Krylian Old-Timey Member Posted July 14, 2016 Posted July 14, 2016 I have no idea why you think there's only a 1% chance a team offers him a 2 year $20M deal. I do doubt teams want to or will give up a comp pick for him, but the first statement is simply bizarre. It was an exaggeration. Just wanted to say that there is a chance that he gets a 2 year deal somewhere but ZERO chance a team gives up a 1st rounder. You literally take everything literally.
reedjohnsonfan Verified Member Posted July 15, 2016 Posted July 15, 2016 Hear me out. I know we all hate watching him pitch, I know he's boring as f*** in interviews, I know we resent him because we traded Syndergaard to get him, and I know we all hate having Josh Thole on the roster. But over the last calendar year, here are Dickey's numbers: 216 IP, 3.41 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.43 K/BB, 9.4% SwStr Granted, the FIP and xFIP paint a less flattering picture (4.41/4.55), but the same is true of Estrada and we all love him regardless. Objectively, Dickey's been an adequate, mid-rotation innings eater. It might actually make sense to extend Dickey for one year (plus an option, perhaps) for something in the vicinity of $8-10M, and given his situation, I think he'd probably be open to it. When you consider how sparse the free agent market for SP is this coming off-season, I think there's an argument to be made to bring him back for another year. I like the idea. His low injury risk makes him basically a lock for 200 innings. As much as people hate him he's worth having around.
burlingtonbandit Old-Timey Member Posted July 15, 2016 Posted July 15, 2016 You know its the All Star break when there is 10 page thread about extending Dickey..
STLJaysFan Verified Member Posted July 15, 2016 Posted July 15, 2016 I remember Doug Mirabelli being Tim Wakefield's personal catcher and how much of a downgrade was he to Jason Varitek?
Statman Verified Member Posted July 16, 2016 Posted July 16, 2016 Extending Dickey is off the table for Kathleen Wynne as well as Mark Shapiro.
TheHurl Site Manager Posted July 16, 2016 Posted July 16, 2016 I remember Doug Mirabelli being Tim Wakefield's personal catcher and how much of a downgrade was he to Jason Varitek? not all that much at all
Statman Verified Member Posted July 16, 2016 Posted July 16, 2016 Literally going to be a 42 year old, inconsistent , one pitch pitcher who is walking and giving up HR's at career highs with an xFIP you would get from a replacement level pitcher who can't strike guys out with a BABIP that shows he is NOT unlucky and there are fans that want to extend this guy and eat up 10 million or so in funds next year...LMAO.
TheHurl Site Manager Posted July 16, 2016 Posted July 16, 2016 Jays have had a healthy rotation this year, that assumption shouldn't be made next year. Keeping Dickey at the right price and having Hutch plus one more affordable starting option still makes sense. You can always move Dickey to the long man role.
Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 Bring Dickey back is the right move, but we all want he doesn't come back.
Daniel Labude Jays Centre Contributor Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 Jays have had a healthy rotation this year, that assumption shouldn't be made next year. Keeping Dickey at the right price and having Hutch plus one more affordable starting option still makes sense. You can always move Dickey to the long man role. I really don't think he will be brought back. I think the front office will want to get younger and less gimmicky.
o2cui2i Community Moderator Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 Bring Dickey back is the right move, but we all want he doesn't come back. AAV and innings wise he is probably the best option, but we will have to see. I think it gets done before the season is over.
STLJaysFan Verified Member Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 Thole got 2 more hits!!! His batting average is the same as Ryan Howard!!!😅😄😆
jaysblue Old-Timey Member Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 I'm not a huge fan of Dickey and to be honest would hate to see him back with the Jays, though I'd have no problem with it and like others mentioned it would be a safe move. Those 200 innings are valuable. Sure it's frustrating watching him every 5th day because you have no idea what you'll get, but he's capable of putting together good stretches of starts as we've seen in years past. Another 1 year/$10 million contract for 2017 wouldn't get me excited though at the same time from a baseball perspective, it would be nice insurance to have considering the Jays are familiar with Dickey and wouldn't require a multi-year commitment. As a No. 5 starter, you could do worse.
