Does anyone play Fan Duel?

[nmrch]

Just keeping track of your picks so i can submit the results on the form later

 

Steamer

J. Lester CIN@CHC $10,100

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BH. Kendrick SEA@LOS $3,200

3BB. Lawrie OAK@HOU $2,700

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFM. Trout LAA@TEX $5,000

OFD. DeJesus TAM@TOR $2,500

 

 

ZiPS

S. Kazmir OAK@HOU $8,800

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BJ. Altuve OAK@HOU $4,000

3BJ. Lamb ARI@SDP $2,800

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFJ. Bautista TAM@TOR $4,600

OFJ. Reddick

 

FGDC

S. Kazmir OAK@HOU $8,800

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BA. Guerrero SEA@LOS $2,400

3BB. Lawrie OAK@HOU $2,700

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFM. Trout LAA@TEX $5,000

OFJ. Bautista

[jays4life19]

So basically using JFaS lineup for tonight in FD. Just a few changes.

 

 

P

Scott Kazmir

$8,800

OAK@HOU

␡

C

Stephen Vogt

$2,600

OAK@HOU

␡

1B

Freddie Freeman

$3,700

MIA@ATL

␡

2B

Alexander Guerrero

$2,400

SEA@LOS

␡

3B

Brett Lawrie

$2,700

OAK@HOU

␡

SS

Asdrubal Cabrera

$2,700

TAM@TOR

␡

OF

Mike Trout

$5,000

LAA@TEX

␡

OF

Jose Bautista

$4,600

TAM@TOR

␡

Scott Van Slyke 2,500$

[GD]

Hmm, I should actually include pitcher SB ability.

 

I dunno how significant it would be but is pitcher defense included in run prevention as of now?

[Abomination]

So basically using JFaS lineup for tonight in FD. Just a few changes.

 

I sure hope they're able to get that Marlins-Braves game in. I took Freeman too.

[jays4life19]

I sure hope they're able to get that Marlins-Braves game in. I took Freeman too.

 

Yeah he's a good bet to destroy Latos. 3700 very reasonable price too.

[Abomination]

Yeah he's a good bet to destroy Latos. 3700 very reasonable price too.

 

Only 13% taken in both my games too (probably because of weather concerns)

[theblujay]

Lester off to a bad start...

[Boxcar]

thx njh

[Laika]

wow babies

[jays4life19]

Nice call on Kazmir Boxy + Robot.

[LTR]

Cashner 3 IP 6 K 0 ER (4 R)

[Boxcar]

Another losing night...sigh.

 

Also, the f*** is up with McCarthy? 15:1 K:BB and a 8.00 ERA. That guy drives me insane.

[Abomination]

Another losing night...sigh.

 

Yeah, me too.

[Laika]

I can't seem to make any profit on DK, lol. Was killing it on FG. More plebs there?

 

Anyone tracking 50/50 win% of optimals on both sites?

[reedjohnsonfan]

I can't seem to make any profit on DK, lol. Was killing it on FG. More plebs there?

 

Anyone tracking 50/50 win% of optimals on both sites?

 

I've been doing alright in Fanduel but way too early to tell. I know the price adjusts but I've just tried to make sure all my players make at least a bit of sense. FWIW I found hockey not that difficult if you put the time in to make your lineup. With 50/50s you are bound to have some clueless entrants so the odds aren't too bad IMO.

[LTR]

I can't seem to make any profit on DK, lol. Was killing it on FG. More plebs there?

 

Anyone tracking 50/50 win% of optimals on both sites?

 

Would like to know this as well. But since the point system is different you'd probably need at least a couple months of games for the data to be a large enough statistical sample.

[Laika]

I've been doing alright in Fanduel but way too early to tell. I know the price adjusts but I've just tried to make sure all my players make at least a bit of sense. FWIW I found hockey not that difficult if you put the time in to make your lineup. With 50/50s you are bound to have some clueless entrants so the odds aren't too bad IMO.

 

Yeah I did very well in hockey. It helps that the spectator audience is so behind on advanced stats in that sport, I think. If you have any type of reasonable projections then you're laughing, whereas in baseball anybody doing DFS probably knows about park factors, handedness factors, and can look up ZiPS or Steamer in a click.

[NorthOf49]

I can't seem to make any profit on DK, lol. Was killing it on FG. More plebs there?

 

Anyone tracking 50/50 win% of optimals on both sites?

If I lose my recent DK deposit I'll probably stop playing. I have enough other players and teams to root for.

