jmomcc
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Everything posted by jmomcc
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If he is complete dead money for the pirates, maybe we could use that to bring the price down on bednar. I don't love kellar but maybe him as well.
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What do you think on cost? Its hard to know on rental bats but i'd like this trade.
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I was thinking that too but a part of me thinks teams will keep a guy like that in the offseason in the hopes he goes on a heater and they can deal at the deadline? Where as now its like let's just get rid of him and save money. He does way more fit next year than this year though.
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To me its mostly the defense. He was a 3 WAR player on a 125 games with league average offense. It also kind of fits the front office MO a bit. Giminez is a great defender who they think they can improve with the bat. Ditto for straw. Its a type they look for. And with bichette gone, there will be enough time available. If that happens .
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My impression from this draft is its a change in direction to me in what we targeted, or it feels that way. Lots of outfield. Maybe that was seen as a weakness in the system. Joe Doyle on Twitter said he loved our draft if we sign everyone (obviously excluding the 20th rounder who seems an insurance pick). Elsewhere, it seems on most lists we got 5/6 top 150 prospects. That's not bad considering our pool and no second rounder.
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I'd agree it's pretty tenuous for this year especially. Our dev guys would have to look at him and think there are things he can change. But i will make a case for next year especially. Firstly, he's a good fit for how we play. By most metrics he's the best 3B in baseball this year. We value defense. He has a below average strikeout rate. Not a great barrell rate but better than say clement. And a 110 max EV. He also has a pretty good z contact rate. If you could get him to 100 wrc+ he's a valuable player. If Bo goes, you could have an infield of vlad, clement, gimenez, hayes which should be the best infield defense in baseball. Outfield of Santander, Varsho, Springer. Barger would get a lot of time as two outfielders and vlad would be DHing regularly. I'd also try to get hayes to play second sometimes to get some platoon matchups and barger at third. Finally, he costs a similar amount to straw annually so he is cheap.
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How about this for the guts of an idea.. Trade for - Kebryan Hayes - Caleb Ferguson from the pirates Ferguson has three good fastballs, led by a great sinker. Gets a ton of ground balls. Has got lucky somewhat this year HR wise. He had a slider last year graded as good, which he has not thrown at all this year. Seems to add/drop pitches a good bit so should be coachable. Middle relief with potential for more. He struck out way more people last year which seems to be related to losing the slider? Even without the below i'd be interested in him on his own. Hayes under the hood stats run ahead of his real ones pretty much constantly. Seems to have nagging back problems. Is a really good third baseman though. Could we unlock something in his swing? Could we also get him to play second? The key question for me is if hayes is bad money for the pirates. It won't be by WAR, but he does represent about 10% of their payroll. Overall, this might be cheaper than you'd think and also maybe a way to roll it all up with bednar as well.
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He's a senior though? So surely not a ton over.
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The guy we just got is 107 overall on fangraphs
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There aren't many opportunities like that out there any more. Maybe we could convince the rockies they need a vet mentor lol. At the same time as long as rogers are prepared to spend, he does eat innings so not too bad.
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My hope would be the angels. Not typically the smartest team but you are probably right.
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I was thinking teams fighting for a playoff spot who need bulk innings.
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Unless Parker is overslot, it feels like the are setting up to sign overslot later.
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I'm guessing he is a hard sign. Maybe going to college.
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Is that a rumour that's out there?
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I don't usually have a great read on this but he is probably the first guy since Parker who would be slot or over?
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Bucknam has apparently one of the best sliders in the class which sounds like a good reliever to me. That would be great with a third rounder.
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Yea, we would probably have to eat some salary. Or just trading him for mid prospects. As i said earlier if it is a sparse deadline, you could move early (and pay more) for one of the best starters, and then hope that a team is desperate at the deadline. Grab prospects. Trade your own prospects for relievers .
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Yea that's why the best return i can imagine is detmers and that's probably stretching it. But the deadline is where teams want pitching.
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If that represents the Rangers selling as well this season, maybe they could throw in Milner as well. He could be useful as long relief. I would canvas pretty hard on Berrios first but this isn't crazy even if losing Gausman would hurt. The most gettable guy with ace (or more likely fringe 2) 'stuff' but not production is Severino. He also is someone oakland might be willing to move. He also has the backstop that his slider is so good that he could really play in the pen. Its also really hard to tell why he is worse now. There could be a pitch mix tweak that unlocks him. If we are willing to add his contract to all our existing pitching money and be really expensive next year he might be the easiest upgrade without having to get tricky.
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Bo is a tricky one. Its very easy to see Baez there to some extent. So, it would be easy to go into a bad contract. On the other hand, if we are leaning into defense as an identity, it could get even better without him at short. I'd consider a short deal for Bassitt.
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I think he has just enough surface stats and there is probably so little pitching at the deadline, that you MIGHT be able to unload him. Maybe if we made a decisive move early for one of the few premium starters, reducing the market, and then ate some portion of his money to move him at the deadline? If he does have value, this is it.
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What should we do with the guy who is 5th or 6th by underlying stats or stuff and will get paid $66m over the next three years? Whose velo is ticking down? You get out while the going is good. You Chris Archer his ass if you have any sense. I assume payroll isn't unlimited. If ownership is ok going high 200s, then i don't care either way.
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Alot of emoting and not alot of explaining how Berrios' underlying stats would allow him to start a playoff game that we wanted to win.
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Are we adding payroll to next year as well? How high are they willing to go assuming we attempt to re-sign Bichette and have to replace Bassitt? The twins and Rangers are almost at .500. They would need to lose a lot to sell even assuming they would as they would be contenders next year. If you are telling me that they would say add severino's money and keep Berrios, i'd be happy enough. But i don't see any other way to add elite stuff into our rotation. And frankly Berrios's contract is bad. If we add just back end starters then our third best starter is Bassit. That's not really good enough for me.
