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Posted

Ignoring Seattle for now, just focusing on getting at least to a game #163. The Jays need to win and one of the Yankees or Red Sox need to lose.

 

Boston has a 66.4% win probability tomorrow. Yankees 58.4%. Jays 71.8%

 

The chances of both the Yankees and Boston winning is the multiple of both of those probabilities, or 38.8%. 61.2% chance one of the teams lose.

 

Multiply 61.2% by 71.8% and that leads to a 43.9% chance the Jays force a game #163.

Posted
That guy just took 4 strikes.

 

Kieboom is f***ing awful. Only reason he’s getting playtime is because he was a big prospect

Posted
Jays f***ed up anyways. They controlled their own fate and f***ed up. Now we gotta cheer for the dog s*** Nationals.

 

I'd say the Rays are the better bet to win and keep our season going if we can win tomorrow.

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Posted
I mean even if they don't make it in, being alive in game 162 is basically the same as making the wild card game. lol.
Posted
It's crazy that there could be two 91 win teams this year that don't make the wildcard game.

 

Well, that's just a function of there being four 100-loss teams this year. All those losses have to go somewhere as wins. A 45-win team in the NBA, which is like a 90 win team in baseball, would be lucky to get into the top four in their conference in a typical year. Mostly around 6th place which in baseball is not a playoff spot. It's just the MLB moving away from parity in recent years.

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