2015 Annual Win Prediction Thread

[TDotttt2005]

With the 25-man roster announced today and opening day in New York City less than a week away, it's prime time to start the annual prediction thread.

 

I'll start it off. 78.

 

Too many question marks and reliance on the young and unproven guys. The team could be f'd if 1 or 2 of the 6 (Sanchez, Norris, Pompey, Travis, Osuna, Castro) cant cut it.

[TDotttt2005]

Here are last years results for reference:

 

FINAL RESULTS OF THE 2014 SEASON

 

Atothe 12

Nabru 66

Over500 77

TheHurl 77

BTS 78

Dylan 79

bowld 80

Eddiek19 80

King 82

Olerud363 82

John_Havok 82

Gen.disarray 82

FrenchSoup 83

TDotttt2005 83

Anemic0ffense 83

jaysfan2014 83

Angryrioter 83

JfAs 84

GordieDougie 84

Sammy225 85

Havok24 85

orgfiller 85

ElNik2013 85

Spittin@Umpz12 86

Gsnarls 86

Jays_Fever 86

Fatcowxlive 87

KSaw 88

play2fade 88

Walkoff93 89

Ambomination 89

wilko 89

Gruber92 89

Northof49 90

theblujay 90

sAAviour 90

o2cui2i 91

Maahface 91

Spanky99 91

saskjayfan 91

Chappy 92

jays4life19 93

Jonn 94

awesomest 97

eastcoastjaysfan 100

Dineke 101

 

WINNERS ARE FrenchSoup, TDotttt2005, Anemic0ffense, jaysfan2014, Angrioter AT 83 WINS!! Congrats to all who won (i'll pat myself on the back as well). You win year #21 of no post-season baseball.

 

Looking at the stats for our survey, the Jays underperformed Mean and Median expectations of our group. The most common choice of our group was 83 wins, which was ultimately correct.

Mean Wins - 86 Wins.

Median Wins - 86 Wins.

Mode (most common choice) - 83 Wins.

Min - 66 Wins.

Max - 101 Wins.

 

Expectations based on rS vs rA:

723 Runs Scored

686 Runs Allowed

.526 pW%

Jays underperformed their Pythagorean W-L.

85-77

 

Better luck to the Blue Jays next season.

[Angrioter]

Angrioter 88

[z3r0s]

z3r0s - 91 (I choose to be optimistic because there is no prize! )

[Governator]

Governator 87

[sdyment]

Sdyment - 92

[jays4life19]

89.

[JaysRap]

I thought I had a guess in last year...yah well.

 

JaysRap - 88 (against my better judgment)

[saskjayfan]

90 wins

[Spanky99]

90.

[Atothe]

87.

[Deadpool]

Deadpool - 89

[jays76]

86w

[Dylan]

I'm going with 80

[Atothe]

I'm going with 80

 

I always knew you were a secret member of the rays beehive

[G-Snarls]

G-Snarls - 88 (and wildcard appearance)

[Dylan]

I always knew you were a secret member of the rays beehive

 

The rays will have 73 wins this year

[Atothe]

the rays will have 75 wins this year

 

betrayal!

[Dylan]

betrayal!

 

changed to 73 lol

[StroShow]

StroShow - 89

[SAAviour]

Went with 90 last year, going with 90 this year.

[Praxis]

80.

[Sammy225]

Better team than last year going with 88

[NorthOf49]

87 wins. Think the rotation will end up being decent.

[Cyris]

Cyris - 91

 

Mostly because of beating up on a weak al east. the Yankees and Rays are going to be bad and I'm not sold on the Red Sox at all. Baltimore will fight for the division with us most of the season but won't be as good last year.

[TBJ12]

Jonn - 83 wins

 

Odd of you to project 94 last season and 83 this year.

 

I'm going with 90.

[Nabru]

85 wins.

[Frenchsoup]

91 wins

[Chappy]

92 wins.

[43211234]

I'll go with an optimistic 90.