

- Ricky T gets a short shake in the rotation and claims a spot for next year with his performance

- Schneider puts up a .800 ops and secures second base

- Vogelbach.... aw f*** it, nevermind.

[The_DH]

Vogelbach discovers Ozempic, leads the team in Stolen Bases and becomes the new 2b.

[BatFlip]

Wow!

 

Tread carefully. He may demand to be comped with a Swiss Chalet gift card.

[43211234]

7 WAR season for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

6 WAR season for Bo Bichette

5 WAR season for Daulton Varsho

4 WAR season for George Springer

3 WAR season for Bowden Francis

2 WAR season for Ernie Clement

1 WAR season for Craig's Son

[Olerud363]

Davis Schneider ends up in Buffalo

Addison Barger is the new Davis Schneider

 

That's why I actually like the farm system such as it is. Davis Scneider, Addison Barger, and Palmegiani are the same guy, none getting the Jays any love from BA or Keith Law,

 

but according to the laws of probability 3 rolls of the dice is better than one.

 

Now I guess if you model it as these guys have a 1 in 10000 chance of success then it doesn't matter that there are 3... but if you model it that they all have 15% chance of success then it is massively important that there are 3.

[L54]

That's why I actually like the farm system such as it is. Davis Scneider, Addison Barger, and Palmegiani are the same guy, none getting the Jays any love from BA or Keith Law,

 

but according to the laws of probability 3 rolls of the dice is better than one.

 

Now I guess if you model it as these guys have a 1 in 10000 chance of success then it doesn't matter that there are 3... but if you model it that they all have 15% chance of success then it is massively important that there are 3.

 

Between all these sorta fringe infielders you have to imagine they hit on at least one of them

[Laika]

Farm system is underrated, I've been saying it all offseason.

 

It's not amazing or anything but they do have:

 

--> position player depth, of the MLB ready variety

--> relievers with some upside, of the MLB ready variety

--> improved SP depth through AAA/AA than last year

--> some exciting high upside prospects like Nimmala, Bonilla, Tiedemann, and a few others

[Jimcanuck]

Farm system is underrated, I've been saying it all offseason.

 

It's not amazing or anything but they do have:

 

--> position player depth, of the MLB ready variety

--> relievers with some upside, of the MLB ready variety

--> improved SP depth through AAA/AA than last year

--> some exciting high upside prospects like Nimmala, Bonilla, Tiedemann, and a few others

 

You really are a half glass full type.

[Spanky99]

Farm system is underrated, I've been saying it all offseason.

 

It's not amazing or anything but they do have:

 

--> position player depth, of the MLB ready variety

--> relievers with some upside, of the MLB ready variety

--> improved SP depth through AAA/AA than last year

--> some exciting high upside prospects like Nimmala, Bonilla, Tiedemann, and a few others

 

Yeah, bottom 3rd is silly.

[deanmike]

Vlad will be a non-tender candidate by season's end

[RobinThicc]

Jays win 93 games and win the division