Keith Law and Baseball Prospectus updates on Aaron Sanchez

[SAAviour]

I know by clicking on here you thought I would post the article, I'm sorry for the deceit.

But I bet the poster who does post it will get lots of thanks

[Caper]

I know I will thank them.

[SAAviour]

That's 2 guaranteed thanks just waiting for someone!

[sdyment]

...3!

[G-Snarls]

Odds on him being rusghed through AA, AAA and in to the majors this year?

[theblujay]

Keith Law always finds something wrong with Sanchez

[G-Snarls]

Keith Law always finds something wrong with Sanchez

 

Yeah it's like he's incapable of admitting he previosuly understimated him

 

(of course, he COULD turn out to be right...)

[G-Snarls]

That's not true. KLaw's been historically one of Sanchez's biggest fans. He ranked him on his top 100 (at #98) the year Sanchez was drafted, no other publication was even considering doing that.

 

Ever since he's had him way lower than BP or BA though, hasn't he?

 

Edit: My bad, had his opinion on Sanchez and Syndergaard mixed up!

[G-Snarls]

You're thinking of Syndergaard.

 

s***, you're right

[Caper]

Can someone explain the whole late life thing. Law describes it as an illusion. Why do dome pitchers have it... and others don't?

[NorthOf49]

Ever since he's had him way lower than BP or BA though, hasn't he?

Nope. JFaS is right, it's Syndergaard he doesn't like. Doesn't think he has enough secondary pitches.

[theblujay]

Yeah I got them mixed up too

[G-Snarls]

Yeah I got them mixed up too

 

Reboot thread? LOL

[GNick]

I always throw Law's opinon on the Jays out the window as they are bias.

[Olerud363]

Odds on him being rusghed through AA, AAA and in to the majors this year?

 

It's totally performance (luck) based and need based.

 

If his ERA is below 3 after a month and Jays starters are struggling I have almost no doubt he will be here.

 

If his ERA is around 4 (with same peripherals) and no need in the big club then he won't be here for a while.

 

Sanchez is the kind of guy managers and scouts scream for. Even if AA wants to stick to a development plan it will be hard if May 15th, Sanchez is 4-1 2.95, big strong kid with 96 mph and wicked stuff, and Happ (replacing Hutch) is 0-2 8.33.

 

And I should clarify there are a few guys they will consider before Sanchez all being equal... Stroman, Nolin, Drabek. It's just if Sanchez is the guy who looks real good at a moment of need they will probably take him.

[TheHurl]

Sanchez has to be added to the 40 man next year, so there is zero reason why he won't be called up in September, even if there are no starts available for him. Yes, Law has always been huge on Sanchez (had him at 19 overall last year) so for him to say anything negative it's something that we should listen to

[G-Snarls]

Baseball Prospectus liked what they saw too, apparently

 

[G-Snarls]

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23239

[G-Snarls]

You didn't post the write up on Sanchez, although I've read many of Parks articles on Sanchez, and he loves him?

 

I don't have an account.

 

A few here do, don't they!??

[glory]

Why do people read Keith Law's columns for prospects? He talks out of his ass the majority of the time, describing a prospect's pitching motion in such specific ways that don't make a lick a sense ("he torqued his body in a way that caused sweat to drip down the right side of his brow, causing his arm to sway slightly to the left and his right buttock pointing awkwardly towards the opposing dugout.....I think that could potentially hurt him in the Majors").

 

Someone bring up his write-up on Zach Stewart many years ago. Yes, front of the rotation Zach Stewart, according to Mr. Law.

[KingKat]

Why do people read Keith Law's columns for prospects? He talks out of his ass the majority of the time, describing a prospect's pitching motion in such specific ways that don't make a lick a sense ("he torqued his body in a way that caused sweat to drip down the right side of his brow, causing his arm to sway slightly to the left and his right buttock pointing awkwardly towards the opposing dugout.....I think that could potentially hurt him in the Majors").

 

Someone bring up his write-up on Zach Stewart many years ago. Yes, front of the rotation Zach Stewart, according to Mr. Law.

 

I think there's a contradiction in how scouting is done and what we know about small sample size. We won't give any significance to statistical results over a small sample size but many scouting reports from Law in particular are observations based on seeing a guy in a single game. Does that really tell us anything? Are a player's mechanice really always the same? Are player's really that consistent? Something tells me they probably aren't. They probably have days where they do everything right and flash ridiculous upside and days where they look like a mess and look like busts. Not to mention, the scout himself (or herself although I don't think there are many female scouts out there) may be more sharp on some days and others, more likely to pick up or not pick up on certain things.

[Atothe]

All I know is Keith really liked Aaron before the change in mechanics. So maybe he's right, Sanchez is an injury waiting to happen but Keith has no idea and Sanchez has been pitching well. So until Sanchez gets shelled for a month's worth of starts or a injury happens nothing will change.

[G-Snarls]

Thanks to Dinger!

 

-

 

Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays (Double-A New Hampshire)

After scouting Sanchez extensively in 2010 and 2012, I'm eager to see him demonstrate his development and take on advanced hitters this summer. When BP’s own C.J. Wittman noted that Sanchez was sitting 94-98 mph with two potential plus secondary pitches in his season debut, my appetite only further grew. Though frequently compared to current Mets prospect Noah Syndergaard because of their shared draft class, Sanchez has taken longer to develop and show his true high-end potential. When all is said and done, I expect to have scouted Sanchez for 30-40 innings this summer; a sample that should provide a solid view of his future and a level of excitement that few pitching prospects can match. –Mark Anderson

[DuckDuckGose]

Why do people read Keith Law's columns for prospects? He talks out of his ass the majority of the time, describing a prospect's pitching motion in such specific ways that don't make a lick a sense ("he torqued his body in a way that caused sweat to drip down the right side of his brow, causing his arm to sway slightly to the left and his right buttock pointing awkwardly towards the opposing dugout.....I think that could potentially hurt him in the Majors").

 

Someone bring up his write-up on Zach Stewart many years ago. Yes, front of the rotation Zach Stewart, according to Mr. Law.

 

Sanchez is really short to the plate. You don't have to be a scout to see they've shortened his stride in an effort to be more direct to the plate and control his control (exactly the same same thing they did with Ricky). In doing so the Jays have moved Sanchez more upright and away from the traditional pitching motion -- a move that no scout would like. The results look pretty good so far and I believe the plan is to lengthen it back out as he finds the zone.