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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    I'd infinitely prefer Walker over Alonso as he's a far more balanced player who offers similar overall offensive output except with an elite glove at first base.
  2. max silver
    Buck Martinez was carrying on and on about how important pitcher wins were and that Jose Berrios contract was a total bargain. It's not like he's stuck in the past or anything of the sort. I still generally like Buck as a color guy but he can be extremely grating at times when he's complaining about catchers catching with a knee down, or griping about pitch framing being overrated, or bitching about how bad strikeouts are for hitters/whining about how overrated strikeouts are for pitchers and how much better it is to pitch to contact (pick a lane dude, strikeouts are bad for hitters and also bad for pitchers to emphasize) etc.
  3. max silver
    I'm not particularly worried about Green moving forward. He's not as good as the miniscule ERA he ran for most of the season would suggest given the reduced strikeout rate and substandard quality of contact allowed but he's nowhere near as bad as the recent struggles would suggest either. His stuff and command metrics are both very solid and I fully expect the recent struggles will be more of a speedbump than a sign of things to come.
  4. max silver
    Berrios has been getting by recently largely on the strength of improved command and increased stuff on the slurve. I tracked his Stuff+ results over his recent string of effective starts and the various fastballs are all still below career norms in terms of stuff but he's been locating a lot more effectively. He has rediscovered the effectiveness of his slurve recently so hopefully this will allow him to continue outperforming his FIP values if the strikeouts don't return.
  5. max silver
    I also fully expect that some of the surplus of MLB ready prospects will be utilized as currency for relief help. I still expect the team will need to spend some money in free agency for leverage help.
  6. max silver
    I certainly feel a lot better about Berrios based on the strong finish to the season as he's fired off 7 very good starts in a row and 8 of 9 being very solid. All of Gausman, Berrios and Francis are finishing well which bodes well for next season.
  7. max silver
    Probably not unless Rogers agreed to increase payroll a bit. The team has the need to add two bats with thump, 2-3 bullpen arms and some rotation help. I've seen estimates of $50-60 million to spend and paying the rotation option a third of that just doesn't leave a lot leftover to fill the other holes.
  8. max silver
    There are 3 certainties in life; death, taxes, and Jonn saying stupid s*** on BJMB.
  9. max silver
    Don't look now but Vlad is suddenly an even 0 defender at third base by both DRS and OAA. He's making a pretty strong case towards rewarding him with a bunch of starts at third base next season.
  10. max silver
    Maybe something similar to what Bassitt received from the Blue Jays would be a good starting point. Kikuchi certainly has more upside but he tends to go in slumps in recent seasons even after the turnaround that has a sizeable effect on the overall numbers. He's 33 years old this season and I'd expect this to limit the overall term of his deal, although if there ends up being a bit of a bidding war maybe he could garner himself a 4th year.
  11. max silver
    Gausman has flashed good velocity early on but he's getting killed by softly hit singles.
  12. max silver
    It's certainly not all bad luck as his quality of contact metrics were basically Santiago Espinal level for the first few months. He's swinging harder (up nearly a full MPH) and barreling up the baseball at rates approaching triple the early season results so it appears as though some mechanical adjustments have unlocked a bit more power.
  13. max silver
    His last 3.5 months have seen the results line up much more closely with the expected stats so hopefully this is something that can carry forward. Springer has posted a .334 wOBA vs .347 xwOBA (-0.013) in this period after May 26, as compared to .243 wOBA/.300 xwOBA (-0.057) until May 25.
  14. max silver
    Barger has been much better in his most recent callup and Roden is destroying AAA pitching in recent months so each of those guys have a good shot to factor in next season.
  15. max silver
    Yeah I think it's a mix of fatigue and needing to dial back a bit to maintain a starter's workload. Rodriguez is another guy who I think will likely maintain his stuff better next season with a full offseason to work out with the team in Dunedin.
  16. max silver
    Francis has an almost perfectly matching 3.50 ERA/3.56 xERA this season. He's a very interesting story as he's been tossing out top of the rotation performances despite greatly diminishing stuff as the season progresses.
  17. max silver
    I think the best the team can likely hope for is for one or more of the young outfielders to force Springer into more of a 4th outfielder type of role. I haven't completely given up hope on George returning to slightly above league average type of production over a full season as he's still capable of little mini hot streaks where he hits a pile of home runs in a week or two, but he's also capable of really deep slumps for months on end as well. As an example of this he hit a terrible slump in July of last year, and started the 2024 season in a rut as well leading to a 110 game stretch where he was a 77 wRC+ replacement level type of player.
  18. max silver
    It's a damn shame that Springer finally managed to stay on the field the same year he stopped being an impact player.
  19. max silver
    Springer has been a pretty solid contributor over the last 3 months or so. His 118 wRC+ over his last 370 PA is more indicative of the type of decline that could have reasonably been expected of him vs the numbers he produced in 2023 and the first few months of this season. The quality of contact metrics aside from max exit velocity in this stretch are pretty similar to his overall numbers from the 2022 season so hopefully it's something he can keep up.
  20. max silver
    I'm far more concerned about his declining bat.
  21. max silver
    Yimi's average fastball velocity was only 0.5 MPH higher than the 2023 and 2021 seasons so it wasn't that high of an overall bump.
  22. max silver
    The team still tried to sign Chapman as spring training approached. IKF himself mentioned he didn't know what his role was going to be after signing as this largely depended on what other players were brought aboard.
  23. max silver
    He showed signs of an offensive breakout in 2022 as he maintained a .750 OPS for nearly 4 months of the season so this season's offensive success wasn't completely out of nowhere. All that was needed was a tad more consistency in order for him to approach a league average bat. I still think he was signed as a utility player as the team made an attempt to sign Chapman as spring training approached.
  24. max silver
    I still think that Kiner Falefa was a decent pickup. IKF signed for utility player money last offseason and provided better than average starter level player type of output for the Blue Jays. He's in the midst of a 3 week slump with the Pirates that has led to his numbers taking a tumble, but he's still sitting on a career best season at this point. The IKF signing in a vacuum was perfectly acceptable, the issue I had was that he was the final position player signing made by the team when there was the obvious need for offense to be added. It seems as though there was still available funds to be utilized but the team simply chose not to utilize them as they reportedly attempted to sign Chapman before spring training.
  25. max silver
    If Bo actually wants to stay long term with Vlad it's time for him to put his money where his mouth is and accept a team friendly deal. That seems about as likely as him winning a gold glove at short stop someday. Vlad is the franchise player and he's going to get paid like one, but Bo simply doesn't offer the same type of offensive upside.
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