Could it be possible that Trevor Bauer has less of a market than we think? Seems to me like the more obvious fits on paper might not actually be:
- Dodgers: Have a larger hole at 3B, already have tons of rotation options.
- Mets: Got Carrasco, don't seem to want to pass the luxury tax threshold in their first year, but could be a suitor if no one else is.
- Angels: Everyone is saying this is the most obvious fit, but Arte Moreno rarely spends big on free agent pitchers, plus their payroll is already as high as it was last year due to the lack of money coming off the books. I'm hesitant to think that the same guy who let go of scouts and player development to reduce costs would also spend $30M on a starter.
- Padres: Lamet may be f***ed, so it may make sense, but I think they might try to fill the gap with someone cheaper. Already have a lot of large contracts on the books
- White Sox: maybe? Don't get the sense they'd drop big money on a starter either. Already added Lynn.
- Phillies: crying poor except for adding Realmuto
- Atlanta: Rotation seems fairly set, and they're probably looking at a big bat.
- Yankees: Possible, but apparently reports are saying they really don't want to surpass the tax? Also need to fill multiple rotation spots & infield.
Oddly enough, I could actually see teams like the Giants and Red Sox spending on him to gear up fo that competitive window opening up in a year or two. Both have cleared payroll in recent years so they have more than enough money. But if not, than maybe it's between us, the Mets, and maybe the Angels?
Watch Ross Atkins be the ultimate alpha and wait for Springer AND Bauer to fall into our laps.