GDT: April 15th Jays vs Red Sox 1/4 - Dickey vs Porcello

[intentional wok]

You mean the starters have generally been covering more than their fair share. I'm actually pretty optimistic. If the rotation can stay decent and the offense outside of the big three remember how to hit the Jays can go on another one of their patented 11 game win streaks soon enough.

 

Agreed. This doesn't smell like some tailspin. It's a sluggish 5-6 start with a lot of bad bounces along the way. Some ugly performances, but no reason to read into it any more than you would for other 11 game samples.

[burlingtonbandit]

Montero below 20% K. Pompey con wait, he will be our CF next year.

 

Is Pompey's defence good enough for CF? Hell, he won't play over Pillar..

[Daniel Labude]

Is Pompey's defence good enough for CF? Hell, he won't play over Pillar..

 

Pillar won't make it to the Allstar break the way he is hitting this year

[500LevelSTH]

Time to end the Pillar leadoff experiment. He's still not doing well there. And one of Smoak or Cola need to go.. neither are hitting. And Smoak just probably lost more playing time after that 4 K game..

 

I thought despite the bad 3rd strike call Pillar's 10-11 pitch AB was one of the best of the season. he worked a key moment into a walk and got a bad call. hes improving, its 11 games in

[KingKat]

Agreed. This doesn't smell like some tailspin. It's a sluggish 5-6 start with a lot of bad bounces along the way. Some ugly performances, but no reason to read into it any more than you would for other 11 game samples.

 

Starters have been mostly good and occasionally done in by defense and bad luck. Bullpen seems to have turned the corner. The strikeouts can't possibly continue at this rate.

[nmrch]

Is Pompey's defence good enough for CF? Hell, he won't play over Pillar..

 

He might not be better than Pillar but yes Pompey is a legit CF, people make way too much of a couple of misplays

[King]

Price tomorrow!

[Terminator]

Smoak is a remarkable 1 for 12 with 11 K's on the season so far. Chris Colabello is 1 for 19.

[KinofChaos]

Smoak is a remarkable 1 for 12 with 11 K's on the season so far. Chris Colabello is 1 for 19.

 

regression to the mean is a bitch.

[Dick_Pole]

Starters have been mostly good and occasionally done in by defense and bad luck. Bullpen seems to have turned the corner. The strikeouts can't possibly continue at this rate.

 

Exactly. I'd be a lot more disturbed if the Jays were 5-6 scoring 8 runs a game and everyone outside of Stroman was pitching like s***. Martin and Tulowitzki can't be batting .100 forever and the other guys who are can be replaced relatively easily if need be.

[Krylian]

regression to the mean is a bitch.

 

That's the mean?

[Krylian]

I get that people think Colabello will regress considerably, and he will. But I don't get why they think Smoak is better.

 

Soft hands.

[burlingtonbandit]

Price tomorrow!

 

Pretty sure its the knuckler?

[King]

Pretty sure its the knuckler?

 

http://i.imgur.com/1hsqIEP.png

[Angrioter]

Is Pompey's defence good enough for CF? Hell, he won't play over Pillar..

 

Pompey best player overall; Pillar 4th OF

[Olerud363]

regression to the mean is a bitch.

 

Regression to the mean doesn't mean you do bad tomorrow if you did good yesterday.

 

It means you always go back to your career averages + aging curve + bonus points for recent performance

 

tomorrow = f*(career average)+a*(what you did recently)

 

where f is a factor for age, 'a' depends on how much you weight recent performance (which is arguable. But the hive indicated in Jay Bruce discussions that they do weight recent performance heavier)

 

simply put Smoak and Colla can be expected to hit at their average tomorrow. So at this point they can be expected to improve back to their mean.

[BigCecil]

Agreed. This doesn't smell like some tailspin. It's a sluggish 5-6 start with a lot of bad bounces along the way. Some ugly performances, but no reason to read into it any more than you would for other 11 game samples.

 

We just aren't firing on all cylinders yet. Our D, with the exception of Tulo has been ok but uninspiring. When we don't pick it, we throw it away.

 

The K's for our offense are not going to continue at this rate. Its pathetic right now. When we start to make better contact, the balls will start finding more holes.

 

The rotation and pen are going to be enough. We are seeing some very positive things there. RA has a history of brutal starts before becoming serviceable.

[Angrioter]

Regression to the mean doesn't mean you do bad tomorrow if you did good yesterday.

 

It means you always go back to your career averages + aging curve + bonus points for recent performance

 

tomorrow = f*(career average)+a*(what you did recently)

 

where f is a factor for age, 'a' depends on how much you weight recent performance (which is arguable. But the hive indicated in Jay Bruce discussions that they do weight recent performance heavier)

 

simply put Smoak and Colla can be expected to hit at their average tomorrow. So at this point they can be expected to improve back to their mean.

 

Worst than last year, and a little better than this season. They both aren't good for 1B position.

[BigCecil]

Worst than last year, and a little better than this season. They both aren't good for 1B position.

 

Votto please.

[Angrioter]

Votto please.

 

Votto over Jose or Edwin?

No

[John_Havok]

Pompey best player overall; Pillar 4th OF

 

Pillar Cf, Pompey Rf, Bautista to 1b, Edwin DH and keep Smoak. Get rid of colabello for whatever u can get up to and including magic beans

[Angrioter]

Pillar Cf, Pompey Rf, Bautista to 1b, Edwin DH and keep Smoak. Get rid of colabello for whatever u can get up to and including magic beans

 

Too late. Shatkins should trade Colabello in the offseason.

[guylaroche5]

I really need to set up a "Has Chris Colabello been optioned yet?" site. Get Montero's fat ass up here or try Pompey, any change is fine by me