[Abomination]

I can't seem to make any profit on DK, lol. Was killing it on FG. More plebs there?

 

Anyone tracking 50/50 win% of optimals on both sites?

 

What I really want is just the average min point totals to place in 50/50 and tournaments each day. I haven't been able to find anywhere that has that data. Rotoguru has historical player salary for the current year (although past years would be helpful).

[Abomination]

People may find this kind of useful. Unfortunately, FD apparently uses their own player id (seriously, why???), but at least you can easily match something like data from gameday (pitch fx database for example) to fangraphs data or projections without errors.

http://crunchtimebaseball.com/baseball_map.html

[nmrch]

Just keeping track of your picks so i can submit the results on the form later

 

Steamer

J. Lester CIN@CHC $10,100

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BH. Kendrick SEA@LOS $3,200

3BB. Lawrie OAK@HOU $2,700

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFM. Trout LAA@TEX $5,000

OFD. DeJesus TAM@TOR $2,500

 

 

ZiPS

S. Kazmir OAK@HOU $8,800

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BJ. Altuve OAK@HOU $4,000

3BJ. Lamb ARI@SDP $2,800

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFJ. Bautista TAM@TOR $4,600

OFJ. Reddick

 

FGDC

S. Kazmir OAK@HOU $8,800

CS. Vogt OAK@HOU $2,600

1BI. Davis OAK@HOU $2,800

2BA. Guerrero SEA@LOS $2,400

3BB. Lawrie OAK@HOU $2,700

SSA. Cabrera TAM@TOR $2,700

OFS. Souza TAM@TOR $3,300

OFM. Trout LAA@TEX $5,000

OFJ. Bautista

2-1 day

Steamer 28 83/100 37.5

ZiPS 39.5 44/100 37.5

FGDC 39.25 45/100 37.5

 

hey JFas, can you post the link to your form again and ill fill it out

[nmrch]

Overall, following JFas' picks i'm up a little, ~7-8% of bankroll

[jays4life19]

Another losing night...sigh.

 

Also, the f*** is up with McCarthy? 15:1 K:BB and a 8.00 ERA. That guy drives me insane.

 

good game!

 

I sucked yesterday.

[Boxcar]

good game!

 

I sucked yesterday.

 

Lol yeah. Got my revenge!

[LTR]

[TABLE=width: 325]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65] [/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Games[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Pctile[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Win[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]xWin[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]Total[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]32[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.506[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.536[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.522[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]DK[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.528[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.583[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.550[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]FD[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.483[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.490[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.494[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

Results so far. The results SHOULD be better than this going forward, there's still a lot of randomness involved. Does look like DK has been better than FD though. I would expect it to continue to be better as well because of the extra pitcher (easier to do K, BB etc on game to game basis) and the better scoring system for pitchers.

 

I'm at 0.664 win% on FD this year.

[Boxcar]

All day: https://www.draftkings.com/r/Boxcar8?dc=5640137

 

come at me

[Laika]

[TABLE=width: 325]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65] [/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Games[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Pctile[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]Win[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, width: 65]xWin[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]Total[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]32[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.506[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.536[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.522[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]DK[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.528[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.583[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.550[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR]

[TD=class: xl63]FD[/TD]

[TD=class: xl63, align: right]16[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.483[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.490[/TD]

[TD=class: xl64, align: right]0.494[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

Results so far. The results SHOULD be better than this going forward, there's still a lot of randomness involved. Does look like DK has been better than FD though. I would expect it to continue to be better as well because of the extra pitcher (easier to do K, BB etc on game to game basis) and the better scoring system for pitchers.

 

Much lower than I expected for both! Should trend up though. Being under 50% makes no sense. Being under 60% makes little sense.

[crmr]

Much lower than I expected for both! Should trend up though. Being under 50% makes no sense. Being under 60% makes little sense.

 

That's not necessarily true. If I understand right most people playing this are using some sort of model, and it could be the case (for many possible reasons) that they simply have better models (very important: for doing daily fantasy leagues)

 

edit: or are using them more effectively, which was something LTR suggested was important before the year

[Nox]

If I understand right most people playing this are using some sort of model

 

This is definitely not true.

[Laika]

That's not necessarily true. If I understand right most people playing this are using some sort of model, and it could be the case (for many possible reasons) that they simply have better models (very important: for doing daily fantasy leagues)

 

edit: or are using them more effectively, which was something LTR suggested was important before the year

 

There are definitely a lot of people not using any models. And even the ones who have some type of model, I think JFaS' would be a bit superior.

Edited April 14, 2015 by Laika