wk680
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Everything posted by wk680
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General 2018 Blue Jays Discussion Thread
wk680 replied to Bobthe4th's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Yeah pretty much the epitome of a gamer (other than the football players who have suited up with broken legs in years past) -
Series GDT Jays @ Mariners........August 2-5
wk680 replied to Omar's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Yeah and I think this is the exact kind of player who will flourish in TO. Would not be surprised to see 40+ Sv from him in 2019 season and contribute bigly to an unikely run at a postseason berth. -
Looks like June 2, 2015: 2nd game of a doubleheader. Jays win 7-3 (W-Estrada, L-Scherzer). Start of a nice little run for the team
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Seems like the Jays got up early and figured they could just coast through the rest of the game. Goins is garbage - he needs to be gone yesterday!
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Actually Fat Dominican Yeah but almost everything was up in the zone or above. Overall, very glad to see him make a successful return and a win
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So that is a total of 22.5 WAR or $202M in 'value' at $9M per WAR. But I think your numbers are pretty optimistic. Maybe if you knock those numbers down by 1 per season, you still get 17.5 WAR and is worth the 5/150. So he may well get it if he has a good 2018, but I don't see him getting more. There is too much downside risk and you see so many teams (Red Sox, Astros, Cubs, Yankees) building on a core of young position players that is going to limit the free agent market for these 30+ year olds as we already saw this past offseason.
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If Donaldson turned down 6/180M guaranteed, it is either because he is a fool or really doesn't want to play in TO long term. I don't see him getting more than a 5/150M deal if he goes to free agency entering his age 33 season in 2019. I think the Jays 2017 opening day payroll was only 5th in MLB if you include the entirety of Upton's salary. But with the Jays only on the hook for $1M of that, it drops their effective payroll down to about 10th in MLB. I know this past off-season there were quite a lot of tickets purchased, so attendance remains good despite the bad results; maybe partly since tickets were already purchased. It will be interesting to see how pre-sales of tickets go this coming offseason. I guess making a splash in the free agent market or a big trade would help energize it.
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Series At A Glance... Red Sox @ Blue Jays - Aug 28-30, incl GDT's
wk680 replied to Spanky99's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Yeah lots of squandered scoring chances (team RISP 3 for 14). Another good outing by Stroman wasted. Turned out 1 unearned run was the difference -
Putting my undefeated 4-0 record on the Line GDT game 2 vs. Twins
wk680 replied to TheHurl's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
By "move Zeke", I assume you mean trade him? It's a sad statement of the current state of the Jays that he leads all their current OFers with a 123 wRC+ on the season. By month his wRC+ is : 96, 91, 140, 187, 165, respectively. Too bad he isn't a better defender. One thing for sure is last seasons splits were an anomaly: his wRC+ is 16 versus leftys and 137 versus rightys this season (only 32 PA versus leftys). -
My proposal was actually 4/125 guaranteed starting next season (avoid arbitration) with 5/155 if the Jays pick up the option. They could also just play it out in 2018 and let him test the FA market with Jays having the chance to match any outside offer. I kind of doubt anyone is going to offer more than 4/120. Now if they don't think they can sign him, it would be irresponsible to not look for a deal this offseason.
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I think 5 years maximum. He will 32 already to start next season. I would offer him $125M guaranteed: 25, 30, 30, 35 for 2018-21 with a 35M option for 2022 ($5M buyout). Whether he takes it may be more about how he sees the Jays' chances to compete in the near term along with how he feels about playing in TOR, versus going to the highest bidder. As much as Vlad prefers to play 3B, he will be much happier in LF for the Jays than 3B for the Bisons, so we could see him in LF in 2019 with Donaldson at 3B. Then again, depending on how Smoak does next season, there could be an opening for an everyday 1Bman in 2019 (or sooner if Smoak were to - God forbid - revert to historical performance).
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I wonder if the news he was claimed off waivers has affected Estrada's concentration. He is not sharp tonight.
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Right, but on the flip side, the specter of him opting out should reduce the prospect haul required to make the deal
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another issue with a Stanton trade is that his contract has an opt out after 2020. Although that would mean forgoing 7/208 for a player about to turn 31 in 3 years time, so the likelihood that he actually does opt out could be considered low.
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Yeah Devers looks like a great hitter. Some of the things they were saying about him on the broadcast (poise, plate discipline, etc.) sounds a lot like Vlad Jr. He even has a similar stocky body type.
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Actually that was Chapman's first HR allowed all season, to anyone. I think they said he had gone since 2011 not allowing a HR to a LH hitter.
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Considering the current state of the team with a lot of key injuries and the quality (or rather lack thereof of the replacements), what would be considered finishing strong? I guess going 25 and 20 to end up at .500 would qualify. The team does not have enough pitching to do much in the post-season anyways (unless Sanchez made a triumphant return to form) so probably not even worth worrying about. Giving some young guys like Alford and Gurriel playing time may be of more value than chasing a highly unlikely shot at a wild card spot.
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Yeah, the bottom line is that full hustle was NOT warranted on that Harper play. Discretion is the better part of valour
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Depends on if they could replace the current base with a less slip-resistant material.
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I am thinking that MLB should look into some changes to the construction and configuration of 1B to reduce the risk of injuries such as that suffered by Harper and also Tulo the other day. Also, it seems ironic when you think back 2 years to when Harper got chastised by Papelbon for not running hard on a ground out and now injures himself running one out that he should have just coasted on once he saw the 1Bman make the grab.
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Don't forget Montero. They are saying he could be back next week. But while he provides some offense, that is pretty much negated by the poor D.
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No I am just stating some of the things that would all need to happen for a Jays strong finish, but I don't think it will happen. Wilner actually presents the scenario as if it has a more than 5 % chance in happening - Kool-aid for the true believers if you will.
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Travis looks like he could be back in late August. If he comes back and plays well, along with a continuation of Donaldson's resurgence and Smoak's production, the offense might be good enough to make some kind of run. Adding Sanchez back (even in the bullpen) could be a big boost. But of course the question will be whether the starting pitching can put together a consistent run of quality outings. I'm anxious to see how Biagini does in his upcoming stint in the rotation. But in the end, the Jays need to win two thirds of their remaining 46 games just to reach 85 wins. While 85 might be enough in this year's AL, that's a tall order even if a lot of things fall into place.
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Nice debut for Rowley. Obviously would have been even better with a catcher who can properly receive the pitches. Hopefully he can provide some of that much needed pitching depth in 2018 and who knows maybe even a bit more........
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Except Ramirez never has played above AA. Hernandez showed some pretty good results in 112 PA at the MLB level last season, so seems like a higher floor on him.
