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AMS528

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Everything posted by AMS528

  1. AMS528
    Manoah is just steady and solid. There were a couple of people who threw him out there as a possible Cy Young candidate this year, and I think he's gonna be right up there.
  2. AMS528
    Well you might as well write off a good chunk of the season for Pearson now. He's going to have to regain strength after as well. I mean it's kind of absurd now, he's just picking up any injury or disease possible, and it doesn't have to do with pitching even.
  3. AMS528
    Well I'm convinced by the data already. Espinal is going to have a breakout season, and I am ready for it.
  4. AMS528
    It's always amazing to me when people who have enough money to afford an uber at any time decide to drive drunk. It's such a simple decision to not do something stupid, that gets you in trouble and raises the risk of you causing harm to a bystander.
  5. AMS528
    I think you're probably underplaying their popularity a bit. And I feel like if those things are going to turn a person off from following the team, they probably want to cheer for a nice white bread college team and the NBA was never going to appeal anyways, regardless of marketing but because of the players. Too "urban" I imagine for that kind of person. At any rate its worked out for them. https://www.forbes.com/nba-valuations/list/#tab:overall https://www.forbes.com/mlb-valuations/list/#tab:overall They're the 10th most valuable NBA team (Jays are 15th), and valued at about 800 million dollars more which is very substantial. They are literally the most valuable sports franchise in Canada.
  6. AMS528
    Outstanding.
  7. AMS528
    This may be the single most unexpected free agent deal I've seen. Literally out of nowhere.
  8. AMS528
    Is this one of the best body transformations in MLB history? He was genuinely headed towards the Ortiz/Fielder body. And every bit of credit to him he decided he wasn't going to let it happen and absolutely dedicated himself to improving. Given how easy it was for him to balloon, it's a lot of work to maintain what he's done. It would be fun to see him at third and give us a shot at signing Freeman.
  9. AMS528
    Oh damn Nestor Molina. Haven't heard that name in a long long time, since we dealt him for Santos. Man back in those days I thought he'd be great after he put together that amazing minor league season in 2011. 2.21 ERA, 148K's in 130 innings and only 16 walks.
  10. AMS528
    This really seems like a great price. Two years of great performance overall, and the Jays front office loves him since they've chased him twice so far. For people who saw more of Gausman's games, was there any cause for concern with his second half dip? 2.57 FIP in the first half, 3.65 in the second.
  11. AMS528
    This guy thought it was smart to accept an invitation to the Mar-A-Lago and take some pics with Trump, so I'm not super surprised he's a complete sabotaging moron.
  12. AMS528
    I think 9 WAR is possibly attainable but 10 WAR is not for almost every 1B. Pujols peak seasons where he was playing 1B about as well as you could hope for he was mostly at 8-9 WAR and came close to but didn't hit 10 WAR. Cabrera and Votta didn't hit that either.
  13. AMS528
    By run differential this is a 99 win team. Manager and pen definitely accounts for a decent portion of the underperformance.
  14. AMS528
    Stroman is about as steady of a number 2/3 starter as you can get. He's put up those numbers incredibly consistently 4 of the last five years. If he wasn't annoying he'd obviously be a welcome addition.
  15. AMS528
    Agreed with people saying that you can't expect a repeat of all the performances. Vlad may not be at this level next year. Semien will probably not be here. Ray if he's back may only have a ERA around 3 which would be great. Which is why they should really spend this summer. Replace Semien effectively for sure. If there's a way to get Jose Ramirez they should really go for it.
  16. AMS528
    Pens can always be iffy even when you get guys who have been reliable in the last. Never know who's gonna decide that it's time to become a pumpkin. And who's gonna suddenly become elite. Its not reasonable to replace Semien in a single player for sure. Springer hopefully being healthy should help. His bat is showing no signs of decline. But someone at 2B or 3B who can put up 3-4 WAR is definitely going to be super important. Especially in this stupid ass division.
  17. AMS528
    This sucks. Two MVP level bats. Three other all star caliber bats in Bichette and Teo and Springer. Solid depth in the rest of the lineup. A starting rotation that was genuinely five deep. A bullpen that was becoming more solid. And no playoffs anyways. Brutal underperformance based on our run differential. This is gonna sting for a while. Ray has to be back. Have to make sure we replace Semien with something comparable at least, cause that's 7 WAR.
  18. AMS528
    Gotta say I'm not a fan of sprinkles. Don't think they ever add anything to desserts.
  19. AMS528
    Semi related, but I think standards for pitchers to make the HOF are likely to change because the old standards are going to be tough for basically most guys who started their career in the last decade. Amongst active pitchers, you've got the four guys who are all incredibly likely to make it (Scherzer, Verlander, Greinke, Kershaw) and then you've got Sale, Degrom and Gerrit Cole who all have a shot. Those three all 30 or older though. Amongst guys in their 20's right now, there are only three (!) with more than 15 WAR. Aaron Nola at 24.4 (at the age of 28), German Marquez (16.2 age 26) and Robbie Ray (one amazing year has pushed him all the way to 15.5 at age 29). In their 20's Greinke had 35 WAR, Verlander had 36 WAR, Kershaw had 58 WAR (!). Scherzer was the only one who had a a slower start with 24 WAR before 30. Barring Nola having a Scherzer like 30's which is possible, the next group of guys has not been able to accumulate numbers the same way. Don't see many of them that'll get to 30 WAR before 30 either.
  20. AMS528
    I'm certain their needs to be more data looked at for this, and my glance at it is pretty surface level, but just glancing at the top ten guys in doubles this year, 9/10 of them send it the opposite way less than 25% of the time. Maybe it's just random noise, or maybe not. I'd be curious to see someone look into that in a lot more detail.
  21. AMS528
    Yup, I've been amazed by that as well (and actually bWAR has him at 42), but after his first two seasons he never had a single negative value season. And defensive metrics across the board loved him all the way through the end of his career. He also always hit decently. You combine that with one of the more consistent careers I've ever seen, and you have a recipe for a guy who you would never think would have 40 WAR but hits it. What's wild is he also missed games consistently each season in his career. With a few more games each season he would have been shockingly close to 50 bWAR.
  22. AMS528
    His cold stretch didn't even wind up being that frozen. 267/346/440 for a not awful .786 OPS. He still hit six homers during the month.
  23. AMS528
    Vladdy, Eddie Matthews, Johnny Bench and Joe Dimaggio are the only players age 22 or younger to hit 45 HR's. Nice HOF company to be in. I remember when I think Jim Callis predicted Vlad Jr and Sr would be the first father son in the hall.
  24. AMS528
    So if we get out of the 9th unscathed the Jays have a better run differential than the Rays. This team is one of the best five teams in baseball. You flip a few of those tough bullpen losses early on and they'd be neck and neck for the dividion right now.
  25. AMS528
    Question for anyone really, but how much weight would you put in xwOBA? It seems like it generally aligns with how players are hitting by the time there's large enough sample size. For a guy like Juan Soto, it seemed like early in the season it viewed him as underperforming his peripherals pretty hard and it was right. His numbers exploded. But it's also thought that Marcus Semien has overperformed in multiple different years. Mostly cause in the case of Jansen he underperformed his peripherals a lot last year (and somewhat at the beginning of this year). Has he just been perpetually unlucky and it's finally balancing out?
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