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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    Bo had been a very consistent performer as by the end of each season he would typically settle into the 4.5-5 win/700 PA range. It's only the injury riddled 2024 season in which he hasn't performed to his typical standards.
  2. max silver
    I haven't heard a peep about Bregman this offseason aside from turning down an offer from the Astros. Given their inability to replace him with someone else an eventual reunion feels to be the most likely outcome.
  3. max silver
    In 2024 Bellinger was approximately 10% better than Varsho last season so they aren't THAT far apart. Go back over the last 5 seasons and Bellinger has averaged 100 wRC+ vs 96 wRC+ for Varsho.
  4. max silver
    That's all nice in theory but Bellinger's prime years ended like 4-5 years ago.
  5. max silver
    That depends on how Kim's shoulder bounces back from surgery. As far as I can tell Kim has only played the infield in his professional career, so he'd need to learn a completely new position on the fly.
  6. max silver
    I'd far prefer either of Santander or Teoscar as legitimate middle of the order bats.
  7. max silver
    I don't think it's some sort of insurmountable task to add 50-60 home runs to the lineup. A typical healthy Bichette season on it's own adds 15-20 home runs. Add a bat like Teoscar or Santander and there's another 30. It appears as though Popkins is being brought aboard with a task of squeezing a little more power out of the existing roster but that's certainly not close to enough on it's own without meaningful external adds.
  8. max silver
    Bellinger just makes more sense for the Yankees on many levels. He's well suited for the short porch in right field, can man 1B/CF as needed as it moves Judge to right field where he's more suited and the Yankees don't have a firmly entrenched 1B starter, and the Yankees have a lot more financial wiggle room and can spend more accordingly betting on an offensive bounceback.
  9. max silver
    That's still a better outcome than the Jays actually trading for Bellinger.
  10. max silver
    That's crazy to think that a player shouldn't date a woman because she used to date one of the 1000+ MLB players.
  11. max silver
    It does feel like there should be some available upside in the bat as he's produced at a high clip previously.
  12. max silver
    How do you figure? His highest innings total since 2019 is 78.
  13. max silver
    Take this with a massive grain of salt to be certain but there are posters on other online venues that claim Kirk is looking slimmer in his instagram photos. I read similar claims last offseason and he showed up looking no fitter than usual though.
  14. max silver
    Why? He's simply pointing out that Teoscar seemingly hasn't been able to receive his asking price from any of the league's 30 General managers at this point. It's not a statement that should get your panties in a knot.
  15. max silver
    That's my interpretation based on the explanation of the metric that's provided. It's supposed to create probabilities for success based on factors including the runner's sprint speed and outfielders arm strength. In Kirk's case it makes all the sense in the world that he should be super conservative on the bases but I believe Vlad is fast enough that he could likely take a few more bases than he does strictly based on the provided numbers.
  16. max silver
    The actual numbers don't support this theory. If anything it appears as though the team might be playing things too safely on the bases as holds are the primary factor towards why they rank so poorly. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/baserunning-run-value?game_type=Regular&season_start=2024&season_end=2024&sortColumn=runner_runs_tot&sortDirection=asc&split=no&n=1&team=&type=Batting+Team&with_team_only=1
  17. max silver
    By the Statcast baserunning metric Gimenez was only a slightly above average baserunner at +1 runs. Horwitz rated very poorly at -4 runs in about 3/4 of a season's worth of playing time, so swapping these two players would lead to about a 5-6 run swing for the team's total. The Blue Jays were the second worst team by this metric at -14 runs, and swapping these two players would take them to about -8 runs or approximately 6th worst. Gimenez has posted +4 and +3 runs in prior seasons so perhaps he can bounce back a bit on the bases as his sprint speeds are only down a tick or two.
  18. max silver
    I'm not convinced that the team wouldn't receive better combined production from a platoon of dudes like Wagner and Jiminez vs Torres. Torres has a rather generous 3 win steamer projection that somewhat relies on posting the best defensive season of his career and best baserunning numbers of the last 4 seasons on top of that.
  19. max silver
    You have this backwards. The majority of Vlad's negative run value was based on holding instead of attempting to take an extra base when the opportunity presented itself. He was essentially even when he attempted to take an extra base (+2 advances/-2 thrown out) but he was -4 due to holding when there was an extra base available to him. Kirk's extreme passivity on the bases was the primary reason why he rated so poorly. He accumulated -3 runs on holds alone, where he had an opportunity to advance an extra base based on various factors and decided to not attempt to take the extra base. It's definitely a double edged sword with someone that slow though as the inherent risk of being thrown out on all but the easiest opportunities to advance would essentially negate most of these opportunities.
  20. max silver
    Kirk is 18th worst among all MLB players vs Vlad who is first. Kirk is arguably a worse baserunner than Vlad as he only had about 1/3 of the baserunning opportunities as Vlad and still accounted for -3 runs vs Vlad's -6 runs. Horwitz was another Blue Jays "standout" at -4 runs.
  21. max silver
    If the report is true that's surprisingly reasonable.
  22. max silver
    If he comes anywhere close to replicating the 180 wRC+ he produced in half a season of play in 2024 he'll likely earn a similar amount to Vlad as he's a solid outfield defender on top of the bat. He doesn't have the bad body concerns hanging over him either.
  23. max silver
    I had the same thoughts. He's using his objectively worst pitch (least whiffs/highest exit velos) too often. Perhaps it's a bit of a conscious choice to pitch longer into games by inducing contact but it's coming at the expense of strikeouts.
  24. max silver
    Wow I'm impressed with this browser so far, it makes a tremendous difference in page load speeds on this forum on mobile devices.
  25. max silver
    But then Baseball trade values rates sending out Horwitz alone as a massive overpay.
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