jaysblue Old-Timey Member Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 AAV and innings wise he is probably the best option, but we will have to see. I think it gets done before the season is over. Yeah with the SP options out there this offseason and the lack of Jays pitching depth in the higher minors, it wouldn't shock me to see Atkins & Shapiro go the safe route as we've seen them so far in their tenure. Rather have something then be left with nothing next spring.
frizzer1 Verified Member Posted July 17, 2016 Posted July 17, 2016 Depends on the payroll parameters.. Right now it looks like if he's cheap he will be back imo.
Statman Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 I think there's an argument to be made to bring him back for another year. NO! No, there really isn't.
Cyborg Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 If we acquired Dickey for Gose and JPA, as originally speculated, nobody would hate him right now.
BTS Community Moderator Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 If we acquired Dickey for Gose and JPA, as originally speculated, nobody would hate him right now. I think everyone would still hate him. Watching him pitch is like watching Dae-Ho Lee hit. He might be effective, but it's f***ing gross.
admin Site Manager Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 If we acquired Dickey for Gose and JPA, as originally speculated, nobody would hate him right now. And that's all it should have cost. He would still be disliked. You go from a 2.xx ERA to 4.xx ERA you're going to have people dislike you. I think everyone would still hate him. Watching him pitch is like watching Dae-Ho Lee hit. He might be effective, but it's f***ing gross. I haven't been a fan from day one, but there was a lot of bad luck today. The two HBP sucked, but a lot of crappy hit balls in the right places.
Statman Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 I think everyone would still hate him. Watching him pitch is like watching Dae-Ho Lee hit. He might be effective, but it's f***ing gross. 0.4 fWAR (and dropping after today), 4.64 xFIP and climbing, 2 to 1 K to BB ratio, 1.69HR/9 and are nearly hitting 20%HR/FB is not really effective for 123 innings and 12 million dollars.
Jonn Old-Timey Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 Yea I'm officially out f*** that. I just wanted them to salvage every ounce of value out of him but it's just too painful. If anyone killed themselves over the Dickey trade is was completely warranted.
BTS Community Moderator Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 0.4 fWAR (and dropping after today), 4.64 xFIP and climbing, 2 to 1 K to BB ratio, 1.69HR/9 and are nearly hitting 20%HR/FB is not really effective for 123 innings and 12 million dollars. There's a decent enough case to be made for letting him walk that you don't have to resort to things that don't really matter for him (xFIP and fWAR). He looks like much the same guy we've seen for years now: good for 200 IP of 4-4.25 ERA ball. If he doesn't decline, the package is worth like 2-3 wins.
Spanky99 Old-Timey Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 0.4 fWAR (and dropping after today), 4.64 xFIP and climbing, 2 to 1 K to BB ratio, 1.69HR/9 and are nearly hitting 20%HR/FB is not really effective for 123 innings and 12 million dollars. RA9, Statman!!! 9.9 RA9 and counting over 48 million. Lots of Value.
Statman Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 There's a decent enough case to be made for letting him walk that you don't have to resort to things that don't really matter for him (xFIP and fWAR). He looks like much the same guy we've seen for years now: good for 200 IP of 4-4.25 ERA ball. If he doesn't decline, the package is worth like 2-3 wins. He is already in decline.
admin Site Manager Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 Funny how people's opinions will change every time he pitches.
BTS Community Moderator Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 He is already in decline. He's still going to provide around 2 wins this year. He'd have to get significantly worse next year to make a 1/8 type of contract bad value.
Statman Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 Funny how people's opinions will change every time he pitches. Not mine.
Statman Verified Member Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 He's still going to provide around 2 wins this year. He'd have to get significantly worse next year to make a 1/8 type of contract bad value. No he won't.
BTS Community Moderator Posted July 23, 2016 Posted July 23, 2016 No he won't. Yes, he will. He's over 1 now, has 2.5 months left, and usually finishes strong. He's a virtual lock to be in the 1.5 to 2.5 range.
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